Introduction to the SAMPLES Approach
- Todd S. RosenstockAffiliated withWorld Agroforestry Centre (ICRAF) Email author
- , Björn Ole SanderAffiliated withInternational Rice Research Institute (IRRI)
- , Klaus Butterbach-BahlAffiliated withInternational Livestock Research Institute (ILRI)Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research, Atmospheric Environmental Research (IMK-IFU)
- , Mariana C. RufinoAffiliated withCenter for International Forestry Research (CIFOR)
- , Jonathan HickmanAffiliated withEarth Institute, Columbia University
- , Clare StirlingAffiliated withInternational Maize and Wheat Improvement Centre (CIMMYT)
- , Meryl RichardsAffiliated withGund Institute for Ecological Economics, University of VermontCGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture, and Food Security (CCAFS)
- , Eva WollenbergAffiliated withGund Institute for Ecological Economics, University of VermontCGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture, and Food Security (CCAFS)
This chapter explains the rationale for greenhouse gas emission estimation in tropical developing countries and why guidelines for smallholder farming systems are needed. It briefly highlights the innovations of the SAMPLES approach and explains how these advances fill a critical gap in the available quantification guidelines. The chapter concludes by describing how to use the guidelines.
KeywordsMeasurement guidelines Greenhouse gas emissions Carbon dioxide Nitrous oxide Methane Integrated assessment Targeting Scaling Biomass carbon Soil carbon Trace gases
1.1 Motivation for These Guidelines
Agriculture in tropical developing countries produces about 7–9 % of annual anthropogenic greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and contributes to additional emissions through land-use change (Smith et al. 2014). At the same time, nearly 70 % of the technical mitigation potential in the agricultural sector occurs in these countries (Smith et al. 2008). Enabling farmers in tropical developing countries to manage agriculture to reduce GHG emissions intensity (emissions per unit product) is consequently an important option for mitigating future atmospheric GHG concentrations.
Our current ability to quantify GHG emissions and mitigation from agriculture in tropical developing countries is remarkably limited (Rosenstock et al. 2013). Empirical measurement is expensive and therefore limited to small areas. Emissions can be estimated for large areas with a combination of field measurement, modeling and remote sensing, but even simple data about the extent of activities is often not available and models require calibration and validation (Olander et al 2014). These guidelines focus on how to produce field measurements as a method for consistent, robust empirical data and to produce better models.
For all but a few crops and systems, there are no measured data for the emissions of current practices or the practices that would potentially reduce net emissions. For crops, significant information has been gathered for irrigated rice systems e.g., in the Philippines, Thailand, and China (Linquist et al. 2012; Siopongo et al. 2014) and for nitrous oxide emissions from China where high levels of fertilizer are applied (Ding et al. 2007; Vitousek et al. 2009). Yet measurements of methane from livestock—a major source of agricultural GHG emissions in most of the developing world—are lacking (Dickhöfer et al. 2014). Similarly, little to no information exists for most other GHG sources and sinks. Smallholder farms comprise a significant proportion of agriculture in the developing world in aggregate, as high as 98 % of the agricultural land area in China, for example, yet tend to escape attention as a source of significant emissions because of the small size of individual farms.
The dearth of empirical data contributes to why most tropical developing countries, all of which are non-Annex 1 countries of the UNFCCC, report emissions to the UNFCCC using Tier 1 methodologies with default emission factors , rather than more precise Tier 2 or Tier 3 methods and country-specific emission factors (Ogle et al. 2014). However, Tier 1 default emission factors represent a global average of data derived primarily from research conducted in temperate climates for monocultures, which is very different from the complex agricultural systems and landscapes typical of smallholder farms in the tropics. Given our knowledge of the mechanisms driving emissions and sequestration (e.g., temperature, precipitation, primary productivity, soil types, microbial activity, substrate availability), there is reason to believe that these factors represent only a rough approximation of the true values for emissions (Milne et al. 2013).
Field measurement of GHG emissions in tropical developing countries is generally done using methods developed in temperate developed countries. However, multiple factors complicate measurement of agricultural GHG sources and sinks in non-Annex 1 countries and necessitate approaches specific to the conditions common in these countries, including heterogeneity of the landscape, the need for low-cost methods, and the need for improving farmers’ livelihood and food security.
Heterogeneous landscapes . Annex-1 countries are dominated by industrial agriculture, usually monocultures with commonly defined practices, over relatively large expanses. The combination of high research intensity and large-scale agriculture in developed countries creates a homogenous, relatively data-rich environment where point measurements of key sources (e.g., soil emissions from corn production in the Midwestern US or methane production from Danish dairy animals) can be extrapolated with acceptable levels of uncertainty to larger areas using empirical and process-based models (Del Grosso et al. 2008; Millar et al. 2010).
