Skip to main content

Neuro Fuzzy Application in Capacity Prediction and Forecasting Model for Ukai Reservoir

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:
Development of Water Resources in India

Part of the book series: Water Science and Technology Library ((WSTL,volume 75))

  • 729 Accesses

Abstract

A major fortress for flood and draughts is a reservoir. Capacity prediction of a reservoir is an integral part for its modelling. This paper exhibits the use of soft-computing technique ANFIS (Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System) to model behavior of Ukai reservoir. Using input/output data values, the proposed ANFIS computed balance capacity of Ukai reservoir. The input parameters include storage capacity for power generation, releases in left bank main canal, releases through gates, evaporation and inflow in to the reservoir. Out of the 14 models generated, the minimum error obtained to calculate the balance capacity of the reservoir was 0.06675. Calibration has been done for the years 2004–2010. The membership function used in this case was triangular with an epoch of 25. Model is validated for 2011–2014 and the minimum error predicted for validating the model was 0.0592, which is accurate enough to predict the capacity of the reservoir at the end of the period.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Subscribe and save

Springer+ Basic
$34.99 /Month
  • Get 10 units per month
  • Download Article/Chapter or eBook
  • 1 Unit = 1 Article or 1 Chapter
  • Cancel anytime
Subscribe now

Buy Now

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 169.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 219.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 219.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. Arnold, J.G., Srinivasan, R., Muttiah, R.S., Williams, J.R.: Large area hydrological modelling and assessment Part I. J. Am. Water Resour. Assoc. 73–89 (1998)

    Google Scholar 

  2. Bijaya, P., Shreshtha, L.D., Stakhiv, E.Z.: Fuzzy rule based modelling of reservoir operation. J. Water Resour. Plan. Manag. 262–269 (1996)

    Google Scholar 

  3. Bisht, D., Jain, S., Mohan Raju, M.: Prediction of water table elevation fluctuation through fuzzy logic and artificial neural networks. Int. J. Adv. Sci. Technol. 51 (2013)

    Google Scholar 

  4. Jang, J.S.R.: ANFIS (Adaptive network based fuzzy inference system). IEEE Trans. Syst. Man Cybern. 23, 665–685 (1993)

    Google Scholar 

  5. Kadhim, H.H.: Self learning of ANFIS inverse control using iterative learning technique. Int. J. Comput. Appl. 21, 24–29 (2011)

    Google Scholar 

  6. Kerachian, R., Karamouz, M., Soltany, F.: Optimal reservoir operation considering the water quality issues. Application of adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system. In: World Environmental and Water Resource Congress ASCE (2006)

    Google Scholar 

  7. Raman, H., Chandramouli, V.: Deriving a general operating policy for reservoirs using neural network. J. Water Resour. Plan. Manag. 122(4), 262–269 (1996)

    Google Scholar 

  8. Roy, S.S.: Design of adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system for predicting surface roughness in turning operation. J. Sci. Ind. Res. 64 (2005)

    Google Scholar 

  9. Takagi, T., Sugeno, M.: Fuzzy identification systems and its application to modelling and control. IEEE Trans. Syst. Man Cybern. 15, 116–132 (1985)

    Google Scholar 

  10. Talei, A., Chua, L.H., Quek, C., Jansson, P.E.: Runoff forecasting using a Takagi-Sugeno neuro fuzzy model with online learning. J. Hydrol. 17–32 (1985)

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding authors

Correspondence to Surabhi Saxena or S. M. Yadav .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2017 Springer International Publishing AG

About this paper

Cite this paper

Saxena, S., Yadav, S.M. (2017). Neuro Fuzzy Application in Capacity Prediction and Forecasting Model for Ukai Reservoir. In: Garg, V., Singh, V., Raj, V. (eds) Development of Water Resources in India. Water Science and Technology Library, vol 75. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-55125-8_9

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics