Abstract
In this article, we apply a real option approach for improving revenue management regarding fluctuating commodity prices and time-varying strike prices in the field of operational research. We also take into account the cyclical nature of commodity prices, which is an important “stylized” fact in the empirical behavior of commodity prices. Two typical examples are provided to illustrate how real options can be used for enhancing profits and managing risk, which are important in revenue management. Valuation of these real options via a semi-analytical algorithm is also discussed.
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Notes
- 1.
For technically inclined readers, the “max” should, in general, be replaced by “ess-sup,” where “ess-sup” means the essential supremum and is defined as the smallest essential upper bound. That is, for any real-valued function f defined on a measure space (X, Σ, μ), ess-sup x ∈ X f(x) : = inf{l ∈ ℜ | μ(x ∈ X | f(x) > l) = 0}. The notion of “ess-sup” is relevant in probability theory, or in general, measure theory, where one usually considers statements that are not valid everywhere, but only valid almost everywhere. Intuitively, since both sides of the above (9) are random variables, we only require the optimal result holds true almost surely with respect to the probability measure \(\mathcal{P}\) instead of for all sample points ω ∈ Ω.
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Acknowledgements
Research supported in part by HKU CRCG Grants and Strategic Research Theme Fund on Computational Physics and Numerical Methods. The second author acknowledges financial support from PolyU grants A-SA28 and G-YH20. The third author acknowledges the Discovery Grant from the Australian Research Council (ARC), (Project No.: DP1096243). The fourth author acknowledges the financial support of the University of Saskatchewan Research Grant #407294.
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Ching, WK., Li, X., Siu, T.K., Wu, Z. (2010). Improving Revenue Management: A Real Option Approach. In: Cheng, T., Choi, TM. (eds) Innovative Quick Response Programs in Logistics and Supply Chain Management. International Handbooks on Information Systems. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-04313-0_6
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-04313-0_6
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