Skip to main content

An Application of Locally Linear Model Tree Algorithm for Predictive Accuracy of Credit Scoring

  • Conference paper
Book cover Model and Data Engineering (MEDI 2011)

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNPSE,volume 6918))

Included in the following conference series:

Abstract

Economical crisis in recent years leads the banks to pay more attention to credit risk assessment. Financial institutes have used various kinds of decision support systems, to reduce their credit risk. Credit scoring is one of the most important systems that have been used by the banks and financial institutes. In this paper, an application of locally linear model tree (LOLIMOT) algorithm was experimented to improve the predictive accuracy of credit scoring. Using the Australian credit data from UCI machine learning database repository, the algorithm was found an increase in predictive accuracy in comparison with some other well-known methods in the credit scoring area. The experiments also indicate that LOLIMOT get the best result in terms of average accuracy and type I and II error.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 69.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  1. Chen, F., Li, F.: Combination of Feature Selection Approaches with SVM in Credit Scoring. Expert Systems with Applications 37, 4902–4909 (2010)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  2. Wang, G., Hao, J., Ma, J., Jiang, H.: A Comparative Assessment of Ensemble Learning for Credit Scoring. Expert System with Applications 38, 223–230 (2011)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. Zhang, D., Zhou, X., et al.: Vertical Bagging Decision Trees Model for Credit Scoring. Expert System with Applications 37, 7838–7843 (2010)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. Chen, W., Ma, C., Ma, L.: Mining the customer credit using hybrid support vector machine technique. Expert Systems with Applications 36, 7611–7616 (2009)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. Hsieh, N.C.: Hybrid Mining Approach in the Design of Credit Scoring Models. Expert System with Applications 28, 655–665 (2005)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Tsai, C.F., Wu, J.W.: Using Neural Network Ensembles for Bankruptcy Prediction and Credit Scoring. Expert Systems with Applications 34, 2639–2649 (2008)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. TunLi, S., Shiue, W., Huang, M.H.: The Evaluation of Consumer Loans Using Support Vector Machines. Expert System with Application 30, 772–782 (2006)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Leea, T., Chiub, C.C., Chouc, Y.C., Lud, C.J.: Mining the customer credit using classification and regression tree and multivariate adaptive regression splines. Expert System with Applications 50, 1113–1130 (2006)

    Google Scholar 

  9. On, C.S., Huang, J.J., Tzeng, G.H.: Building credit scoring model using genetic programming. Expert System with Application 29, 41–47 (2005)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. Huang, C.L., Chen, M.C., Wang, C.J.: Credit Scoring with Data Mining Approach Based on Support Vector Machine. Expert System with Application 37, 847–856 (2007)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. XiuXuan, X., Chunguang, Z., Zhe, W.: Credit Scoring Algorithm Based on Link Analysis Ranking with Support Vector Machine. Expert System with Application 36, 2625–2632 (2009)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. Ghorbani, A., Taghiyareh, F., Lucas, C.: The Application of the Locally Linear Model Tree on Customer Churn Prediction. In: SoCPaR, pp. 472–477 (2009)

    Google Scholar 

  13. Thomas, L.C.: A Survey of Credit and Behavioral Scoring: Forecasting Financial Risk of Lending to Consumers. International Journal of Forecasting 16, 149–172 (2000)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  14. Nanni, L., Lumini, A.: An Experimental Comparison of Ensemble of Classifiers for Bankruptcy Prediction and Credit scoring. Expert System with Applications 36, 3028–3033 (2009)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  15. Gholipour, A., et al.: Solar activity forecast: Spectral analysis and neurofuzzy prediction. Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics 67(6), 595–603 (2005)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  16. Nelles, O.: Nonlinear system identification: from classical approaches to neural networks and fuzzy models. Springer, Heidelberg (2001)

    Book  MATH  Google Scholar 

  17. Sharifie, J., Lucas, C., Araabi, B.N.: Locally linear neurofuzzymodeling and prediction of geomagnetic disturbances based on solar wind conditions. Space Weather (April 2006)

    Google Scholar 

  18. Pedram, A., Jamali, M., Pedram, T., et al.: Local Linear Model Tree (LOLIMOT) Reconfigurable Parallel Hardware. International Journal of Applied Science, Engineering and Technology 1, 1 (2005)

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2011 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this paper

Cite this paper

Siami, M., Gholamian, M.R., Basiri, J., Fathian, M. (2011). An Application of Locally Linear Model Tree Algorithm for Predictive Accuracy of Credit Scoring. In: Bellatreche, L., Mota Pinto, F. (eds) Model and Data Engineering. MEDI 2011. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 6918. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-24443-8_15

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-24443-8_15

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-642-24442-1

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-642-24443-8

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics