A Temporal-Causal Model for Spread of Messages in Disasters

  • Eric Fernandes de Mello Araújo
  • Annelore Franke
  • Rukshar Wagid Hosain
Conference paper
Part of the Lecture Notes in Computer Science book series (LNCS, volume 10449)

Abstract

In this paper we describe a temporal-causal model for the spread of messages in disaster situations based on emotion contagion and awareness works. An evaluation of the model has been done by simulation experiments and mathematical analysis. Parameter tuning was done based on two scenarios, including a credible message and a dubious message. The results are useful for the prediction of reactions during disasters, and can be extended to other applications that involve panic and supportive systems to assist people.

Keywords

Temporal-causal modeling Disaster Agent-based model 

Notes

Acknowledgments

E.F.M. Araujos funding is provided by the Science without Borders Program, through the CAPES (reference 13538-13-6).

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Copyright information

© Springer International Publishing AG 2017

Authors and Affiliations

  • Eric Fernandes de Mello Araújo
    • 1
  • Annelore Franke
    • 1
  • Rukshar Wagid Hosain
    • 1
  1. 1.VU AmsterdamAmsterdamThe Netherlands

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