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Theories and Models of Climate-Security Interaction: Framework and Application to a Climate Hot Spot in North Africa

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Climate Change, Human Security and Violent Conflict

Part of the book series: Hexagon Series on Human and Environmental Security and Peace ((HSHES,volume 8))

Abstract

In its Fourth Assessment Report (AR4), the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) addresses serious risks that could undermine the living conditions of people all over the world (IPCC 2007). Impacts on food and water availability, flood and storm disasters, and large-scale events such as loss of the monsoon, breakdown of the thermohaline circulation, polar ice melting, or sea level rise could affect a considerable fraction of the global population. After publication of this report a number of studies suggested that the struggle for food and water, the impact of natural disasters, and large-scale migration could pose security risks that would destabilize social systems and aggravate existing conflicts. These concerns inspired a debate on the securitization of climate change (Wæver 1995; Brauch 2009b). The IPCC reports did not focus on the links between climate change, security, and conflict (IPCC 2007; Nordås/ Gleditsch 2009), although statements by IPCC Chair Rajendra Pachauri upon acceptance of the Nobel Peace Prize suggest such a linkage. In its planned fifth assessment report, the IPCC will include a chapter on the human security dimensions of climate change.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Research Group Climate Change and Security (CLISEC), Institute of Geography, KlimaCampus, University of Hamburg, Grindelberg 7, # 2015, D-20144, Hamburg, Germany

    Jürgen Scheffran

  2. Research Group Climate Change and Security (CLISEC), Institute of Geography, KlimaCampus, University of Hamburg, Grindelberg 7, # 2014, D-20144, Hamburg, Germany

    Dr. P. Michael Link & Janpeter Schilling

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  1. Jürgen Scheffran
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  2. Dr. P. Michael Link
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  3. Janpeter Schilling
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Correspondence to Jürgen Scheffran .

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Editors and Affiliations

  1. ZMAW, Institute for Geography, University of Hamburg, Bundesstr. 53, Hamburg, 20146, Germany

    Jürgen Scheffran

  2. , Institute of Peace Research and Security, Hamburg University, Beim Schlump 83, Hamburg, 20144, Germany

    Michael Brzoska

  3. AG Friedensforschung + Europ., Sicherheitspolitik, AFES-PRESS, Alte Bergsteige 47, Mosbach, 74821, Germany

    Hans Günter Brauch

  4. ZMAW, Res. Group Climate Change and Security, Hamburg University, Bundesstrasse 53, Hamburg, 20146, Germany

    Peter Michael Link

  5. ZMAW, Res. Group Climate Change and Security, Hamburg University, Bundesstrasse 53, Hamburg, 20146, Germany

    Janpeter Schilling

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Scheffran, J., Link, P.M., Schilling, J. (2012). Theories and Models of Climate-Security Interaction: Framework and Application to a Climate Hot Spot in North Africa. In: Scheffran, J., Brzoska, M., Brauch, H., Link, P., Schilling, J. (eds) Climate Change, Human Security and Violent Conflict. Hexagon Series on Human and Environmental Security and Peace, vol 8. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-28626-1_5

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