In contrast, many farmers (particularly smallholders) in tropical developing countries operate diversified farms with multiple crops and livestock, with field sizes often less than 2 hectares. For example, in western Kenya maize is often intercropped with beans, trees, or both and in regions with two rainy seasons, maize might be followed in the rotation by sorghum or other crops. Exceptions exist of course, such as in Brazil, where industrial farming is well established and farms can be thousands of hectares. Where heterogeneity does exist, it complicates the design of the sampling approach in terms of identifying the boundary of the measurement effort, stratifying the farm or landscape, and determining the necessary sampling effort. Capturing the heterogeneity of such systems, as well as comparing the effects of mitigation practices or agronomic interventions to improve productivity, often demands an impractical number of samples (Milne et al. 2013). Methods are needed to stratify complex landscapes and target measurements to the most important land units in terms of emissions and/or mitigation potential.
Resource limitations . People and institutions undertaking GHG measurements have different objectives, tolerances for uncertainty, and resources. Cost of research is one of the major barriers faced by non-Annex 1 countries in moving to Tier 2 or Tier 3 quantification methods. Some methods require sampling equipment, laboratory analytical capacity, and expertise that is not available in many developing countries. Furthermore, different spatial scales (e.g., field, farm, or landscape) require different methods and approaches. The chapters in this volume guide the user in choosing from available methods, taking into account the user’s objectives, resources and capacity.
Improving livelihood and food security as a primary concern. The importance of improving farmer’s livelihoods and capacity to contribute to food security though improved productivity must be taken into account in mitigation decision-making and the research agenda supporting those decisions. Measuring GHG emissions per unit area is a standard practice for accounting purposes, but measuring emissions per unit yield allows tracking of the efficiency of GHG for the yield produced and informs agronomic practices (Linquist et al. 2012). This volume considers productivity in targeting measurements and sampling design, along with recommendations for cost-effective yield measurements.
1.2 Who Should Use These Guidelines?
These guidelines are intended to inform anyone conducting field measurements of agricultural greenhouse gas sources and sinks, especially to assess mitigation options in smallholder systems in tropical developing countries. The methods provide a standard for consistent, robust data that can be collected at reasonable cost with equipment often available in developing countries. They are also intended to provide end users of GHG data with a standard to evaluate methods used in previous efforts and inform future quantification efforts. The comparative analyses found in these chapters are accompanied by the recommended step-by-step instructions for the methods on the SAMPLES website (www.samples.ccafs.cgiar.org).
National agricultural research centers (NARS) . NARS researchers can use these guidelines to establish protocols for greenhouse gas measurement from agriculture within their institution and ensure comparability with other research partners. They may also be used to review the robustness of existing measurement methods or for finding ways to reduce costs.
Compilers of national GHG inventories . These guidelines are intended to provide methods for data collection to support the development of Tier 2 emission factors and the calibration of process-based models for Tier 3 approaches.
Developers of national and subnational mitigation plans that include agriculture. Strategies to limit or reduce emissions take multiple forms: Low-Emission Development Strategies (LEDS) , and Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Actions (NAMAs) and at the national scale, Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs). Accurate information is required both in the planning phase, to establish baselines and compare potential interventions, and in the implementation phase, to measure, report, and verify (MRV) emissions reductions attributable to the strategy or policy. Field measurements are often necessary to generate national emission factors or calibrate models that can then be used in MRV systems. These guidelines should be used to ensure that field measurements methods are cost-effective, comparable across sites, and of sufficient accuracy.
Agricultural commodity companies and agricultural development projects. These guidelines complement greenhouse gas accounting methodologies such as the Product Category Rules (PCRs ) and carbon credit standards as well as agricultural greenhouse gas calculators such as EX-Ante Carbon Balance Tool (EX-ACT ) (Bernoux et al. 2010) and Cool Farm Tool (Hillier et al. 2011). These methodologies and tools often require, or are improved by, user-input data corresponding to the project area, such as soil C stocks or emission factors for fertilizer application. These guidelines and the associated web resources provide methods—not usually covered in product and project standards—for the field measurements to generate these data.
Students and instructors . Postgraduate students, advisors, and university instructors can use these guidelines as a manual in selecting research methods.
