Abstract
A major concern in the political and scientific discussion is the impact of demographic change on the social security system and on public finances in general. Because in Germany the aging process is one of the most rapid in the industrialized world and the fiscal stance of public budgets deteriorated significantly in recent years, this issue is of special relevance for Germany.
The author gratefully acknowledges support by the German Research Foundation (DFG), project no. SE 540/2–1, within the research project (DFG-Schwerpunktprogramm) “Governance of federal systems: theoretical approaches and empirical evidence” (“Institutionelle Gestaltung föderaler Systeme: Theorie und Empirie”).
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Bach S, Bork C, Krimmer P, Raffelhüschen B, Schulz E (2002) Demographischer Wandel und Steueraufkommen. Report prepared for the Federal Ministry of Finance. DIW Materialien No 20, Berlin
Blanchard OJ (1990) Suggestions for a New Set of Fiscal Indicators. OECD Economics Department Working Paper No 79. Paris
Blanchard OJ, Chouraqui JC, Hagemann RP, Sartor N (1990) The Sustainability of Fiscal Policy: New Answers to an Old Question. OECD Econ Stud 15:7–36
Börsch-Supan A (2000) A model under siege: A case study of the German retirement insurance system. Economic Journal 110:F24–F45
Conference Board of Canada (2002) Fiscal prospects for the federal and provincial/territorial governments: Economic performance and trends. Conference Board of Canada, Ottawa, ON
Disney R (2007) Population ageing and the size of the welfare state: Is there a puzzle to explain? European Journal of Political Economy 23:542–553
Economic Policy Committee and European Commission (2006) The impact of aging on public expenditure: Projections for the EU-25 member states on pension, health care, long-term care, education and unemployment transfers (2004–2050). European Economy, Special Report No 1/2006. European Commission, DG ECFIN, Brussels
Federal Ministry of the Interior (2005) Dritter Versorgungsbericht der Bundesregierung. BMI, Berlin
Fernandez R, Rogerson R (2001) The determinants of public education expenditures: Longer-run evidence from the States. Journal of Education Finance 27:567–584
Franco D, Munzi T (1997) Ageing and fiscal policies in the European Union. In: European Commission, DG ECFIN (ed) The welfare state in Europe: Challenges and reforms. European Economy, Reports and Studies No 4, pp 239–388
Gradstein M, Kaganovich M (2004) Aging population and education finance. Journal of Public Economics 88:2469–2485
Grob U, Wolter SC (2005) Demographic change and public education spending — A conflict between young and old? CESifo Working Paper No 1555
Gruber J, Wise D (2001) An international perspective on policies for an aging society. NBER Working Paper No 8103
Hagemann RP, Nicoletti G (1989) Population ageing: Economic effects and some policy implications for financing public pensions. OECD Econ Stud 12:51–96
Kempkes G (2007) Rapid demographic change and the allocation of public education resources. Manuscript, Dresden University of Technology
Lee R, Edwards R (2001) The fiscal impact of population change. In Little JS, Triest RK (eds) Seismic shifts: The economic impact of demographic change. Federal Reserve Bank of Boston Conference Series No 46, pp 220–237
Poterba JM (1997) Demographic structure and the political economy of public education. Journal of Policy Analysis and Management 16:48–66
Razin A, Sadka E, Swagel P (2002) The Aging Population and the Size of the Welfare State. Journal of Political Economy 110:900–918
Seitz H (1999) Subnational Government Bailouts in Germany. Inter-American Development Bank, Working paper No R-396
Seitz H (2003) Die Leistungen der neuen Länder im Rahmen des AAÜG — Bestimmungsgründe und Belastungsdynamik. Studie im Auftrag der Länder Berlin, Brandenburg, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, Sachsen, Sachsen-Anhalt und Thüringen
Seitz H (2006) Zur Quantifizierung des „Korb 2“ im Rahmen des Solidarpakts II. Ifo Dresden berichtet 5:24–30
Seitz H, Kempkes G (2007) Fiscal Federalism and Demography, in: Public Finance Review 35:385–413
Seitz H, Baum B (2003) Demographie und öffentliche Bildungsausgaben in Deutschland: Eine empirische Untersuchung für die westdeutschen Flächenländer. Vierteljahreshefte für Wirtschaftsforschung 72:205–219
Seitz H, Kurz C (1999) Arbeitslosigkeit, Zuwanderungen und Sozialhilfe: Eine Analyse der Determinanten und der Finanzierung der Sozialhilfeausgaben. Finanzarchiv 56:518–555
Werding M, Kaltschütz A (2005) Modellrechnungen zur langfristigen Tragfähigkeit der öffentlichen Finanzen. Ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, vol. 17. Ifo Institute, Munich
Werding M (2007) Social Insurance: How to Pay for Pensions and Health Care? In: Hamm I, Seitz H, Werding M (eds) Demographic Change in Germany: The Economic and Fiscal Consequences. Springer, Berlin Heidelberg New York, pp 89–128 (this volume)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2008 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Seitz, H. (2008). The Impact of Demographic Change on Fiscal Policy in Germany. In: Hamm, I., Seitz, H., Werding, M. (eds) Demographic Change in Germany. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-68137-3_6
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-68137-3_6
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-540-68135-9
Online ISBN: 978-3-540-68137-3
eBook Packages: Business and EconomicsEconomics and Finance (R0)