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Projections of the Number of People with Dementia in Germany 2002 Through 2047

  • Uta Ziegler
  • Gabriele Doblhammer

Abstract

Mental and behavioral disorders represent four of the 10 leading causes of disability worldwide, and are estimated to account for 12% of the global burden of disease (World Health Organization, 2001). European and Northern American studies show that about one-quarter of the population over age 65 suffer from a mental health problem. About 6% to 10% of these illnesses involve severe dementia and severe functional psychoses (Bickel 2003, Hendrie 1998). The number of dementia sufferers at the beginning of the 21st century is estimated to be about 25 million people worldwide, with 46% of them living in Asia, 30% in Europe and 12% in North America (Wimo et al. 2003). A lower number is provided by Eurostat (2003), which estimates that 4,624 million Europeans (EU25) between the ages of 30 and 99 suffered from different types of dementia (12.3 per 1000 inhabitants) in 2000. Due to their higher mean age, more women are affected: 2.9 million women, but only 1.7 million men suffer from dementia. By 2006, the number of dementia sufferers provided by the group known as European Community Concerted Action on the Epidemiology and Prevention of Dementia (EURODEM) (Alzheimer Europe 2006) had risen to 5.37 million people. In industrialized countries, dementia is the fourth most common cause of death after heart diseases, malignant growth and cerebrovascular diseases (Bickel 2003).

Keywords

Life Expectancy Dynamic Equilibrium Population Projection German Statistical High Life Expectancy 
These keywords were added by machine and not by the authors. This process is experimental and the keywords may be updated as the learning algorithm improves.

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Copyright information

© VS Verlag für Sozialwissenschaften | Springer Fachmedien Wiesbaden GmbH 2010

Authors and Affiliations

  • Uta Ziegler
    • 1
  • Gabriele Doblhammer
    • 2
  1. 1.Rostock Center for the Study of Demographic ChangeGermany
  2. 2.Institute of Sociology and DemographyUniversity of RostockGermany

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