Abstract
The United States, Great Britain and France toppled the regime of Muammar Gaddafi in about 8 months with the bombings carried out under the mantle of NATO, the participation of al-Qa’ida militants and the special forces of Qatar and other countries. Unlike Libya, it would have been hard to believe that the protests in Syria, which began on January 26, 2011, almost at the same time as the uprising in Benghazi and presented by the international media as peaceful demonstrations, would have transformed into an insurgency by March in four regions of Syria simultaneously, and that the armed struggle would continue for more than a year despite the harsh and bloody repression by the Bashar al-Assad government. But as Polonius remarked on Hamlet’s behavior, “Though this be madness, yet there is method in’t.”
In fact, there was a method to the demonstrations in both Libya and Syria. There were objective and subjective conditions for the upheavals that occurred in the Arab countries, but the United States and its partners of the European Union had nevertheless methodically developed a scheme with a broad economic, geopolitical and strategic dimension in the Middle East and in the Maghrib, especially with respect to the uprisings in Libya and Syria that began in 2011. The “cold revolutionary war”, including the protests to capitalize on international public opinion, which remained within the bounds of legality, soon evolved into a “hot revolutionary war”.
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Notes
- 1.
Shakespeare, 1975, Hamlet, Act II, Scene II, p. 1084.
- 2.
Galula, 2010, p. 43.
- 3.
Aron Lund, “Syrian Jihadism”, Policy Brief, Swedish Institute of International Affairs, September 14, 2012.
- 4.
State of the Union Address, The White House—President George W. Bush, http://georgewbush-whitehouse.archives.gov/stateoftheunion/2005/. Miller Center—University of Virginia—State of the Union Address (February 2, 2005), George W. Bush, http://millercenter.org/president/speeches/detail/4464
- 5.
Ibid.
- 6.
Ajami, 2012, p. 52.
- 7.
Itamar Rabinovich, “The Devil We Knew”, The New York Times, November 18, 2011.
- 8.
Pirenne, 1992, p. 74.
- 9.
Schmitt, 1991, pp. 35–37. All Mediterranean countries in: http://www.worldatlas.com/aatlas/infopage/medsea.htm. Accessed 09.04.2015.
- 10.
Homs lies 1400 feet above sea level, 100 miles from Damascus and 120 miles from Aleppo. It is located on the banks of the River Orontes and is the point where the cities of the heartland and of the Mediterranean coast link up. About Syria’s geostrategic location on the Mediterranean: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), https://energy.fanack.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2015/04/Fanack_Syria_Map-01_CS5groot1-1024x784.jpg, Accessed 04.05.2016.
- 11.
“Syria unrest: Oil pipeline attacked near Homs”, BBC News, Middle East, December 8, 2011.
- 12.
“Announcement for International Offshore Bid Round 2011”, Syrian Petroleum Co., Engineer Live, February 22, 2012. Location of Syria’s three offshore blocks offered in the bid round of 2011: http://www.energy-pedia.com/news/syria/syria-international-off shore-bid-round-2011-launched-for-three-off shore-blocks. Accessed 09.04.2015.
- 13.
CGG Veritas is a French geophysical company formed after the merger of the companies Compagnie Générale de Géophysique (CGG) and Veritas DGC Inc. in 2007. Its activity consists in the acquisition of land or maritime areas to monitor reserves, and analyze and interpret electromagnetic studies.
- 14.
“A Barrel Full Oil & Gas Wiki—Country Oil & Gas Profiles”, Syria Oil & Gas Profile.
- 15.
U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), http://www.eia.gov/countries/cab.cfm?fips=SY
- 16.
William Engdahl, “Das Becken der Levante und Israel—eine neue geopolitische Situation? Neuer Persischer Golf-Konflikt um Gas und Öl?”, Neue Rheinische Zeitung (NRhZ), September 12, 2012a.
- 17.
Sufian Allaw, “Syria’ oil fell between 20 and 25% because of the sanctions…No company withdraw”, Syrian Oil & Gas News—al-Hayat.
