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The GP-SET Method: A Spatial and Temporal Probabilistic Model for Geoprospective

Chapter
Part of the Lecture Notes in Geoinformation and Cartography book series (LNGC)

Abstract

The paper proposes a new method of statistical probability for prospective studies that we named GP-SET (in French, GéoprospectiveProbabilisteSpatialeEtTemporelle). It is devoted to estimating an evolution of a spatio-temporal phenomenon, in order to model future growing patterns of more or less uncertain phenomenon. Firstly, the paper presents the stages of the modeling. Secondly, the model is carried out in a retrospective way and then applied to estimate the growth rates probabilities up to 2015, in the Southern region of France, the Provence Alpes Côte d’Azur (PACA) region.

Keywords

Geoprospective GP-SET method Spatio-temporal modeling Municipality population densities Probability Decision making assistance 

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Copyright information

© Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2012

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.University of Nice, UMR CNRS ESPACENiceFrance

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