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A Non-parametric Approach to the Multi-channel Attribution Problem

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Web Information Systems Engineering – WISE 2015 (WISE 2015)

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNISA,volume 9418))

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Abstract

Multi-channel marketing attribution modeling is a two-stage process. First, the value of exposure from different marketing channel needs to be estimated. Next, the total surplus achieved needs to be assigned to individual marketing channels by using the exposure effects from the first stage. There has been limited work in exploring possible choices and effects of determining the value of exposure to different marketing channels in the first stage. This paper proposes novel non-parametric and semi-parametric approaches to estimate the value function and compares it with other natural choices. We build a simulation engine that captures important behavioral phenomenon known to affect a customer’s purchase decision; and compare the performance of five attribution approaches in their ability to closely approximate the known ground truth. Our proposed method works well when marketing channels have high levels of synergy. We apply the proposed approaches on two real-world datasets and present the results.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    We use i as a counter for elements (users) in \(\varUpsilon \) as well as elements (users) in \(\varUpsilon \) depending on the context, j is also used in a similar fashion for the set \(\varOmega \).

  2. 2.

    A coalitional game denoted by (f,N) is defined by a characteristic function f and total number of players in the game N, where f maps subsets of players to real numbers: \( f: {P}(N) \rightarrow {R} \) with \(f(\emptyset )=0\), where \(\emptyset \) denotes the empty set and P(N) is the power set of the N players.

  3. 3.

    One key criterion is that the characteristic function f should satisfy \(f(\emptyset )\) = 0.

  4. 4.

    Non-overlapping cover set: Given a set of elements \(\varTheta \) = { 1,2,...,n }, \(\varDelta \) = \(\{U_1\),\(U_2\),..,\(U_k\}\) is a non-overlapping cover set of \(\varTheta \) if \(U_1 \cup U_2 \cup .. \cup U_k\) = \(\varTheta \) and \(U_i \cap U_j\) = \(\emptyset \), \(\forall \) i,j in \(\varDelta \)

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Correspondence to Meghanath Macha Yadagiri .

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Yadagiri, M.M., Saini, S.K., Sinha, R. (2015). A Non-parametric Approach to the Multi-channel Attribution Problem. In: Wang, J., et al. Web Information Systems Engineering – WISE 2015. WISE 2015. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 9418. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-26190-4_23

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-26190-4_23

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  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-319-26189-8

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-319-26190-4

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