Abstract
Since the Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), there is little doubt left that anthropogenic climate change occurs (IPCC 2007). Several authors assume that in case of insufficient mitigation, climate change impacts could have severe implications for societies (Adger/Lorenzoni/O’Brien 2009). While AR4 only addressed issues of conflict to a limited extent, the next IPCC report will do so more directly. 2 A large number of approaches and methods have already been developed to seek an understanding of the links between climate change and conflict. Despite offering certain advantages in the understanding of this complex matter, the existing approaches have a variety of limitations. In addition, regional dynamics are often not included to a sufficient degree when sub-national conflict risks are analysed.
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Maas, A., Fritzsche, K. (2012). Altering Security Dynamics? Climate Change Impacts on Iraq. In: Scheffran, J., Brzoska, M., Brauch, H., Link, P., Schilling, J. (eds) Climate Change, Human Security and Violent Conflict. Hexagon Series on Human and Environmental Security and Peace, vol 8. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-28626-1_21
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