Chapter

Methods for Measuring Greenhouse Gas Balances and Evaluating Mitigation Options in Smallholder Agriculture

pp 135-162

Date:

Methods for Smallholder Quantification of Soil Carbon Stocks and Stock Changes

  • Gustavo SaizAffiliated withKarlsruhe Institute of Technology, Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research, Atmospheric Environmental Research (IMK-IFU) Email author 
  • , Alain AlbrechtAffiliated withInstitute of Research for Development (IRD)

10.1007/978-3-319-29794-1_7

Abstract

Smallholder agricultural systems in tropical and subtropical regions may have significantly contributed to greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions over the past number of decades. As a result, these systems currently offer large GHG mitigation potentials (e.g., soil organic carbon (SOC) sequestration), which can be realized through the implementation of good management and sustainable agricultural practices. In this chapter we synthesize current available methodologies designed to assess SOC stocks and stock changes. From this analysis, it becomes apparent that the design and subsequent implementation of any quantification and monitoring scheme envisaged for studies focusing solely on the soil component greatly differs from those developed for whole ecosystem accounting, not just in its approach, but also in the amount of resources needed to implement it within a given degree of accuracy. We provide analyses and recommendations on methods specifically dealing with quantification and assessment of SOC at both the individual farm and the landscape scale in smallholder agricultural systems.

7.1 Introduction

Agricultural activities are responsible for about one-third of the world’s greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and this share is projected to grow, especially in developing countries (IPCC 2007). Indeed, smallholder agricultural systems are highly dynamic and heterogeneous environments that may have significantly contributed to GHG emissions over the past number of decades (Berry 2011). Furthermore, these systems traditionally suffer from severe soil organic matter (SOM) depletion due to intense decomposition following soil ploughing, the removal of most of the aboveground biomass during harvest, and the enhanced soil erosion inherent to those activities. Yet, they may also offer large mitigation potentials through the implementation of good management and sustainable agricultural practices, particularly through improvements in land-use management, as nearly 90 % of IPCC-identified technical potential lies in enhancing soil carbon sinks (Lipper et al. 2011).

A number of methodologies are currently available for the quantification of carbon stocks in terrestrial ecosystems, varying widely in terms of accuracy, scale, and resources needed for their implementation (e.g., Pearson et al. 2005; Ravindranath and Ostwald 2008; Hairiah et al. 2010). Table 7.1 offers a comparative analysis of methods for quantification of soil organic carbon (SOC) stocks and changes with regard to level of accuracy, scale, resources demanded, and land covers considered. While nearly all the schemes feature soil as a component of the total carbon pool, the number of methods specifically designed to assess SOC stocks and stock changes are considerably more limited. This is despite the wide acknowledgement that many ecosystem services are strongly correlated with SOC levels, and their huge importance for sustaining local livelihoods. The design and implementation of any quantification and monitoring methodology for studies focusing solely on the soil component may greatly differ from those developed for whole ecosystem accounting, not only in approach or the accuracy but also in necessary resources. Therefore, it is justified to develop methods that can effectively deal with soil carbon quantification and monitoring for a given accuracy within the available budget. In the present work we focus on the soil component and provide analyses and recommendations for methods to quantify SOC in smallholder agriculture in tropical environments.
Table 7.1

Comparative analysis of methods for smallholder quantification of SOC stocks and changes with regard to level of accuracy, scale, resources demanded, and land covers considered

Method/quantification approach

Accuracy

Scale

Resources demanded

Land covers considered

Uncertainty given

Widely tested/used

Landscape

Farm /paddock

Cost

Specialist expertise

Specialized equipment

Landscape stratification for sampling

Cropland

Rangeland/grazing land

Grassland

Agroforestry

Woodland

(a) Methods specifically designed for SOC quantification

A protocol for modeling, measurement, and monitoring soil carbon stocks in agricultural landscapes. Aynekulu et al. (2011)

x

x

x

a

MH

M

LM

 

x

 

x

x

x

VCS Module VMD0021

x

 

x

x

H

MH

MH

x

x

x

x

x

x

Estimation of Stocks in the soil carbon pool

Sampling, measurement and analytical protocols for carbon estimation in soil, litter, and coarse woody debris. McKenzie et al. (2000)

x

x

x

x

M

M

M

x

x

x

x

x

x

Soil testing protocols at the paddock scale for contracts and audits—Market-based instrument for soil carbon. Murphy et al. (2013)

x

 

x

b

LM

M

M

x

 

x

x

  

(b) Methods considering SOC as part of whole ecosystem carbon quantification

Measuring Carbon Stocks Across Land Use Systems (ICRAF). Hairiah et al. (2010)

x

x

x

x

LMH

LMH

LMH

x

x

 

x

x

x

Guide to Monitoring Carbon Storage in Forestry and Agroforestry Projects. MacDicken (1997)

x

x

x

 

LM

LM

LM

x

   

x

x

GOFC-GOLD (2009)

x

 

x

 

MH

MH

MH

     

x

Forest Carbon Stock Measurement: Guidelines for Measuring Carbon Stocks in Community-Managed Forests Subedi et al. (2010)

x

 

x

 

M

M

M

x

   

x

x

Small-Holder Agriculture Monitoring and Baseline Assessment (SHAMBA) methodology. Berry et al. (2012)

x

 

c

x

LM

M

M

d

x

  

x

 

Integrating Carbon Benefits into GEF Projects. Pearson et al. (2005)

x

x

x

x

M

MH

MH

?

x

x

x

x

x

Carbon Inventory Methods. Ravindranath and Ostwald (2008)

x

 

x

 

LMH

MH

MH

?

x

 

x

x

x

Notes: LMH (low, medium, high)

aIf remote sensing available

bSpecifically designed for paddock (generally an extensive rangeland)

cNot designed for sites with signs of significant erosion

dOnly areas with climate smart agricultural activities considered

The SOC inventory in a given soil profile is controlled by the complex interaction of many factors, including climate, soil texture, topography, fire frequency, land use, and land management (Bird et al. 2001; Saiz et al. 2012). These drivers exert contrasting influences on SOC stocks at different spatial scales. At the local scale, biotic factors and management activities play a fundamental role in affecting the quantity and quality of carbon inputs and decomposition processes, while at larger scales the variation in SOC stocks is mainly controlled by topographic, edaphic, and climate-related factors (Wynn and Bird 2007; Allen et al. 2010; Saiz et al. 2012). Ultimately, an increase in SOC levels at a given site may occur either through the reduction of factors promoting SOM mineralization and lateral exports (e.g., erosion), and/or by increasing SOM inputs and enhancing stabilization mechanisms (e.g., physical protection of SOM through stable aggregates).

Given the inherent high spatial variability of SOC, accurate quantification and monitoring of SOC stocks and stock changes is a complex task even in relatively homogeneous ecosystems. This complexity is further exacerbated in smallholder environments by the existence of multiple land use activities occurring at various management intensities. Moreover, sources of uncertainty and suitable levels of precision and accuracy differ when working at the landscape scale as opposed to the farm scope because biogeochemical processes affecting SOC dynamics operate and interact at different spatial scales (Veldkamp et al. 2001; Milne et al. 2013). Therefore, efficient sampling designs are needed across smallholder agricultural systems to ensure that SOC stocks and stock changes can be detected at various scales for a given accuracy and at minimum costs (Milne et al. 2012; Singh et al. 2013). Chapters 2 and 3 in this book provide some critical discussions on sampling designs specific to smallholder contexts. These chapters deal with systems characterization and targeting, and determination GHG emissions and removals associated with land use and land cover change.

In the present work, we propose an integrated field-based approach for small household systems that encompasses estimates of SOC stocks and stock changes both at farm and landscape scales over a wide range of land use management intensities.

7.2 Quantification of Soil Carbon Stocks

7.2.1 Sampling Design: Stratification of the Project Area

While the establishment of a geographical extent for quantification of SOC stocks and stock changes at the farm level can be straightforward, it is not the case for smallholder landscape assessment. The landscape concept may be defined by a geographic or ecological boundary , which often includes a mosaic of land covers and land uses that are managed in several different ways by the multiple stakeholders involved. In this context, Chap. 2 in this book provides recommendations for stratifying the landscape according to its agricultural productivity, economic outputs, potential GHG emissions, and social and cultural values. A SOC quantification scheme could integrate with such a stratification approach at the landscape level.

Herein, we describe the methods specifically dealing with quantification and assessment of SOC at both the individual farm and the landscape scale in smallholder agricultural systems.

Farm Level

Intensive work conducted over the past decade in smallholder agricultural systems in sub-Saharan Africa has demonstrated the existence of within-farm variability of soil fertility and related soil properties (Prudencio 1993; Carsky et al. 1998; Tittonell et al. 2005a, b, 2013). A common feature of these farming systems is the existence of strong gradients of decreasing soil fertility with increasing distance from the homestead, which mainly occur as a result of differential resource allocation driven by the farmer. This spatial gradient must be taken into account when designing SOC sampling strategies in these agricultural systems, and more so considering that previous work has also identified strong correlations between yields, soil quality indicators, land use management, and the distance from the homestead (Tittonell et al. 2005b, 2013). On the other hand, the presence of either annual or perennial vegetation on a given land use may have a strong impact on SOC stocks, as they significantly determine both the quantity and quality of organic matter inputs into the soil (Guo and Gifford 2002; Saiz et al. 2012). Therefore, distance from the homestead and land use classified by the presence of annual or perennial vegetation, are the main criteria to use in order to categorize field types for the purpose of soil sampling. Accordingly, fields are classified into home gardens, close-distance, mid-distance, and remote fields following a similar procedure as in Tittonell et al. (2005b). These areas may contain several land uses, and as it may not be feasible to sample all of them, priority should be given to the actual representativeness of the land uses being considered. Therefore, sampling should be preferentially done in the largest fields provided that management activities with potentially heavy impact on SOC stocks, such as manure additions or recurrent burning of stubble, are roughly comparable between the different land uses. However, this assumption may not hold quite true in these farming systems, and thus it is worth noting that if land use management needs to be adequately quantified, then the sampling effort may need to be increased quite considerably. Nonetheless we hypothesize that, on the whole, soil sampling across a spatial gradient may partially account for the effect of land management intensities along the farm, given that such activities are also likely to occur along the same gradient.

