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Spatial Autocorrelation and Spatial Interaction Gravity Models

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Morphisms for Quantitative Spatial Analysis

Part of the book series: Advanced Studies in Theoretical and Applied Econometrics ((ASTA,volume 51))

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Abstract

Gravity type spatial interaction models have been popular among spatial scientists for many decades. Their more traditional specifications suffer from specification error attributable to, among other factors, spatial autocorrelation. This spatial autocorrelation has two components, a more conventional one relating to the geographic distributions of origin and destination phenomena, and a second one relating to the network of flows. Recent literature, to which this chapter contributes, reveals that spatial interaction model descriptions substantially improve with an accounting of network autocorrelation in Poisson regression estimation of parameters. Implementation of this specification requires eigenvector spatial filter construction, a principal topic of this chapter, which also furnishes parameter estimate comparisons for infill and increasing domain spatial sampling designs.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    These commuting data were compiled based on administrative sources. Commuters are salaried employees (staff), whose place of employment is outside the administrative borders of their municipality of residence. These data include only flows of more than nine people. See http://stat.gov.pl/spisy-powszechne/nsp-2011/nsp-2011-wyniki/dojazdy-do-pracy-w-polsce-wyniki-nsp-2011,9,1.html.

  2. 2.

    Spatial scientists rarely encounter negative SA. For these origin weights, MC = −0.22 and GR = 1.27.

  3. 3.

    For these destination weights, MC = 0.12 and GR = 0.93.

  4. 4.

    For the Polish province surface partitioning, the maximum positive SA possible is MC = 0.76 and GR = 0.27.

  5. 5.

    Because the Polish census defines a commuter to be a salaried employee (staff member) whose place of employment is outside the administrative borders of his/her municipality of residence, three counties, which actually are cities—Skierniewice, Łódź, and Piotrków Trybunalski—have artificial zero flows. To preserve comparability, these three flows were differentiated from the remaining flows by an indicator variable.

  6. 6.

    As with the employment data (see Chap. 1), the journey-to-work data for Wałbrzych are zeroes and are wrong. Because a time series of journey-to-work data does not exist, these flows data were not corrected with imputations . Rather, this footnote acknowledges this data error; the flows data remained linked to Wałbrzyski for this spatial interaction analysis.

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Griffith, D.A., Paelinck, J.H.P. (2018). Spatial Autocorrelation and Spatial Interaction Gravity Models. In: Morphisms for Quantitative Spatial Analysis. Advanced Studies in Theoretical and Applied Econometrics, vol 51. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-72553-6_9

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