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An Adaptive Markov Chain Monte Carlo Method for GARCH Model

  • Conference paper
Complex Sciences (Complex 2009)

Abstract

We propose a method to construct a proposal density for the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm in Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulations of the GARCH model. The proposal density is constructed adaptively by using the data sampled by the MCMC method itself. It turns out that autocorrelations between the data generated with our adaptive proposal density are greatly reduced. Thus it is concluded that the adaptive construction method is very efficient and works well for the MCMC simulations of the GARCH model.

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© 2009 ICST Institute for Computer Science, Social Informatics and Telecommunications Engineering

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Takaishi, T. (2009). An Adaptive Markov Chain Monte Carlo Method for GARCH Model. In: Zhou, J. (eds) Complex Sciences. Complex 2009. Lecture Notes of the Institute for Computer Sciences, Social Informatics and Telecommunications Engineering, vol 5. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-02469-6_22

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-02469-6_22

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-642-02468-9

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-642-02469-6

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

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