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Simulating the Climatology of Extreme Events for the Central Asia Domain Using the RegCM 4.0 Regional Climate Model

  • H. Altinsoy
  • T. Ozturk
  • M. Turkes
  • M. L. Kurnaz
Conference paper
Part of the Springer Atmospheric Sciences book series (SPRINGERATMO)

Abstract

In this work, future changes in the frequency of the seasonal extreme climate events such as number, frequency, duration and intensity of heat waves (5 consecutive temperature days above the maximum temperature calendar day 90th percentiles, number of days per year that is above the same percentiles and greatest number of consecutive days above these percentiles) for the period of 2071–2100 over Central Asia (18.56°–70.13° East and 7.28°–142.4° North) with respect to the present period of 1971–2000 were studied in detail. Regional Climate Model RegCM 4.0 of Abdus Salam International Center for Theoretical Physics (ICTP) with ECHAM5 forcing data was used for hindcast and forecast projection. This region will very likely be affected by heat waves in winter and spring seasons and heat wave frequency, intensity and duration will increase significantly over the Arabian Peninsula in summer. On the other hand, cold spells will not change as much as heat waves over the region in all seasons.

Keywords

Heat Wave Regional Climate Model Arabian Peninsula Community Land Model Extreme Temperature Event 
These keywords were added by machine and not by the authors. This process is experimental and the keywords may be updated as the learning algorithm improves.

Notes

Acknowledgments

This work has been supported by Bogazici University BAP under project number 5130.

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Copyright information

© Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2013

Authors and Affiliations

  • H. Altinsoy
    • 1
  • T. Ozturk
    • 1
    • 2
  • M. Turkes
    • 3
  • M. L. Kurnaz
    • 1
  1. 1.Department of PhysicsBogazici UniversityIstanbulTurkey
  2. 2.Department of PhysicsIsik UniversityIstanbulTurkey
  3. 3.Physical Geography Division, Department of GeographyCanakkale Onsekiz Mart UniversityCanakkaleTurkey

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