Landscape Level

Assessment of SOC stocks at the landscape scale can be done following a spatially stratified randomized sampling design, as this will allow for a more optimum areal coverage and unbiased assessment of sample mean, variance, and estimation variance of the sample mean. At the landscape level, the stratification can be done either through: (a) ancillary data, or (b) geographic coordinates, which may include the use of a systematic grid over the project area (de Gruijter et al. 2006).

Stratification through ancillary variables requires the establishment of discrete strata on which selected factors affecting SOC stocks show some degree of uniformity. Once the study boundaries have been defined, the use of remote sensing in combination with geophysical and management information may provide an effective means to stratify the target area (Ladoni et al. 2010). Such stratification needs to be performed considering, at minimum: available soil classifications, soil texture, landform information, topographic position, land cover, land use, management history, fire records, and obvious soil erosion/deposition processes. The initial stratification should be conducted in a hierarchical order whereby the factor that exerts the strongest influence on SOC stocks is ranked first, and other factors with less influence on SOC are subsequently assigned (e.g., a classical ranking approach might be climate, soil texture, land cover and management, etc.). The VCS module (VMD0018) provides detailed methodology on how to implement and adapt the stratification to the needs of the sampling process. Ideally, the number of samples to be measured in each stratum should be determined as a proportion of the area and the variance observed for that particular stratum. For this, a pilot soil sampling can be conducted which would serve a double purpose: to obtain an initial estimate of the variance for each stratum and serve as a training exercise for technicians who will be involved in subsequent sampling (MacDicken 1997). Nonetheless, it is likely that in smallholder systems, a stratum defined by biophysical factors may still be made up of land parcels managed in highly contrasting ways. Indeed, land management could account for more variation in SOC stocks at the landscape/ regional level than either soil types or land use. Under such circumstances, there may be a need to stratify into a greater number of land use categories to account for land use management practices between farm tenancies (Bell and Worrall 2009). Consequently, the number of samples needed to account for spatial patterns and uncertainty in a highly heterogeneous environment can quickly become impractical due to the cost and time associated with sample collection, preparation, and analyses. To avoid this, spatially stratified systematic sampling approaches such as the one employed by the Land Degradation Surveillance Framework (LDSF; Aynekulu et al. 2011; Vågen et al. 2015) are easier to establish and monitor, and therefore may be a cost-effective alternative to provide a representative landscape estimate of SOC stocks and their changes. Moreover, the resulting sampling locations are spatially dispersed across the study area, but the range of variation in SOC stocks is not as effectively covered as with the stratification by ancillary variables. Therefore, the user should make his/her own choice depending on the available resources and the degree of accuracy required. We advocate the stratification by ancillary variables. However, in the case of very large heterogeneous regions, we recommend the implementation of a spatially stratified systematic sampling. It is worth stressing that while both stratification approaches (spatial and using ancillary variables) can yield relatively accurate information about SOC stocks at the landscape level, they lack proper accounting at the farm scale unless specific sampling strategies within a given household are further implemented.

The number of plots required to estimate SOC stocks in each stratum depends on the desired precision, often set at ±10 % of the mean at 90 or 95 % confidence level. The number of plots per stratum can be ascertained through the relationship described by Snedecor and Cochran (1967); See specifics in the detailed methodology section (Appendix A).

An initial soil sampling campaign should be conducted to establish baselines that can be used as references to monitor changes in SOC stocks. The level of precision required for a SOC inventory will undoubtedly influence the number of plots to be sampled, which will have necessarily a very strong impact on the cost associated with fieldwork and soil processing. Indeed, the largest component of the total cost incurred in SOC surveys corresponds to soil sampling and preparation (Aynekulu et al. 2011). Except for the case of surveys in which extremely large numbers of samples are collected (>2000), the actual cost of soil analyses is relatively low compared to the total expenditure derived from the collection and preparation of samples. Withal, and in order to minimize the number of samples to be analyzed, an extensively applied method is the bulking (pooling) of samples collected within a plot at the same depth interval. This procedure has been shown to be a cost-effective technique for smoothing out local heterogeneity and for achieving robust local and regional estimates of SOC inventories (Bird et al. 2004; Wynn et al. 2006; Saiz et al. 2012).

