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On Conditioning in Multidimensional Probabilistic Models

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Robustness in Econometrics

Part of the book series: Studies in Computational Intelligence ((SCI,volume 692))

Abstract

Graphical Markov models, and above all Bayesian networks have become a very popular tool for multidimensional probability distribution representation and processing. The technique making computation with several hundred dimensional probability distribution possible was suggested by Lauritzen and Spiegelhalter. However, to employ it one has to transform a Bayesian network into a decomposable model. This is because decomposable models (or more precisely their building blocks, i.e., their low-dimensional marginals) can be reordered in many ways, so that each variable can be placed at the beginning of the model. It is not difficult to show that there is a much wider class of models possessing this property. In compositional models theory we call these models flexible. It is the widest class of models for which one can always restructure the model in the way that any variable can appear at the beginning of the model. But until recently it had been an open problem whether this class of models is closed under conditioning; i.e., whether a conditional of a flexible model is again flexible. In the paper we will show that this property holds true, which proves the importance of flexible models for practical applications.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    The reader interested in marginalization procedures is referred to algorithms designed for computations with compositional models either in Malvestuto’s papers [15, 16] and/or in [2].

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Acknowledgements

This research was supported in part by the National Science Foundation of the Czech Republic by grant no. GACR 15-00215S. The paper is an extended version of the contribution presented at the 19th Czech-Japan Seminar on Data Analysis and Decision Making under Uncertainty held in Matsumoto, Japan, September 5-7, 2016.

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Correspondence to Radim Jiroušek .

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Jiroušek, R. (2017). On Conditioning in Multidimensional Probabilistic Models. In: Kreinovich, V., Sriboonchitta, S., Huynh, VN. (eds) Robustness in Econometrics. Studies in Computational Intelligence, vol 692. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-50742-2_12

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-50742-2_12

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