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Probabilistic Weather Forecasting

  • George C. Craig
Chapter
Part of the Research Topics in Aerospace book series (RTA)

Abstract

Weather forecasts are approaching the physical limits of predictability. A prediction of a cyclone more than a week in advance, or a thunderstorm a few hours ahead, will have a large degree of uncertainty. New techniques using ensembles of forecasts to predict probabilities of weather events are being developed to increase the skill of weather forecasting and the value of forecasts to users when exact predictions are impossible.

Keywords

Ensemble Member Ensemble Forecast Probabilistic Forecast Numerical Weather Prediction Model Precipitation Forecast 
These keywords were added by machine and not by the authors. This process is experimental and the keywords may be updated as the learning algorithm improves.

References

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Copyright information

© Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2012

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München (LMU), Meteorological Institute Munich (MIM)MünchenGermany
  2. 2.DLR, Institute of Atmospheric Physics (IPA)OberpfaffenhofenGermany

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