The specific objectives of the study shall ultimately dictate the sampling priorities, which combined with the available resources, will determine the methodology and sampling intensity to apply.

7.2.2 Sample Collection

(See also the Simplified Protocol for this purpose in Appendix B)

Ideally, samples undergoing analyses should be as representative as possible of the area of interest. To help with this, samples can be combined to provide a single representative composite sample, but there should be at least several composite samples per selected plot to provide an estimate of variance. Therefore, we propose to take three soil samples (which will be subsequently pooled by depth interval before analyses) at four locations in each plot. A plot will correspond to a given field and land use within each selected farm. The initial sampling location will roughly be allocated at the center of the field, with three replicates laid out according to a pattern of three axes separated 120° with respect to an initial axis pointing north. The replicates will be selected along these axes at approximately mid-distance between the center of the field and its boundaries. The final sampling locations will be georeferenced using a GPS, and notes should be taken about the sampling location with regard to the proximity of perennial vegetation (i.e., shrubs, trees, etc.), and any other relevant information such as presence of rock outcrops. Unless very intensive sampling is required in a given particular field, then the low analytical load proposed at the field scale (four composite samples) does not allow for proper intercomparison of small-scale intercropping, or for comparison between furrows and ridges. Therefore, sampling should be systematically allocated at the same ploughing feature (e.g., furrow).

Previous to any sampling surface litter will be removed by hand. Soil samples will then be collected at 0–10 and 10–30 cm depth intervals making use of a steel corer. This procedure will allow for determinations through the retrieval of a single soil core of both OC abundance and accurate soil bulk density (SBD) at each depth interval. Accurate determination of SBD in the topsoil layers is particularly critical given that it is at these shallow locations where SBD shows the largest variability and significantly large quantities of OC are stored. Nevertheless, it is important to note that while the use of a steel corer may be a feasible procedure in many arable lands as a result of both soil being regularly disturbed and stones being progressively removed over the years, the use of a soil auger may be necessary to collect samples in stony or very hard soils. Indeed, impenetrable layers permitting, soil sampling at 30–50 cm needs to be carried out individually at each of the four sampling locations. In this case, replication at each sampling location is avoided because of the considerable extra time and effort that would be required. Section 7.2.4 explains the different procedures that can be used to calculate SOC stocks.

7.2.3 Sample Preparation and Analytical Methods

(See also the Simplified Protocol for this purpose in Appendix B)

Once in the laboratory, samples are weighed in their sealed bags, clumps broken by hand and then oven dried at 40 °C to constant weight. Thereafter, an aliquot of each sample will be oven dried at 105 °C for 4 h which will allow for the calculation of SBD, while the remainder of the samples will then be dry sieved to 2 mm and gravel and root content >2 mm determined by weight.

Standard methods of soil carbon analysis such as dry combustion or wet oxidation are extensively used in SOC studies as they provide optimum quality results. Moreover, elemental (dry) combustion appliances can be coupled to mass spectrometers to provide stable isotopic carbon signatures of SOM, which broadens the possibilities for better assessing soil carbon dynamics (Bird et al. 2004). However, the elemental combustion technique is resource-demanding and may be impractical or too expensive for large sets of samples and for continuous monitoring (Aynekulu et al. 2011; Batjes 2011). Nonetheless, the amount of time required to estimate SOC stocks and the sampling and analytical costs can be greatly reduced by employing emerging techniques for in situ estimation of SOC. Among such techniques the one that has been most widely used, and thus tested, is the Infrared Reflectance Spectroscopy, either at the Near or Mid-infrared reflectance spectroscopy (NIRS or MIRS), which once calibrated can provide rapid accurate SOC estimates (Shepherd and Walsh 2002, 2007; Aynekulu et al. 2011). Despite its usefulness and versatility, it is still necessary that a significant proportion of samples (i.e., 20 %) covering the projected range of SOC values for a given inventory are analyzed using standard SOC analytical procedures. This will in turn offer the necessary calibration set to confidently apply either MIRS or NIRS to the total set of samples. The use of remote spectroscopy on airborne or satellite-mounted sensors can also provide spatially distributed and resource-efficient measurement of SOC content (Ladoni et al. 2010). However, these techniques still require simultaneous ground observations to allow for proper calibration, and there are several major challenges associated with data accuracy (Croft et al. 2012; Stevens et al. 2006).

7.2.4 Quantification of SOC Stocks

There are different approaches to account for soil carbon stocks and stock changes, and they all aim at providing a measure of mass of SOC per unit ground area.

