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Stochastic Models

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Methodologies for Service Life Prediction of Buildings

Part of the book series: Green Energy and Technology ((GREEN))

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Abstract

This chapter proposes the formulation of stochastic models (logistic regression analysis and Markov chains model), which allow analysing the claddings’ service life based on probabilistic distribution functions. These models allow assessing: i) the probability of each façade with a given degradation condition according to its age, its characteristics, and the environmental exposure condition; ii) the period of time with maximum probability of transition from a degradation condition to the next one (more severe); iii) the probability of each case study reaching the end of its service life over a given period of time.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Instituto Superior Técnico, Universidade de Lisboa, Lisbon, Portugal

    Ana Silva

  2. Instituto Superior Técnico, Universidade de Lisboa, Lisbon, Portugal

    Jorge de Brito

  3. Faculty of Architecture, Universidade de Lisboa, Lisbon, Portugal

    Pedro Lima Gaspar

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  1. Ana Silva
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  2. Jorge de Brito
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  3. Pedro Lima Gaspar
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Correspondence to Ana Silva .

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Silva, A., de Brito, J., Gaspar, P.L. (2016). Stochastic Models. In: Methodologies for Service Life Prediction of Buildings. Green Energy and Technology. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-33290-1_4

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