Skip to main content

Creation and evaluation of development scenarios for metropolitan patterns

  • Chapter
Modelling Environmental Dynamics

Part of the book series: Environmental Science and Engineering ((ENVSCIENCE))

  • 1332 Accesses

Abstract

In this study, different forms of urban growth have been identified in the metropolitan area of Granada showing time-space distribution of the urban process over the last 30 years, territorial accessibility and the densification process in the types of occupancy. Once these different forms have been identified using a model based on cellular automata specifically developed for this field of study, several simulations were generated. In these simulations the growth patterns previously identified have been reproduced. Hence, the different resulting scenarios have been evaluated through spatial analysis metrics, which will be tested as an evaluating element for scenarios, through the criteria of the spatial mosaic structure formed by those scenarios.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 129.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  • Aguilera F (2006) Predicción del crecimiento urbano mediante sistemas de información geográfica y modelos basados en autómatas celulares. Geofocus 6

    Google Scholar 

  • Aguilera F, Soria J, Valenzuela LM (2006) Explorando el crecimiento en la aglomeración urbana de Granada: un modelo basado en autómatas celulares. XII Congreso Nacional de Tecnologías de la Información Geográfica, Granada, September 2006

    Google Scholar 

  • Antrop M (2000) Changing patterns in the urbanized countryside of Western Europe. Landscape Ecology 15, pp 257-270

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Alberti M (1999) Patterns and environmental performance: what do we know? Journal of Planning Education and Research 19-2, pp 151–163

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Azócar G, Romero H, Sanhueza R, Vega C, Aguayo M and Muñoz MD (2007) Urbanization patterns and their impacts on social restructuring of urban space in Chilean mid-cities: The case of Los Angeles, Central Chile. Land Use Policy 24 (2007), pp 199–211

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Barredo JI, Kasanko M, McCormick N, Lavalle C (2003) Modelling dynamic spatial processes: simulation of urban future scenarios through cellular automata. Landscape and Urban Planning 64, pp 145-160

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Barredo JI, Demicheli L, Lavalle C, Kasanko M, McCormick N (2004) Modelling future urban scenarios in developing countries: an aplication case study in Lagos, Nigeria. Environment and Planning B: Planning and Design 32, pp 65-84

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Batty M (1997) Sobre el crecimiento de la ciudad. In: Ballesteros JA (ed) Las ciudades inasibles. Fisuras de la cultura contemporánea. Madrid, pp 4-53

    Google Scholar 

  • Batty M (1997) Urban Systems as Cellular Automata. Editorial Environment and Planning B: Planning and Design 24, pp 159-164

    Google Scholar 

  • Benenson I, Torrens P (2004) GEOSIMULATION: Automata-based modelling of urban phenomena. Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons

    Google Scholar 

  • Berling-Wolf S, Wu J (2004) Modelling urban landscape dynamics: A review. Ecological Research 19, pp 119-129

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bosque J (1962) Granada, la Tierra y sus hombres. Organización Sindical Granada

    Google Scholar 

  • Botequilha A, Ahern J (2002) Applying landscape concepts and metrics in sustainable landscape planning. Landscape and Urban Planning 59, pp 65-93

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Botequilha A, Miller J, Ahern J and McGarigal K (2006) Measuring Landscapes. A planner’s handbook. Washington, Island Press

    Google Scholar 

  • Burel F, Baudry J (2002) Ecología del Paisaje: Conceptos, métodos y aplicaciones. Mundi Prensa Madrid

    Google Scholar 

  • Carsjens GJ, Ligtenberg A (2007) A GIS-based support tool for sustainable spatial planning in metropolitan areas. Landscape and Urban Planning 80, 72–83

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dalda JA, Docampo MG, Harguindey JG (2006) La ciudad difusa en Galicia. Xunta de Galicia, Conselleria de Política territorial, Obras públicas y transporte

    Google Scholar 

  • Dramstad WE, Olson JD, Forman RTT (2005) Principios de ecología del paisaje. In: Arquitectura del paisaje y planificación territorial. Fundación Conde del Valle de Salazar

    Google Scholar 

  • Fernández D (2004) Bases para la evaluación ambiental y territorial del área Metropolitana de Granada. Congreso Nacional de Medio Ambiente Colegio Nacional de Físicos, Madrid

    Google Scholar 

  • European Environment Agency (2006) Urban Sprawl in Europe. EEA Report N°10/2006

    Google Scholar 

  • European Environment Agency (2006) Land Accounts for Europe. Towards integrated land and ecosystem accounting, EEA Report N°11/2006

    Google Scholar 

  • Font A et al. (2004) L’explosió de la Ciutat. Barcelona. COAC i Forum Universal de les Cultures, Barcelona