The spatial coordinate approach calculates stocks considering the amount of carbon contained within a given volume of soil, which is defined by the sampled area and the depth referenced to the surface level. With this approach, the average SOC stock for a given depth interval (d) is calculated according to the following formula:
$$ {\mu}_{\mathrm{d}}={\mathrm{BD}}_{\mathrm{d}}\times {\mathrm{OC}}_{\mathrm{d}}\times D \times \left(1-\mathrm{g}\mathrm{r}\right)/10; $$
where:
  • μ d is SOC stock (Mg OC ha−1)

  • BDd is soil bulk density (g cm−3)

  • OCd is the concentration of OC in soil (<2 mm; mg OC g−1soil)

  • D is soil depth interval (cm)

  • gr is fractional gravel content, the soil fraction >2 mm

However, the amount of soil contained within a given volume (SBD) may change as a result of swelling and/or compaction caused by land use change or management. Under those circumstances, sampling to a fixed depth from the surface (spatial coordinate approach) will result in different amounts of soil mass being sampled for the same volume, while the soil C concentration per unit dry soil mass might not have changed. This can lead to errors in the interpretation of changes in SOC storage following disturbance.

The determination of SOC stocks can also be achieved through cumulative or material mass coordinate approach, which consists of collection and quantification of all the soil mass in a given depth interval. The use of cumulative mass coordinate approach is widely used to correct for differences in bulk density that may have been caused by land use change or agricultural practices. Moreover, the adoption of this method may improve our ability to make comparative measurements across time, treatments, locations, and equipment (McKenzie et al. 2000; Gifford and Roderick 2003; Wuest 2009). Furthermore, since sampling by mass avoids potential biases derived from varying bulk density caused by land use change or agricultural practices, it is often regarded as the method of choice for SOC monitoring over time (see McKenzie et al. 2000 and Gifford and Roderick 2003 for detailed guidance on the method). Nonetheless, compared to soil coring, this method requires additional effort and skill. In the cumulative mass approach, depth varies such that each sample contains the same dry mass per unit ground area. Gifford and Roderick (2003) provide in-detail explanations and examples on how to determine SOC stocks using this methodology. Briefly, the method involves coring a bit deeper than the nominal depth involved (e.g., 55 cm for a required 50 cm depth) and each full soil core is then divided into several segments. We recommend sampling at 10, 30, 50, and 55 cm in those cases where coring may be feasible in order to compute for SBD and be able to interconvert between the spatial coordinate and the cumulative mass coordinate approach.

Another method that has been recommended to quantify SOC stock changes is the equivalent soil mass approach (Ellert and Bettany 1995; Lee et al. 2009). It consists of correcting for differences in SBD through the calculation of the mass of SOC in an equivalent soil mass per unit area (i.e., the heaviest soil layer is designated as the equivalent mass, against which to calculate the thickness of the soil that is required to obtain such mass). However, its implementation is even more difficult than the coordinate mass approach (McBratney and Minasny 2010).

Regardless of the method used to quantify SOC stocks, the provision of SBD data is of great importance so as to understand and interpret SOC dynamics (Gifford and Roderick 2003). In the case of soil augering, the calculation of SBD can be achieved by sand-filling the auger-hole volume. Alternatively, one can use soil density rings , which are orthogonally inserted onto the wall of a dugout soil pit. These are however highly time consuming as well as demanding tasks, and hence they should be limited to cases in which coring is not possible.

7.2.5 Scaling SOC Stocks to Landscape and Whole Farms

There is a lack of standardized methodologies to scale up SOC stocks from a point source (pedon) to regional (landscape) and larger spatial scales. In this work, the scaling up of SOC stocks at the landscape scale is achieved through the proposed spatially stratified randomized sampling design. Accordingly, the average SOC stock for a given stratum is calculated as follows:
$$ {\mu}_{\mathrm{st}}=\frac{1}{n}{\displaystyle {\sum}_{i=1}^n{y}_i;} $$
where:
  • μ st is the mean SOC stock for stratum st

  • y i represents each calculated SOC stock in that stratum

  • n is the number of observations in that stratum (see Appendix A for detailed calculations on the number of plots required in each stratum)

The variance in SOC stocks for a given stratum is calculated according to the following formula:
$$ {\sigma}_{\mathrm{st}}^2=\frac{1}{n-1}{\displaystyle {\sum}_{i=1}^n{\left({y}_i-{\mu}_{\mathrm{st}}\right)}^2;} $$
where:
  • σ is the SOC stocks variance

  • y i represents each calculated SOC stock in that stratum

  • μ st is mean SOC stock associated with the stratum st

  • n is the number of observations in that stratum

The average SOC stock for the area of study (landscape) is calculated considering both the mean SOC stock obtained for each stratum and the area occupied by each stratum. Therefore, the calculation is as follows:
$$ \mu =\frac{\sum_h^H{a}_h\times {\mu}_h}{A}; $$
where:
  • μ is the mean SOC stock

