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Trends in Demographic Evolution of Romania in the Beginning 21st Century

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Recent Trends in Social Systems: Quantitative Theories and Quantitative Models

Part of the book series: Studies in Systems, Decision and Control ((SSDC,volume 66))

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Abstract

The last census from 2011—recently held in Romania—confirmed that the decrease of population in our country continues to occur due to the negative growth of the population and the specific migration trends. Other statistical data are unsettling: a low level of birth rate or fertility, great infant mortality rate, general trend of aging of population and other events and processes that are negatives for the evolution of population in Romania. For example, with the process of the aging of the population we expect to have an increasing pressure for the active population and significant changes on the labor market and in social benefits sector. Some pessimistic predictions assume that after 20 years we will have serious problems with paying the pensions for the elderly population. In this article we intend to present some considerations about the evolution of demographic phenomenon in Romania and to estimate these evolutions on short and long term. To be more precise, we intend to identify if there are some specific demographical situations or if we are integrated in an East European demographic model with the same threats and weaknesses.

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Correspondence to Adrian Netedu .

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Netedu, A. (2017). Trends in Demographic Evolution of Romania in the Beginning 21st Century. In: Maturo, A., Hošková-Mayerová, Š., Soitu, DT., Kacprzyk, J. (eds) Recent Trends in Social Systems: Quantitative Theories and Quantitative Models. Studies in Systems, Decision and Control, vol 66. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-40585-8_26

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-40585-8_26

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