A Continuous Time Mover-Stayer Model for Labor Market in a Northern Italian Area

  • Fabrizio Cipollini
  • Camilla Ferretti
  • Piero Ganugi
  • Mario Mezzanzanica
Conference paper
Part of the Studies in Classification, Data Analysis, and Knowledge Organization book series (STUDIES CLASS)


A new and powerful source of information concerning the Italian Labor Market is represented by C.OBB datasets, which record the kind of job contract (with its successive modifications) of all the workers in many Italian Provinces. By means of this information and focusing on the Province of Cremona, we analyze the mobility of employees among different kinds of job contracts (and unemployment also): in particular, from contracts characterized by modest packages of securities toward more structured working relations, ending with Unlimited Time Duration Contracts. The statistical tool used for this analysis is Continuous Time Mover-Stayer Model. Our analysis reveals low mobility from Limited Time Duration to Unlimited Time Duration contracts.


Transition Matrix Gibbs Sampler Markov Chain Model Latent Class Model Italian Province 
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Copyright information

© Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2013

Authors and Affiliations

  • Fabrizio Cipollini
    • 1
  • Camilla Ferretti
    • 2
  • Piero Ganugi
    • 3
  • Mario Mezzanzanica
    • 4
  1. 1.Department of StatisticsUniversità di FirenzeFlorenceItaly
  2. 2.Department of Economics and Social SciencesUniversità Cattolica del Sacro CuorePiacenzaItaly
  3. 3.Department of Industrial EngineeringUniversitá, degli Studi di ParmaParmaItaly
  4. 4.Department of StatisticsMilano Bicocca UniversityMilanoItaly

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