Abstract
The aim of this paper is to have a better understanding of the significant trends of stream flow in the Upper Blue Nile Basin (UBNB) for 40 years using statistical tools. Analyzing the stream flow is important as it gives a wide vision of a catchment’s response and helps in suggesting suitable future water resources management. Data from two stream flow stations in the basin were analyzed using the nonparametric Mann-Kendall (MK) statistical trend test to determine positive or negative trends in the stream flow data series. The MK statistical test showed that for most of the year there is no significant trend for the stream flow time series data except for two months in the rainy season for the selected stations: Bahir_Dar station and Kessie Station. By applying Sen’s estimator, it was found that a decreasing in the trend slope occurred in Bahir_Dar station while it increased for Kessie Station.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
Rientjes THM, et al. Changes in land cover, rainfall and stream flow in Upper Gilgel Abbay catchment, Blue Nile basin—Ethiopia. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci. 2011;15(6):1979–89.
Tabari H, Taye MT, Willems P. Statistical assessment of precipitation trends in the upper Blue Nile River basin. Stoch Env Res Risk Assess. 2015;29(7):1751–61.
Taye MT, Willems P. Temporal variability of hydroclimatic extremes in the Blue Nile basin. Water Resou Res. 2012;48(3):p.n/a-n/a. Available at: http://doi.wiley.com/10.1029/2011WR011466.
Tesemma ZK, Mohamed YA, Steenhuis TS. Trends in rainfall and runoff in the Blue Nile Basin: 1964-2003. Hydrol Process. 2010;24(25):3747–58.
Yeh CF, et al. Spatial and temporal streamflow trends in northern taiwan. Water (Switzerland). 2015;7(2):634–51.
Acknowledgements
The first author would like to thank Egyptian Ministry of Higher Education (MoHE) for providing the financial support (PhD scholarship) for this research as well as the Egypt Japan University of Science and Technology (E-JUST) for offering the facility and tools needed to conduct this work.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2018 Springer International Publishing AG
About this paper
Cite this paper
Samy, A., Ibrahim, M.G., Mahmod, W.E. (2018). Analysis of Stream Flow Trends in Sub-basins of the Upper Blue Nile Basin. In: Kallel, A., Ksibi, M., Ben Dhia, H., Khélifi, N. (eds) Recent Advances in Environmental Science from the Euro-Mediterranean and Surrounding Regions. EMCEI 2017. Advances in Science, Technology & Innovation. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-70548-4_240
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-70548-4_240
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-319-70547-7
Online ISBN: 978-3-319-70548-4
eBook Packages: Earth and Environmental ScienceEarth and Environmental Science (R0)