Box 1.1 Make Best Use of Limited Resources by Carefully Selecting Practices for Testing
GHG measurement is often undertaken with the purpose of comparing mitigation practices. Too often, those practices are chosen randomly or opportunistically, without explicit consideration of their feasibility or mitigation potential. The results of GHG measurement research will be more useful if practices for testing are identified in a systematic way with input from relevant decision-makers. This can be thought of as a process of “filtering” options from a laundry list of potentials to a few for further testing.
Identify the scope of practices for consideration
Extent of an activity within the landscape. The targeting approach described by Rufino et al. (Chap. 2) is useful to determine this, as are agricultural census data and land-cover maps.
Magnitude of emissions from a given agricultural activity. At the national scale, this can be estimated from FAOSTAT (FAOSTAT 2015), or the national communication to the UNFCCC. At farm or landscape scales, greenhouse gas calculators (Colomb et al. 2013) can provide a rough estimate.
Stakeholder priorities. Government development plans and priorities may provide opportunities to incorporate mitigation practices that also improve production or livelihoods. Farmer unions and project funders may have priorities as well. It is good practice to consult a variety of stakeholders in identifying priority activities or sectors, including women and disadvantaged groups.
Scale of practice changes to be considered. Different mitigation practices imply differing scales of change within an agricultural system. Some may be incremental practice changes (such as improved nitrogen-use efficiency), whereas others may modify the entire system (such as changing crops or animal breeds, or incorporating trees). Some mitigation options are not “practices” per se, but transformational changes such as different livelihoods or a change in land-use, such as changing from nomadic pastoralism to settled agriculture (Howden et al. 2011).
Identify potential practices
Once the geography and scope of the mitigation effort have been established, develop a list of practices that may be applicable. Ideas may come from interviews and surveys of stakeholder groups as well as published literature. The website accompanying this volume includes resources for this purpose.
Box 1.1 Narrow the list of practices for testing
Likely mitigation potential . While the purpose of field measurements is to provide accurate information on mitigation potential, expert judgment and currently available emission factors and models can allow a rough estimate to guide field measurements toward practices with the largest potential for reducing emissions. Again, some greenhouse gas calculators are useful for this purpose. The CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture, and Food Security is currently developing a tool specifically to rank the most effective mitigation practices in a given geographic area (Nayak et al. 2014).
Uncertainty of current information . Sometimes, the most relevant mitigation practice may be one that is already well studied in the project area, or for which uncertainty around mitigation potential is generally low. In these cases, it may be better to focus field measurement efforts on practices for which uncertainty is high, or globally available emission factors are not relevant. If uncertainty has not been quantified, it may be valuable to conduct a small initial measurement effort and compare these results with outputs from available models. This can then guide the larger measurement campaign to areas most needed to reduce uncertainty.
Benefits for adaptation and livelihoods . Reduction of greenhouse gas emissions is not the primary focus of farmers or, usually, policy makers. Practices should also be prioritized based on their benefits in terms of productivity, income, and resilience to climate change. Here, input from farmers and their organizations is critical. Likewise, there may be barriers to adoption that make a particular practice impractical or require supportive policies, such as high upfront investment or lack of access to markets (Wilkes et al. 2013).
Available resources. Funding, labor, and time will necessarily limit the number of practices for which measurements can be conducted.
1.3 How to Use These Guidelines
Step 1. Question definition
Question definition defines the scope, boundaries and objectives of a measurement program. Measurement campaigns may be undertaken for a number of GHG quantification objectives such as developing emission factors, GHG inventories, or identifying mitigation options. The objective has considerable leverage on how and what is measured. In this volume, Rufino et al. (Chap. 2) describes methods for characterizing heterogeneous farming systems and landscapes, identifying the critical control points in terms of food security and GHG emissions in farming systems and landscapes. This characterization of the system generates fundamental information about the distribution and importance of farming activities in the landscape. Though often overlooked, depending on the preferences and priorities of donors or researchers, systems characterization is critical to target measurements to the most relevant areas in a landscape and stratify the landscape to inform sampling design.
Step 2. Data acquisitionData acquisition is the “nuts and bolts” of quantification. It represents the activities that are conducted to measure and estimate GHG fluxes or changes in carbon stocks. The six chapters that make up this step discuss methods to quantify stocks, stock changes and fluxes of the major GHG sources and sinks including land-use and land-cover change (Kearney and Smukler Chap. 3), greenhouse gas emissions from soils (Butterbach-Bahl et al. Chap. 4), methane emissions due to enteric fermentation in ruminants (Goopy et al. Chap. 5), carbon in biomass (Kuyah et al. Chap. 6) and soil carbon stocks (Saiz and Albrecht Chap. 7). Methods to measure land productivity under agriculture—an essential input for tradeoff analysis—are treated separately (Sapkota et al. Chap. 8) (Table 1.1).