  • a h is the area of the stratum h

  • μ h is mean SOC stock associated with the stratum h

  • A is the total area of the study

The average standard error in SOC stocks for the area of study (landscape) is calculated according to the following formula:
$$ \mathrm{S}\mathrm{E}=\sqrt{{\displaystyle {\sum}_{h=1}^H{\left(\frac{a_h}{A}\right)}^2}\times \frac{{S_h}^2}{a_h}}; $$
where:
  • SE is the standard error for the entire population

  • a h is the area of the stratum h

  • S h is the variance of stratum h

  • A is the total area of the study

Scaling SOC stocks from a few point source measurements (fields) to the whole farm necessarily requires a series of assumptions unless all fields within the farm are sampled (which may be highly unpractical). Here, it is assumed that the center and perimeter of each field are georeferenced so that the field’s surface area can be determined. In the proposed scheme, samples within a given farm should be taken along the previously described land use intensity gradient (i.e., home gardens, close-distance, mid-distance, and remote fields) at their most spatially representative fields. If for a given section (i.e., close-distance fields), there is an occurrence of individual fields with annual and perennial vegetation (crops or trees), and the area of the smaller field is at least half the size of bigger field, then sampling should be conducted at both fields. The average SOC stock for the selected farm is then calculated considering both the mean SOC stock obtained for each section and the area occupied by each section. The calculation procedure is similar to the one described for the landscape scale, and it simply replaces strata by sections.

Uncertainties in SOC stock assessments vary according to the scale and the spatial landscape unit. Goidts et al. (2009) demonstrated that scaling up field scale measurements to the landscape level increases the coefficient of variation of SOC estimates. However, the same work showed that such uncertainty may be smaller than errors associated to local spatial heterogeneity and analytical procedures.

7.3 Quantification of Soil Carbon Stock Changes

The determination of the sampling intensity required to demonstrate a minimum detectable difference in SOC stocks over time has been the subject of numerous studies (Garten and Wullschleger 1999; Conen et al. 2004; Smith 2004). The actual number of samples to detect SOC differences for different degrees of statistical confidence will be directly dependent on the background level that the study requires (i.e., the detectable difference in SOC relative to the stock baseline estimated in the first inventory). Moreover, considering the inherent natural variability of soil properties, the demonstration of small changes in SOC stocks may often require the collection of an impractically large number of samples (Garten and Wullschleger 1999), whose costs may quickly overrun any financial benefit derived from a potential increase in SOC levels. Therefore, different approaches have been used to monitor SOC stock changes, which invariably represent a compromise between accuracy and cost. Table 7.2 shows a comparison of methods used to monitor SOC stock changes classified according to the level of accuracy, scale, and resources demanded.
Table 7.2

Comparison of methods for monitoring SOC stock changes with regard to level of accuracy, scale, and resources demanded

Quantification approach

Measurement domain

Measuring technique

Accuracy

Scale

Resources demanded

Analytical precision

Need for calibration

Widely tested/used

Spatial coverage

Landscape

Farm

Cost/time

Specialist expertise

Specialized equipment

Repeated Measurements

Laboratory-based analyses

Conventional analyses (e.g., dry combustion, wet chemistry)

H

 

H

L

L

M

H

M

M

Lab-spectroscopy

M-H

X

M-H

L-M

L

M

M-H

M-H

M

In situ analyses

Ground-based spectroscopy

M-H

X

L-M

M

M

M-H

M

M-H

M

Remote spectroscopy

Processing of spectroscopic imagery

M

X

L-M

H

H

c

L-M

H

M-H

Modeling

Simulations

Process-based models of SOM dynamics (e.g., Century, Roth-C, DNDC)

L-M

X

a

d

  

L

H

L

IPCC Good Practice Guidance (LULUCF)

L

 

b

   

L

L

L

Notes: LMH (low, medium, high)

aSee text for limitations and assumptions needed when using modeling

bEmission factors provided by IPCC Good Practice Guidelines to calculate changes in SOC stocks have been widely used, but due to its inherent generality is an extremely coarse instrument for proper quantification of changes in small household systems, and it is mentioned here for reference purposes only

cThe use of remote spectroscopy at the farm scale is strongly limited by the resolution of the available imagery

dProper simulation of SOC dynamics at the landscape and farm scale may be possible provided it is conducted on sites with accurate management information

7.3.1 Repeated measurements

A further classification is made on the basis of the measurement domain (where the analyses take place).

