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Guaranteed Network Traffic Demand Prediction Using FARIMA Models

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Book cover Intelligent Data Engineering and Automated Learning – IDEAL 2008 (IDEAL 2008)

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNISA,volume 5326))

Abstract

The Fractional Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average (FARIMA) model is often used to model and predict network traffic demand which exhibits both long-range and short-range dependence. However, finding the best model to fit a given set of observations and achieving good performance is still an open problem. We present a strategy, namely Aggregating Algorithm, which uses several FARIMA models and then aggregates their outputs to achieve a guaranteed (in a sense) performance. Our feasibility study experiments on the public datasets demonstrate that using the Aggregating Algorithm with FARIMA models is a useful tool in predicting network traffic demand.

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© 2008 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

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Dashevskiy, M., Luo, Z. (2008). Guaranteed Network Traffic Demand Prediction Using FARIMA Models. In: Fyfe, C., Kim, D., Lee, SY., Yin, H. (eds) Intelligent Data Engineering and Automated Learning – IDEAL 2008. IDEAL 2008. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 5326. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-88906-9_35

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-88906-9_35

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-540-88905-2

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-540-88906-9

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

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