1996 IPCC guidelines
2006 IPCC guidelines
Chapter 3: Determining GHG emissions and removals associated with land-use and land-cover change
5 Land-use change and forestry
Chapter 4: Measuring GHG emissions from managed and natural soils
4C Rice cultivation
4D Agricultural soils
3C3 Urea application
3C4 Direct N2O emissions from managed soils
3C7 Rice cultivations
Chapter 5: Measuring methane emissions from ruminants
4A Enteric fermentation
3A1 Enteric fermentation
Chapter 6: Quantifying tree biomass carbon stocks and fluxes in agricultural landscapes
5A Changes in forest and other woody biomass stocks
3B1 Forest land
5B Forest and grassland conversion
5C Abandonment of managed lands
5-FL Forest land
Chapter 7: Methods for quantification of soil carbon stocks and changes
5B Forest and grassland conversion
5C Abandonment of managed lands
5D CO2 emissions and removals from soil
5-FL Forest land
Chapter 8: Yield estimation of food and non-food crops in smallholder production systems
4F Field burning of agricultural residues (for calculating residue quantities)
3C1b Biomass burning on croplandsEach chapter provides a comparative analysis of existing methods for quantification, particularly evaluating methods across three key features—accuracy, scale, and cost (Table 1.2). Authors provide recommendations about how to select the optimal measurement approaches appropriate to the technical and financial constraints often encountered in developing countries, supplemented with discussion of the limitation of various methods. A central theme of the chapters is that GHG quantification is inherently inaccurate. The biogeochemistry of the processes that researchers are measuring coupled with the logistical practicalities of research mean that every measurement is only an estimate of the true flux. The researcher must therefore understand how different measurement approaches will affect their estimates and tailor measurement campaigns or quantification efforts to characterize the fluxes necessary to meet program objectives in a transparent and objective way. The resultant data on GHG fluxes produced from different sources and sinks can then be aggregated for partial or full GHG budgets using the guidelines from Chaps. 9–10.Table 1.2
Examples of measurements options and their accuracy, cost, and scale implications based on analyses in this volume
Low, subject to variability in feed intake and emissions relationships
Large, many animals, herds, and inventories
Low, when based on just numbers of animals but increase when feed intake is measured
High temporal resolution measurements with sophisticated equipment
Small, limited to only a few animals
High, specialized equipment for accurate high resolution measurements and animal maintenance
– Emission factors
– Mitigation options
Moderate to high
Small, animals and herds
Moderate, requires specialized equipment and skills
– Emission factors, especially of grazing animals
– Mitigation options
Low, measure emission potential and may not match field conditions
Large, with potential for many hundreds of samples that can span large spatial extents
(Relatively) low per sample due to minimal field requirements
– Emission potential
– Identify hotspots of emissions
– Mechanistic research
– Model parameterization
Manual static chambers
Moderate, high spatial and temporal variability can lead to poor estimates
Moderate, with pooling methods capable of collecting data from many sites
Moderate, relatively cheap but field and lab costs become prohibitively expensive in many developing countries
– Emission factors
– Mitigation options
High, overcome temporal variability issues but limited in numbers because of costs
Small, generally only one site is measured at a time
High, the infield system represents a significant cost per measurement
– Emission factors
– Mechanistic research
Step 3. Estimation of emissions and analysis of mitigation options
The final step is to synthesize the results to identify emissions levels and mitigation options.
Data acquisition in Step 2 may take place at multiple scales, ranging from point measurements of individual farming activities (such as soil carbon measurements) to pixel analysis at various resolutions of land-use and land-cover change. It is then necessary to extrapolate these point measurements of individual features back to scales of interest (fields, farms, or landscapes). Rosenstock et al. (Chap. 9) describe the three principal ways that this can be accomplished: empirical, process-based models or a combination of both. Van Wijk et al. (Chap. 10) provide guidance on approaches to synthesize all the data to produce estimates of tradeoffs or synergies in various farm or landscape management activities-for example, activities that support mitigation as well as adaptation to climate change. Tradeoff analysis, though originating in the 1970s, has been developing rapidly due to increase in computing power and advances in theory and modeling frameworks. However, the authors stress that practical analysis has to include stakeholders to integrate their own perspectives and preferences for the analysis to be practically valuable. By developing estimates of GHG fluxes at relevant scales and analyzing tradeoffs, the approaches detailed in this volume can inform low-emissions development planning.
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