Laboratory-Based Analyses

These are the most widely used techniques, which involve physical collection and subsequent processing of soil samples (see Sect. 7.2.3). The standard methods used for soil carbon analysis are dry combustion, wet oxidation, and the use of reflectance spectroscopy, which is increasingly being used over the past number of years as an effective way to optimize time and analytical costs. However, some controversy still exists about the compatibility of data derived from different spectroradiometers (Reeves 2010), and there is still a need for collection and analyses by conventional techniques of a significant proportion of samples to allow for calibration of the entire sample set.

In Situ Analyses

While lab-based analyses provide high-quality results, they are resource-demanding and may be impractical or too expensive for continuous monitoring of SOC (Aynekulu et al. 2011; Batjes 2011). The implementation of SOC analyses in the field by means of portable spectroscopy allows for the assessment of a much larger number of sampling locations compared to that offered by lab-based methods, as the former is a fast, cost-effective, and non-destructive technique. However, its accuracy is lower than that provided by conventional methods, since there are issues related to soil surface conditions such as soil moisture and surface roughness, which may affect the spectral signal. Therefore, there is a need to conduct a statistical calibration before each field campaign in order to achieve an acceptable level of accuracy (Stevens et al. 2006).

Remote Spectroscopy

The use of reflectance spectroscopy on airborne or satellite-mounted sensors provide high temporal resolution and allow for an improved representation of the spatial variation of SOC in a cost-efficient manner (Ladoni et al. 2010; Croft et al. 2012; Stevens et al. 2006). Nonetheless, there are still major constraints with regard to using this technique as a plausible method to detect SOC stock changes. Croft et al. (2012) highlight some of these limitations, which include: the comparatively higher analytical uncertainty than that obtained from conventional or ground-based reflectance spectroscopy; the high spatiotemporal variability of soil surface conditions that can affect the spectral signal (e.g., soil moisture, vegetation or crop residue cover, differences in soil surface roughness, etc.); the spatial uncertainties associated with instrument spatial resolution and SOC spatial heterogeneity; and the need for atmospheric correction and simultaneous ground data collection to calibrate and validate the output of such studies. Furthermore, remote spectroscopy can only use the reflectance of bare surface to measure soil properties and is not able to detect vertical gradients in SOC within the topsoil (Stevens et al. 2006). Finally, there is a dearth of studies using remote spectroscopy in arid or semi-arid regions, which host a large amount of small household farming systems. In these environments SOC contents are typically low and the interference with other soil properties (e.g., CaCO3 or CaSO4 contents) may change the spectral behavior of soil considerably, which could have further detrimental effects on the performance of the remote sensing techniques (Ladoni et al. 2010). Withal, the detection limit of these techniques is still too high to use them for SOC stock change studies (Stevens et al. 2006). To make these techniques fully operative, additional efforts must be taken to decrease the detection limit.

7.3.2 Modeling

Compared to measuring techniques that require the implementation of repeated measurements to quantify SOC stock changes, the use of process-based models (e.g., DNDC, Roth-C, Century) have obvious advantages in terms of resources demanded. Moreover, models can provide relatively fast and inexpensive simulations of SOM dynamics at different spatiotemporal scales. However, such simulations are based on a number of assumptions that will necessarily result in very large uncertainties of the estimates obtained. Here, we briefly describe some of the main weaknesses of models that could potentially be used to quantify SOC stock changes within the context of small household agricultural systems in tropical environments.

Assumption of Stable Conditions

Most SOM dynamic models assume stable conditions in SOM pools prior to modeling how factors like management or climate change affect their dynamics. However, the vast majority of small household systems in the tropics are not necessarily in steady state conditions. In the tropics, large tracts of land under current agricultural practices have been covered by natural ecosystems not much longer than a generation ago, but in many cases this would only be a few decades or even just some years ago (Houghton 1994; FAO and JRC 2012). Because of this, current SOM dynamics will still be highly influenced by past vegetation. Therefore, the assumption of stable conditions in those systems is likely to result in gross inaccuracies. While the influence of past vegetation might of course be modeled, this would be done at the expense of bringing on further uncertainty to the results, as this impact is likely to vary with the type of vegetation, time since conversion, landscape position, soil type, etc.

Coupling Erosion Processes

Quite a significant number of small household systems are established on slopes of varying degrees, with farms being increasingly established on steep marginal land as a result of population pressure. Moreover, cropped fields may be void of vegetation for some time during the year, or in some cases, the entire year (fallow). The combination of those factors makes soil erosion a highly significant factor, which may naturally lead to lateral transfers of SOM. Again, coupling a soil erosion model to a SOM dynamic one can be attempted, but the resultant application would need to be parameterised for the wide array of heterogeneous conditions existing between farm managements, the different land uses, soil types, etc., all of which may undoubtedly produce an even greater source of uncertainty.

