Marc Alpert and Howard Raiffa, 1982. A progress report on the training of probability assessors. In D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, and A. Tversky, editors, Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. Cambridge University Press, New York.
Joseph Bertrand, 1907. Calcul des Probabilités (2nd ed). Gauthier-Villars.
George E. P., 1980. Sampling and Bayes’ inference in scientific modelling and robustness. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, 143:383–430.
Persi Diaconis and Sandy L. Zabell, 1982. Updating subjective probability. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 77:822–830.
Ward Edwards, 1975. Comment on paper by Hogarth. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 70:291–293.
Ward Edwards, Lawrence D. Phillips, William L. Hays, and Barbara C. Goodman, 1968. Probabilistic information processing systems: Design and evaluation. IEEE Transactions on Systems Science and Cybernetics, 4:248–265.
Baruch Fischhoff, Paul Slovic, and Sarah Lichtenstein, 1978. Fault trees: Sensitivity of established failure probabilities to problem representation. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Perception and Performance, 4:330–344.
Michael Goldstein, 1981. Revising prevision: A geometric interpretation. Journal of Royal Statistical Society, Series B, 43:105–130.
Richard Jeffrey, 1965. The Logic of Decision. McGraw-Hill, New York.
Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky, 1982. Variants of uncertainty. Cognition, 11:143–157.
David Krantz and John Miyamoto, 1983. Priors and likelihood ratios as evidence. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 78:418–423.
I. Lieblich and A. Lieblich, 1969. Effects of different pay-off matrices on arithmetic estimation tasks: An attempt to produce “rationality”. Perceptual and Motor Skills, 29:467–473.
Dennis V. Lindley, Amos Tversky, and Rex V. Brown, 1979. On the reconciliation of probability assessments. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, 147:146–180.
Richard Nisbett and Lee Ross, 1980. Human Inference: Strategies and Shortcomings of Social Judgment. Prentice Hall, Englewood Cliffs, NJ.
Howard Raiffa, 1974. Analysis of decision making. An audiographic, self-instructional course. Encyclopedia Britanica Educational Corporation, Chicago.
Frank P. Ramsey, 1931. Truth and probability. In R. G. Braithwaite, editor, The Foundations of Mathematics and Other Logic Essays. Routledge and Kegan Paul.
Henry R. Richardson and Lawrence D. Stone, 1971. Operations analysis during the underwater search for scorpion. Naval Research Logistics Quaterly, 18:141–157.
Leonard J. Savage, 1954. The Foundations of Statistics. Wiley, New York, NY.
Glenn Shafer, 1976. A Mathematical Theory of Evidence. Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ.
Glenn Shafer, 1981. Constructive probability. Synthese, 448:1–60.
Glenn Shafer, 1981. Jeffrey’s rule of conditioning. Philosophy of Science, 48:337–362.
Glenn Shafer, 1982. Belief functions and parametric models. Journal of Royal Statistical Society, Series B, 44:322–352.
Glenn Shafer, 1982. Lindley’s paradox. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 77:325–351.
Max Singer, 1971. The vitality of mythical numbers. The Public Interest, 23:3–9.
Carl S. Spetzler and Carl-Axel S. Staël von Holstein, 1975. Probability encoding in decision analysis. Management Science, 22:340–358.
Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman, 1983. Extensional vs. intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment. Psychological Review, 90:293–315.
Alan Walker and Richard E. T. Leakey, 1978. The hominids of East Turkana. Scientific American, 238:54–66.
Sławomir T. Wierzchoń, 1984. An inference rule based on Sugeno measure. Institute of Computer Science, Polish Academy of Science, Warsaw, Poland. Later appeared in J. C. Bezdek, editor, Analysis of Fuzzy Information, CRC Press, 1:85–96, 1987.