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Analysis of Variance

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Handbook of Market Research
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Abstract

Experiments are becoming increasingly important in marketing research. Suppose a company has to decide which of three potential new brand logos should be used in the future. An experiment in which three groups of participants rate their liking of one of the logos would provide the necessary information to make this decision. The statistical challenge is to determine which (if any) of the three logos is liked significantly more than the others. The adequate statistical technique to assess the statistical significance of such mean differences between groups of participants is called analysis of variance (ANOVA). The present chapter provides an introduction to the key statistical principles of ANOVA and compares this method to the closely related t-test, which can alternatively be used if exactly two means need to be compared. Moreover, it provides introductions to the key variants of ANOVA that have been developed for use when participants are exposed to more than one experimental condition (repeated-measures ANOVA), when more than one dependent variable is measured (multivariate ANOVA), or when a continuous control variable is considered (analysis of covariance). This chapter is intended to provide an applied introduction to ANOVA and its variants. Therefore, it is accompanied by an exemplary dataset and self-explanatory command scripts for the statistical software packages R and SPSS, which can be found in the Web-Appendix.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    The naming of the variables throughout the chapter follows the key characteristic of the respective experimental scenario. “_2” refers to the two factor levels employed in the present experiment. All variable names are constructed following the same logic.

  2. 2.

    All barplots in this chapter were produced using the ggplot2-library in R (Wickham 2009).

  3. 3.

    R denotes the p-value by “Pr(>F),” which refers to the probability of observing the empirical F-value given the null hypothesis. R uses exponential notation to show small numbers. Hence, the value 1.45e-05 in Fig. 3 is equivalent to 0.0000145.

  4. 4.

    In real data collections, we would collect a second independent dataset from new participants. Please assume that although the data for the second experiment (and all further studies) are stored in the same dataset, these datasets are independent and come from different participants.

  5. 5.

    Please note how the df of the ANOVA changed compared to Fig. 3 due to three rather than two factor levels.

  6. 6.

    The interested reader can find more information about a priori contrasts (also called planned contrasts) in the textbooks of Field (2013), Field et al. (2012), and of Klockars and Sax (1986).

  7. 7.

    For the example with 2 × 2 experimental cells provided in Table 4, dummy-coding Factor 1 (simple = 0; complex = 1) and Factor 2 (business = 0; leisure = 1) would mean that the effect of Factor 1 compares the cell denoted by {0,0} (i.e., “simple and business”) to the two cells for which Factor 1 has the value 1 (i.e., “complex and business” and “complex and leisure”). The cell “simple and leisure” would be omitted from the test of the main effect, which is an undesirable feature of dummy coding when applied to ANOVA models.

  8. 8.

    It is important to note that the term “Type I” is used to denote more than just one statistical concept, which can be confusing. We already encountered the term in the context of the statistical p-value, where falsely rejecting the null hypothesis is called an alpha or Type I error. In the present context, “Type I” refers to a specific way of computing the sum of squares in an ANOVA model, which is completely unrelated to the “Type I error” in statistical hypothesis testing.

  9. 9.

    Please note that the residual degrees of freedom (i.e., 116) for the simple effects are the same as in the initial factorial ANOVA. This is the reason why simple effects have higher statistical power than other post hoc approaches that would just compare the two means, such as an independent-samples t-test.

  10. 10.

    The term demand artifact indicates that participants guess the hypothesis of an experiment and demonstrate behavior that is consistent with their guess instead of their natural behavior. Therefore, the occurrence of a demand artifact destroys the external validity of the observed effects. Sawyer (1975) provides an excellent discussion of this problem and potential solutions.

  11. 11.

    A third possible approach would be an extension of the regression framework called linear mixed models (LMM; for an applied introduction, see West et al. 2015).

  12. 12.

    For example, when the effect of funny vs. rational advertisement is examined, one usually shows several funny and several rational advertisements and compares the aggregated mean evaluations. The random variation between advertisements can be controlled by LMM.

  13. 13.

    An excellent introduction to the use of effect size measures and a comparison of different approaches can be found in the referred article by Lakens (2013).

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Correspondence to Jan R. Landwehr .

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Landwehr, J.R. (2022). Analysis of Variance. In: Homburg, C., Klarmann, M., Vomberg, A. (eds) Handbook of Market Research. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-57413-4_16

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