Predicting the Evolution of Narratives in Social Media

  • Klaus Arthur Schmid
  • Andreas ZüfleEmail author
  • Dieter Pfoser
  • Andrew Crooks
  • Arie Croitoru
  • Anthony Stefanidis
Conference paper
Part of the Lecture Notes in Computer Science book series (LNCS, volume 10411)


The emergence of global networking capabilities (e.g. social media) has provided newfound mechanisms and avenues for information to be generated, disseminated, shaped, and consumed. The spread and evolution of online information represents a unique narrative ecosystem that is facilitated by cyberspace but operates at the nexus of three dimensions: the social network, the contextual, and the spatial. Current approaches to predict patterns of information spread across social media primarily focus on the social network dimension of the problem. The novel challenge formulated in this work is to blend the social, spatial, and contextual dimensions of online narratives in order to support high fidelity simulations that are contextually informed by past events, and support the multi-granular, reconfigural and dynamic prediction of the dissemination of a new narrative.


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Copyright information

© Springer International Publishing AG 2017

Authors and Affiliations

  • Klaus Arthur Schmid
    • 1
  • Andreas Züfle
    • 2
    Email author
  • Dieter Pfoser
    • 2
  • Andrew Crooks
    • 2
  • Arie Croitoru
    • 2
  • Anthony Stefanidis
    • 2
  1. 1.Institute of InformaticsLudwig-Maximilians-Universität MünchenMunichGermany
  2. 2.Department for Geography and Geoinformation Science, Center for Geospatial IntelligenceGeorge Mason UniversityFairfaxUSA

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