Abstract
The core of EurEnDel is a Europe-wide Delphi survey with two rounds of expert consultations. However, EurEnDel is more than a Delphi. In adaptation of the classical Delphi approach EurEnDel combines prospective and normative foresight elements. Following the prospective technology-push perspective, the question is: “Which are likely developments in the energy technology field”? The normative social-pull perspective focuses on (normative) societal demands: “Which technologies do we need in order to be able to satisfy future needs”? EurEnDel combines these two perspectives both within the Delphi questionnaire itself and by applying additional foresight methods such as the development of scenarios.
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References
A series of major energy scenarios was analysed. A special focus was put on two scenarios which were used as benchmarks for the EurEnDel findings: “European Energy and Transport — Trends to 2030” [Mantzos et al. 2003] and the “With climate policies” scenario [Zeka-Paschou 2003]. See EurEnDel working paper “Quantitative co-assessment of the EurEnDel Delphi results” [Jörß and Wehnert, 2004] (available at www.eurendel.net) for details.
The process of scenarios development is described in detail in the EurEnDel working paper “The EurEnDel Scenarios — Europe’s Energy System by 2030” [Velte et al. 2004] which is available at www.eurendel.net.
The methodology is further described in chapter 5 — for details see also EurEnDel working paper “Social and technical perspectives” [Ninni, Bonacina 2004] which is available at www.eurendel.net.
For details see also EurEnDel working paper “Policy Implications” [Oniszk et. al. 2004] which is available at www.eurendel.net.
More information on the EurEnDel structural analysis process and all results developed thereof are summarised in the EurEnDel working paper: “Results of the Cross-Impact Analysis-Identifying Key Issues of Europe’s Energy Future” [López and Velte 2003], which is available at www.eurendel.net
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© 2007 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
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(2007). Methodological Approach of EurEnDel. In: European Energy Futures 2030. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-69165-5_3
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-69165-5_3
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-540-69164-8
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