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Remarks and Findings on “Evidence for a Limit to Human Life Span”

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Exploring the Health State of a Population by Dynamic Modeling Methods

Abstract

Last year (2016) an interesting paper appeared in Nature by Dong et al. titled “Evidence for a limit to human life span”. Further to the debate followed this publication the main task here is not to commend on a debate continuing for last decades but to improve the analytic tools thus opening new frontiers to scientists for further research. Replies to open questions on how fast a declining process could account to a scarce number of survivals at the high or very high ages where centenarians or super-centenarians appear. Methods to fit and estimate the people at the very right end of the mortality probability density function or to estimate the survivals at very old ages. We propose and apply related equation forms and we use the data from Gerontology and related data bases to validate the models and do projections.

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Skiadas, C.H., Skiadas, C. (2018). Remarks and Findings on “Evidence for a Limit to Human Life Span”. In: Exploring the Health State of a Population by Dynamic Modeling Methods. The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis, vol 45. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-65142-2_7

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-65142-2_7

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