    Google Scholar 

  • Forman RTT (1995) Land Mosaics: The Ecology of Landscapes and Regions. Cambridge EEUU

    Google Scholar 

  • Frankhauser P (1998) Fractal geometry of urban patterns and their morphogenesis. Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society 2, pp 127-145

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Franco D, Bombonato A, Mannino I, Ghetti PF, Zanetto G (2005) The evaluation of a planning tool through the landscape ecology concepts and methods. Management of Environmental Quality: An International Journal 16, No 1, pp 55-70

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gustafson EJ, Parker GR (1994) Using an index of habitat patch proximity for landscape design. Landscape and Urban Planning 29, pp 117-30

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Herold M, Couclelis H, Clarke KC (2005) The role of spatial metrics in the analysis and modelling of urban land use change. Computer and Environment Systems 29, pp 369-399

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Herzog F, Lausch A (2001) Supplementing land use statistics with landscape landscape metrics: some methodological considerations. A Environmental Monitoring and Assessment 72, pp 37–50

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Itami RM (1994) Simulating spatial dynamics: cellular automata theory. Landscape and Urban Planning 30, pp 27-47

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kasanko M, Barredo JI, Lavalle C, McCorcmick N, Demicheli L, Sagris V, Brezger A (2006) Are European cities becoming dispersed? A comparative analysis of 15 European urban Areas. Landscape and Urban Planning 77, pp 111-130

    Google Scholar 

  • Lausch A, Herzog F (1999) Applicability of landscape metrics for the monitoring of landscape change: issues of scale, resolution and interpretability. Paper presented at the International INDEX99 Conference, 11–16 July, 1999 in St-Petersburg, Russia

    Google Scholar 

  • McGarigal K, Marks BJ (1995) FRAGSTATS: Spatial pattern analysis program for Quantifying Landscape Structure. USDA For. Serv. Gen. Tech. Rep. PNW-351

    Google Scholar 

  • Menor J (1998) La Vega de Granada: Transformaciones recientes de un espacio agrario tradicional. Thesis, Universidad de Granada

    Google Scholar 

  • Monclús FJ (1998) La ciudad dispersa. Centre cultural contemporánea de Barcelona

    Google Scholar 

  • Nuissl H, Rink D, Steuer P (2005) The consequences of urban sprawl in a context of decline: The case of Leipzig. UFZ-Discussion Papers, Department of Urban and Environmental Sociology, 7/2005

    Google Scholar 

  • Ocaña C (1974) La Vega de Granada: Estudio Geográfico. Madrid: Instituto de Geografía Aplicada del Patronato Alonso de Herrera

    Google Scholar 

  • Parker DC, Evans TP, Meretsky V (2001) Measuring emergent properties of agent-based landuse/landcover models using spatial metrics. In Seventh annual conference of the international society for computational economics

    Google Scholar 

  • Rueda S (2001) Modelos e indicadores para ciudades más sostenibles. Indicadores de huella y calidad ambiental urbana-Fundació Forum Ambiental Barcelona

    Google Scholar 

  • Tishendorf L, Fharing L (2000) How should we measure landscape connectivity?. Landscape Ecology 15 No 7, pp 631-41

    Google Scholar 

  • Torrens PM (2000) How cellular models of urban systems work. CASA working paper series 28

    Google Scholar 

  • Torrens P, Alberti M (2000) Measuring Sprawl. CASA Working Paper Series Paper 27

    Google Scholar 

  • Verburg PH, Schot P, Dijst M, Veldkamp A (2004) Land use change modelling: current practice and research priorities. Geojournal 61(4), pp 309-324

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • White R (1996) Artificial Worlds: Are they real? The view from cellular dynamics In: Besussi E, Cecchini A (eds) Artificial Worlds and Urban Studies Venezia, DAEST, pp 153-164

    Google Scholar 

  • White R, Engelen G, Uljee I (1997) The use of constrained cellular automata for high resolution modelling of urban land use dynamics. Environment and Planning B: Planning and Design 24, pp 323-343

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • White R, Engelen G (2000) High-resolution integrated modelling of the spatial dynamics of urban and regional systems. Computers, Environment and Urban Systems 24, pp 383-400

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wolfram S (1984) Cellular Automata as model of Complexity. Nature 311, pp 419-424

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2008 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

LM, V.M., Benavente F, A., Lara JA, S., E, M.M. (2008). Creation and evaluation of development scenarios for metropolitan patterns. In: Paegelow, M., Olmedo, M.T.C. (eds) Modelling Environmental Dynamics. Environmental Science and Engineering. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-68498-5_13

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics