Creating Predictive Models for Forecasting the Accident Rate in Mountain Roads Using VANETs

  • Borja Bordel
  • Ramón Alcarria
  • Gianluca Rizzo
  • Antonio Jara
Conference paper
Part of the Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing book series (AISC, volume 721)


Monitoring the road network status of an entire country in a visual way (as traditionally) is very hard, so different mechanisms to do it in an automatic manner have been investigated. In particular, nomadic pervasive sensing platforms based on VANETs have been recently deployed. However, the level of road damage is a relative variable, and it is necessary to predict the particular impact of the same in each case, in order to prioritize the conditioning works. Therefore, in this paper a predictive model for forecasting the accident rate in mountain roads, considering the measures previously obtained through a nomadic sensing environment (and through the weather office) is defined. The model considers the type of road under study as well as different analysis scales to perform the calculations. The model is based on Taylor’s series and multivariate functions. Real data related to Valais (Switzerland) road network is employed to construct and validate the proposed model.


Vehicular ad-hoc networks Prediction models Data analysis Pervasive sensing 



This publication was produced in the framework of the RCSO NOSE project. Borja Bordel has received funding from the Ministry of Education through the FPU program (grant number FPU15/03977); and Ramón Alcarria thanks the Spanish Ministry of Education, Culture and Sport for the professor’s mobility program (José Castillejo’s 2017 grant).

Additionally, these results were supported by the Ministry of Economy and Competitiveness through SEMOLA project (TEC2015-68284-R) and from the Autonomous Region of Madrid through MOSI-AGIL-CM project (grant P2013/ICE-3019, co-funded by EU Structural Funds FSE and FEDER).


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Copyright information

© Springer International Publishing AG 2018

Authors and Affiliations

  • Borja Bordel
    • 1
    • 2
  • Ramón Alcarria
    • 1
    • 2
  • Gianluca Rizzo
    • 1
  • Antonio Jara
    • 1
  1. 1.Institute of Information SystemsUniversity of Applied Sciences Western Switzerland (HES-SO)SierreSwitzerland
  2. 2.Universidad Politécnica de MadridMadridSpain

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