Existence of Contrasting SOM Dynamics Between Crops

Small household systems are highly dynamic in terms of the crops being used (C3 plants such as legumes and napier grass; and C4 plants such maize and sorghum) whose presence and abundance may vary between years within the fields of a given farm. There is increasing evidence that C3 and C4 vegetation have a strong influence on SOM processes, see for instance Wynn and Bird (2007) and more recently Saiz et al. (2015). Besides inherent microbial processes and material (biomass) recalcitrance, these dynamics are highly influenced by soil texture through their effect on abiotic properties. Therefore, vegetation may exert very strong effects on SOC stocks, which traditional SOM dynamic models are not yet able to simulate.

In summary, models can provide very useful indications about trends of SOM levels with respect to changes in climate and/or management, and they can do so at high spatiotemporal resolutions and at a fraction of the cost of those using repeated measurements (Table 7.2). However, the uncertainties associated to the estimates are currently too large to use them as a verifiable tool to demonstrate SOC stock changes, particularly in these highly heterogeneous systems. At the very least, models require high-quality data gathered at different time intervals for proper parameterisation, and this is still an important aspect clearly lacking for these grossly understudied tropical systems (Rosenstock et al. 2016, Chap. 9).

7.3.3 Monitoring Frequency and Recommendations

While IPCC (2003) and IPCC (2006) recommend 5- and 10–20 year monitoring intervals respectively, a relevant sampling interval suited to site-specific conditions can be ascertained by using models of SOC dynamics to plan both the frequency and intensity of subsequent surveys for determining SOC stock changes (Smith 2004). However, modeling of highly heterogeneous environments such small household agricultural systems in tropical systems is a challenging task, which is unlikely to provide a single answer with regard to when and how intensively different sites should be measured to detect significant changes in SOC stocks. Alternatively, estimation of changes in SOC over shorter periods could be achieved through the measurement of changes in particular soil carbon fractions (e.g., particulate organic matter) given that these are more sensitive to changes than total carbon in the bulk soil (Six et al. 2002). While this is a rather useful qualitative assessment of SOC sequestration it does not reflect the overall SOC stock changes that should be simultaneously assessed, thus increasing the overall cost and sampling effort. Furthermore, the implementation of a SOM fractionation procedure requires specific laboratory equipment (i.e., sonicator) and access to relatively expensive consumables (i.e., heavy liquid; Wurster et al. 2010).

We recommend adopting a strategy similar to the one proposed by Lark (2009), which suggests sampling only a proportion of the initial baseline sites in any one stratum. This strategy purposely focuses efforts in those locations likely to show the larger differences in SOC stocks over a fixed term (i.e., 10-year period). Thereafter, the strata that show a large change could then be sampled more intensively. Locations likely to show the larger changes in SOC stocks will normally include fields affected by intensive management, those having changed land use since the last survey, and the ones presenting recent signs of land degradation. We also advise pairing sampling locations in space as this may allow for a more effective detection of SOC changes in time (Ellert et al. 2007), and a sampling scheme consistent with that used in the first round of sampling. Furthermore, collection of samples should be routinely conducted at roughly the same time of the year, and in between relevant agricultural practices (i.e., harvesting, fertilization, etc.). Further information about quantifying SOC over time is given in the Appendix A.

We would like to conclude this section on SOC stock changes stressing that the only way to detect reliable signals and early trends in soil monitoring schemes is to improve the overall measurement quality (precision and bias) and to shorten the measurement periodicity (Desaules et al. 2010). However, the labor, analytical costs, and time needed to achieve a given sensitivity might overrun the potential monetary benefits derived from a hypothetical increase in SOC levels. As an illustrative case, Smith et al. (2001) indicate that between 10 and 20 samples should be collected to detect a 15 % change in SOC stocks in a relatively homogeneous system (<25 % coefficient of variation). Moreover, special attention should also be placed on the issue of permanence as most of the new SOC fixed as a result of improved management activities is in a labile form (particulate organic carbon), and thus, it is highly prone to be lost back to the atmosphere in a relatively short timeframe if conditions changed. Therefore, emphasis should be placed on promoting sustainable agricultural practices, as these will bring both economic and environmental benefits to the farmers in the medium term. Enhanced SOC sequestration may indeed be one of those benefits, but in our view it should not be the purpose of grand resource-demanding monitoring schemes, especially if the time elapsed between surveys has not been long enough (i.e., at least 10–20 years). Bearing this in mind, and even considering that at present proper simulation of SOM dynamics is very limited in small household systems because of the scarcity of high-quality data, modeling still represents an alternative that, provided high-quality data was available, could be applied across broad spatiotemporal scales in a cost-effective manner. Therefore, we propose the establishment of permanent monitoring sites across a gradient of management qualities (from highly intense to poor management scenarios) in the geographical area of interest to serve as reference sites to generate data that can be used for model parameterization and validation for farming practices under small household conditions.

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