- 18.
Eric Fox, “The Mediterranean Sea Oil And Gas Boom”, September 7, 2010.
- 19.
The Levantine basin, with its enormous reserves, is situated in the eastern part of the Mediterranean, between Cyprus and the Nile delta, and it contains 33,000 feet of mesozoic and cenozoic sediments.
- 20.
“Oil and gas worldwide. Offshore oil treasures in eastern Mediterranean sea”, Neftgaz.RU News. Location of Syria’s three offshore blocks offered in the bid round of 2011: http://www.energy-pedia.com/news/syria/syria-international-offshore-bid-round-2011-launched-for-three-off shore-blocks. Accessed: 09.04.2015.
- 21.
“Natural Gas Potential Assessed in Eastern Mediterranean”, Science Daily, April 8, 2010.
- 22.
The Levantine Basin is located in the Mediterranean Sea, between Asia Minor and Egypt. In: Oil & gas prospecting on the borders of Gaza, Israel and Lebanon. http://www.voltairenet.org/article174744.html. Accessed 19.01.2015.
- 23.
http://www.yalibnan.com/2010/04/10/levant-basin-holds-122-trillion-cubic--feet-of-natural-gas/F. William Engdahl, “The New Mediterranean Oil And Gas Bonanza Part I—Israel’s Levant Basin—A New Geopolitical Curse?”, ASEA—RENSE.COM, 19/2/2012b. F. William Engdahl is the author of Century of War—Anglo-American Oil Politics.
- 24.
Ibid.
- 25.
Alain Bruneton, Elias Konafagos and Anthony E. Foscolos, “Economic and Geopolitic Importance of Eastern Mediterranean Gas ffor Greece and the E.U. Emphasis on the Probable Natural Gas Deposit occurring in the Lybian Sea with the Exclusive Economic Zone of Greece”, Oil Mineral Wealth, 2011.
- 26.
“Noble Energy Announces Another Significant Discovery in the Levant Basin Offshore Israel”.
- 27.
“Undiscovered Oil and Gas of the Nile Delta Basin, Eastern Mediterranean”, Geology.com
- 28.
“Assessment of Undiscovered Oil and Gas Resources of the Levant Basin Province, Eastern Mediterranean”, U.S. Department of the Interior, U.S. Geo Oil & gas reserves in the Nile Basin: http://pubs.usgs.gov/fs/2010/3027/pdf/FS10-3027.pdf. Accessed 09.04.2015 (logical survey).
- 29.
Steven Heydemann, “Managing militarization in Syria”, Foreign Policy, February 22, 2012.
- 30.
Sophie Shevardnadze, “Assad: Erdogan thinks he’s Caliph, new sultan of the Ottoman (EXCLUSIVE)”, Russia Today, November 9, 2012.
- 31.
Michel Chossudovsky, “SYRIA: British Special Forces, CIA and MI6 Supporting Armed Insurgency. NATO Intervention Contemplated”, Global Research, January 7, 2012.
- 32.
Céline Lussato, “La DGSE va-t-elle former les déserteurs syriens? Selon le Canard enchaîné, des agents français actuellement au Liban et en Turquie ‘ont pour mission de constituer les premiers contingents de l’Armée syrienne libre”, Le Nouvel Observateur, 23/11/2011. “France training rebels to fight Syria”, PressTV, November 26, 2011.
- 33.
Michael Ludwig, “Wollen Niedergang wettmachen “Putin attackiert den Westen”, Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung, 9/7/2012.
- 34.
Starr, 2012, pp. ix–xi.
- 35.
World news on msnbc.com, http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/46451682/ns/world_news-the_new_york_times. “U.S. Drones Fly over Syria”, RIA-Novost, 20/2/2012.
- 36.
Ibid.
- 37.
Lawrence, 1962, p. 344. Ibid.
- 38.
Ibid.
- 39.
Pipes, 1996, p. 4.
- 40.
Itamar Rabinovich, “The Devil We Knew”, The New York Times, November 18, 2011.
- 41.
