Skip to main content

Optimal Renewal and Electrification Strategy for Commercial Car Fleets in Germany

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:
Operations Research Proceedings 2014

Part of the book series: Operations Research Proceedings ((ORP))

Abstract

In this paper we model the uncertainty inherent in oil, electricity, and battery prices, in order to find the optimal renewal strategy for transport fleets in Germany from a car fleet operator’s perspective. We present a comprehensive statistical model of total operating costs for the usage of light duty vehicles in the transport industry. The model takes into consideration current and future power train technologies, such as internal combustion and electric engines. The framework allows for the calculation of sensitivities of the relevant explanatory variables (fuel price, interest rate, inflation rate, economic lifetime, subsidy/tax policies, and economic development). We also calculate and evaluate relevant diffusion scenarios for commercially used e-vehicles.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 129.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  1. German Federal Government: German Federal Government’s National Electromobility Development Plan. Berlin (2009)

    Google Scholar 

  2. UNEP: The Emissions Gap Report 2012. Nairobi, Kenia (2012a)

    Google Scholar 

  3. UNEP: GEO-5: Global Enviromental Outlook. Nairobi, Kenia (2012b)

    Google Scholar 

  4. Kleindorfer, P.R., Neboian, A., Roset, A., Spinler, S.: Fleet renewal with electric vehicles at La Poste. Interfaces 42(5), 465–477 (2012)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. Tejada, R., Madlener, R.: Optimal renewal and electrification strategy for commercial car fleets in Germany. FCN Working Paper No. 7/2014, Institute for Future Energy Consumer Needs and Behavior (FCN), RWTH Aachen University, June 2014

    Google Scholar 

  6. Delucchi, M.A., Lipman, T.E.: An analysis of the retail and lifecycle cost of batterypowered electric vehicles. Transp. Res. Part D: Transp. and Environ. 6(6), 371–404 (2001). doi:10.1016/S1361-9209(00)00031-6

    Google Scholar 

  7. Eaves, S., Eaves, J.: A cost comparison of fuel-cell and battery electric vehicles. J. Power Sources 130(130) 208–212 (2004). doi:10.1016/j.jpowsour.2003.12.016

    Google Scholar 

  8. Offer, G.J., Howey, D., Contestabile, M., Clague, R., Brandon, N.P.: Comparative analysis of battery electric, hydrogen fuel cell and hybrid vehicles in a future sustainable road transport system. Energy Policy 38(1) 24–29 (2010). doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2009.08.040

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Reinhard Madlener .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2016 Springer International Publishing Switzerland

About this paper

Cite this paper

Tejada, R., Madlener, R. (2016). Optimal Renewal and Electrification Strategy for Commercial Car Fleets in Germany. In: Lübbecke, M., Koster, A., Letmathe, P., Madlener, R., Peis, B., Walther, G. (eds) Operations Research Proceedings 2014. Operations Research Proceedings. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-28697-6_83

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics