Abstract
As engineers, we work under the assumptions that we can analyze and design anything with an acceptable level of reliability, given enough time and resources. We also extrapolate our design experiences into new domains, as much as possible, trying to learn lessons from successful designs and applying these to new, different, and perhaps more complex, projects. In many ways, we can learn from the technological evolution of airplanes. Over the past hundred years, airplanes have developed from simple wooden structures built by one or two people using standard materials, to becoming one of the most complex and successful – reliable – structures humans have conceived and built. Perhaps the most complex and successful, given that tens of thousands of people put themselves into these structures daily and survive. The airplane passenger is safer than the automobile passenger.
“Are two safer than one?”
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Notes
- 1.
A heuristic (adjective) pertains to the process of gaining knowledge, enabling a person to discover or learn something.
References
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There are many lessons to learn from this accident review: The Nimrod Review: An independent review into the broader issues surrounding the loss of the RAF Nimrod MR2 Aircraft XV230 in Afghanistan in 2006, C. Haddon-Cave, October 28, 2009.
Anti-Fragile: Things That Gain From Disorder, N.N. Taleb, Random House, 2012, 2016; See also: The Black Swan - The Impact of the Highly Improbable, N.N. Taleb, Random House 2007, 2016.
J. Downer: The Aviation Paradox: Why We Can ‘Know’ Jetliners But Not Reactors, Minerva (2017) 55, pp.229–248.
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Benaroya, H. (2018). Airplanes, redundancy and lunar habitats. In: Building Habitats on the Moon. Springer Praxis Books(). Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-68244-0_12
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-68244-0_12
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