Ajami, 2012, p. 61.
- 42.
Starr, 2012, p. 113.
- 43.
Itamar Rabinovich, “The Devil We Knew”, The New York Times, November 18, 2011.
- 44.
Carole A. O’Leary and Nicholas A. Heras, “Syrian Tribal Networks and their Implications for the Syrian Uprising”, The James Town Foundation, Terrorism Monitor, Volume 10, Issue 11, June 1, 2012.
- 45.
“Syrian tribes and clans denounce foreign interference”, Russia Today, 4/2/2012.
- 46.
“Arab League Syria mission to continue Initial report by Arab League observers claims monitors were harassed by the Syrian government and its opponents”, Al Jazeera—Middle East, January 9, 2012.
- 47.
League of Arab States Observer Mission to Syria, Report of the Head of the League of Arab States Observer Mission to Syria for the period from 24 December 2011 to 18 January 2012, p. 4, 27/1/2012, 1 McAULEY 259.12D 12-21687 (Signed) Muhammad Ahmad Mustafa Al-Dabi—Head of the Mission.
- 48.
Ibid., p. 4.
- 49.
Ibid., p. 8.
- 50.
Ibid., p. 4.
- 51.
Ibid., p. 8.
- 52.
Ibid., p. 7.
- 53.
Starr, 2012, p. 213.
- 54.
“Russia and China veto UN resolution against Syrian regime. Anger from Europe and US as two security council powers argue implied threat of sanctions will not bring peace”, Associated Press, The Guardian, October 5, 2011. George Galloway, “Why NATO ‘no-fly zone’ in Syria would be disastrous. The Syrian opposition is calling for a NATO no-fly zone but, says George Galloway, ‘no-flying’ means lots of flying and bombing by us of the people down below”, Stop War Coalition, October 31, 2011.
- 55.
Luke Harding, “Nato all but rules out Syria no-fly zone. Syrian president warns that intervention could lead to ‘another Afghanistan’ as Nato officials say Libya-like action lacks support”, The Guardian, October 30, 2011.
- 56.
Claudia Antunes, “EUA agravam conflito em Síria, diz ex-assessor de segurança,” Folha de S. Paulo, 6/6/2012.
- 57.
Deborah Berlinck, “Intervenção militar na Síria será catastrófica, diz Paulo Sérgio Pinheiro”, O Globo, 1/6/2012.
- 58.
- 59.
Ibid.
- 60.
Rania Abouzeid, “Syria’s Secular and Islamist Rebels: Who Are the Saudis and the Qataris Arming?”, Time, September 18, 2012. Syria with IDLIB province: http://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/624/media/images/57459000/gif/_57459059_syria_idlib_464.gif. Accessed 16.11.2016.
- 61.
Tracey Shelton, “On the front lines of Syria’s guerrilla war: Exclusive account of Sham Falcons, a rebel group waging war against the Assad government from their mountain hideouts”, Al Jazeera, June 13, 2012.
- 62.
Jonathan Spyer, “Behind the Lines: Military councils in Syria Behind the Lines: Military councils in Syria”, The Jerusalem Post, 9/7/2012.
- 63.
Seamus Mirodan, “Free Syrian army carves out its on ‘mini-state’ at captured border area”, The Irish Time, September 17, 2012.
- 64.
Karen DeYoung e Liz Sly, “Syrian rebels get influx of arms with gulf neighbors’ money, U.S. coordination”, The Washington Post, May 16, 2012. Tzvi Ben Gedalyahu, “US Helps Gulf States Arm Syrian Rebels: Report. The US is coordinating with Saudi Arabia and Qatar in arming Syrian rebels. Syria’s Muslim Brotherhood also is involved”, Arutz Sheva, 16/5/2012b.
- 65.
Rania Abouzeid, “Syria’s Secular and Islamist Rebels: Who Are the Saudis and the Qataris Arming?”, Time, September 18, 2012.
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Moniz Bandeira, L.A. (2017). The Uprising in Syria. In: The Second Cold War. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-54888-3_19
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