Abstract
In this paper, a new possibilistic decision approach for one-shot decision problem is proposed where two focus points, called active focus point and passive focus point are introduced for balancing satisfaction and plausibility to show which state of nature should be considered for making decision with possibilistic information. Based on the proposed one-shot decision approach, real estate investment problem is analyzed, that is, whether the landowner should construct a house at the present time for sale in the future considering the uncertainty of house price. Uncertainty of house price is characterized by the possibility distribution to reflect the potential of how much the house price being in the future, which is a kind of likelihood to show the similarity between the situation of housing market in the future and in the past time. The proposed model provides insights into individual investment behavior of urban land development in the real world and shows that possibilistic decision analysis based on active and passive focus points is reasonable for such one-shot decision problems, which extensively exist in business and economic society.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Dubois, D., Prade, H.: Possibility Theory. Plenum Press, New York (1988)
Dubois, D., Prade, H.: Possibility theory as a basis for qualitative decision theory. In: Proceedings of the 14th International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence, pp. 1924–1930 (1995)
Dubois, D., Prade, H., Sabbadin, R.: Decision-theoretic foundations of possibility theory. European Journal of Operational Research 128, 459–478 (2001)
Guo, P., Tanaka, H., Inuiguchi, M.: Self-organizing fuzzy aggregation models to rank the objects with multiple attributes. IEEE Tran. on SMC, Part A: Systems and Humans 30, 573–580 (2000)
Guo, P., Tanaka, H., Zimmermann, H.-J.: Upper and lower possibility distributions of fuzzy decision variables in upper level decision problems. Fuzzy Sets and Systems 111, 71–79 (2000)
Guo, P., Tanaka, H.: Fuzzy DEA: A perceptual evaluation method. Fuzzy Sets and Systems 119, 149–160 (2001)
Guo, P., Zeng, D., Shishido, H.: Group decision with inconsistent knowledge. IEEE Transactions on SMC, Part A 32, 670–679 (2002)
Guo, P., Tanaka, H.: Decision analysis based on fused double exponential possibility distributions. European Journal of Oper. Res. 148, 467–479 (2003)
Klir, G.J., Folger, T.: Fuzzy Sets, Uncertainty and Information. Prentice-Hall, Englewood Cliffs (1988)
Knight, F.H.: Risk, Uncertainty and Profit. Harper and Row, New York (1965)
Prade, H.: Modal semantics and fuzzy set theory. In: Yager, R.R. (ed.) Recent Developments in Fuzzy Set and Possibility Theory, pp. 232–246. Pergamon Press, New York (1982)
Shackle, G.L.S.: Expectation in Economics. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (1949)
Tanaka, H., Guo, P.: Possibilistic Data Analysis for Operations Research. Physica-Verlag, Heidelberg (1999)
Tanaka, H., Guo, P.: Portfolio selection based on upper and lower exponential possibility distributions. Euro. Journal of Oper. Res 114, 115–126 (1999)
Whalen, T.: Decision making under uncertainty with various assumptions about available information. IEEE Tran. on SMC 14, 888–900 (1984)
Yager, R.R.: Possibilistic decision making. IEEE Transaction on Systems, Man and Cybernetics 9, 388–392 (1979)
Yager, R.R.: A foundation for a theory of possibility. J. Cyber. 10, 177–204 (1980)
Yager, R.R.: On the instantiation of possibility distributions. Fuzzy Sets and Systems 128, 261–266 (2002)
Zadeh, L.A.: Fuzzy sets as a basis for a theory of possibility. Fuzzy Sets and Systems 1, 3–28 (1978)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2007 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Guo, P. (2007). One-Shot Decision with Possibilistic Information. In: Castillo, O., Melin, P., Ross, O.M., Sepúlveda Cruz, R., Pedrycz, W., Kacprzyk, J. (eds) Theoretical Advances and Applications of Fuzzy Logic and Soft Computing. Advances in Soft Computing, vol 42. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-72434-6_31
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-72434-6_31
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-540-72433-9
Online ISBN: 978-3-540-72434-6
eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)