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The 2011 Japan Earthquake and Tsunami: Reconstruction and Restoration pp 469–485Cite as

Recent Process in Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Analysis (PTHA) for Mega Thrust Subduction Earthquakes

Part of the Advances in Natural and Technological Hazards Research book series (NTHR,volume 47)

Abstract

A review of the progress of Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Analysis (PTHA) for mega thrust subduction earthquakes after the 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami is presented. PTHA is used to quantify the tsunami inundation characteristics probabilistically, analogous to Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (PSHA) popularized since the early 1970s. The process of PTHA is briefly presented from frequency-intensity modeling, geometric fault parameter modeling, and synthetic slip distribution modeling. There are mainly three different approaches, i.e. historical records, a logic tree and random phase, to generate different slip distributions in PTHA. PTHA is useful for risk assessment, when combined with fragility models for probabilistic damage assessment. Moreover, PTHA provides a consistent framework that allows it to be integrated with probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) for multi-hazard damage assessment.

Keywords

  • Tsunami hazard assessment
  • Synthetic tsunami modeling
  • Probabilistic modeling
  • Inundation

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Acknowledgements

The authors appreciate for contributions to modeling and making examples by Professor P. Martin Mai (KAUST), Dr. Tomohiro Yasuda (Kansai University), Dr. Hyoungsu Park (Oregon State University), and Dr. Raffaele De Risi (University of Bristol).

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan

    Nobuhito Mori

  2. Civil Engineering, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK

    Katsuichiro Goda

  3. Civil and Construction Engineering, Oregon State University, Corvallis, USA

    Daniel Cox

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  1. Nobuhito Mori
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  2. Katsuichiro Goda
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  3. Daniel Cox
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Correspondence to Nobuhito Mori .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

  1. International Lake Environment Committee Foundation (ILEC), Otsu, Japan

    Vicente Santiago-Fandiño

  2. Department of Civil Engineering, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan

    Shinji Sato

  3. Disaster Prevention Research Institute (DPRI), Research Division of Disaster Management for Safe and Secure Society, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan

    Norio Maki

  4. International Research Institute of Disaster Science, Tohoku University, Sendai, Miyagi, Japan

    Kanako Iuchi

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Mori, N., Goda, K., Cox, D. (2018). Recent Process in Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Analysis (PTHA) for Mega Thrust Subduction Earthquakes. In: Santiago-Fandiño, V., Sato, S., Maki, N., Iuchi, K. (eds) The 2011 Japan Earthquake and Tsunami: Reconstruction and Restoration. Advances in Natural and Technological Hazards Research, vol 47. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-58691-5_27

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