Abstract
The infamous Wikileaks cables are a large-scale resource for analyzing international relationships. We use sentiment analysis on this dataset to extract opinion polarities in the international scenario. We use an unsupervised approach based on standard sentiment lexicon with modifiers to mine opinion polarities among the cables to and from embassies/consulates of USA. Sharp changes in opinion polarities are mapped to international events happening around the time of the cable at the location of the embassy/consulate, and a positive/negative correlation is drawn. The dataset consists of 232,410 cables from 1966 up to October 2009 concerning 272 embassies and consulates across the world. The top 28 of the spikes/dips in polarity changes coming from 20 embassies/consulates are then evaluated. Our results show that there is a strong correlation (76 %) between our findings and sentiments surrounding actual events. For example, our study was able to correctly identify suicide terrorist attacks outside the American embassy in Casablanca. It could also highlight a cable that referred to a terrorist who was later arrested in New Delhi possessing secret documents related to Indian Army.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
Pang, B., Lee, L.: Opinion mining and sentiment analysis. Found. Trends Inf. Retr. 2(1–2), 1–135 (2008)
Unsupervised clustering of people, places, and organizations in wikileaks cables with NLP cues. http://nlp.stanford.edu/courses/cs224n/2011/reports/beyangl-caoxuwen.pdf
Springer, S., Chi, H., Crampton, J., McConnell, F., Cupples, J., Glynn, K., Warf, B., Attewell, W.: Leaky geopolitics: the ruptures and transgressions of wikileaks. Geopolitics 17(3), 681–711 (2012)
Eldridge, S.: Beyond wikileaks: Implications for the future of communications, journalism and society. Digital Journalism 3
Roberts, A.: Wikileaks: the illusion of transparency. Int. Rev. Admin. Sci. 78(1), 116–133 (2012)
Heemsbergen, L.J.: Designing hues of transparency and democracy after wikileaks: vigilance to vigilantes and back again. New Media and Society (2014)
Lindgren, S., Lundström, R.: Pirate culture and hacktivist mobilization: the cultural and social protocols of wikileaks on twitter. New Media Soc. 13(6), 999–1018 (2011)
Mullen, T., Collier, N.: Sentiment analysis using support vector machines with diverse information sources. In: EMNLP, vol. 4, pp. 412–418 (2004)
Tumasjan, A., Sprenger, T.O., Sandner, P.G., Welpe, I.M.: Predicting elections with twitter: what 140 characters reveal about political sentiment. In: ICWSM, vol. 10, pp. 178–185 (2010)
O’Connor, B., Balasubramanyan, R., Routledge, B.R., Smith, N.A.: From tweets to polls: Linking text sentiment to public opinion time series. In: ICWSM, vol. 11, pp. 122–129 (2010)
Asur, S., Huberman, B.: Predicting the future with social media. In: Web Intelligence and Intelligent Agent Technology (WI-IAT), vol. 1, pp. 492–499 (2010)
Pak, A., Paroubek, P.: Twitter as a corpus for sentiment analysis and opinion mining. In: LREC (2010)
Godbole, N., Srinivasaiah, M., Skiena, S.: Large-scale sentiment analysis for news and blogs. In: ICWSM, vol. 7 (2007)
The cable state department official: Visas viper cable just the tip of the iceberg. http://thecable.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2010/01/04-state_department_offici
Pak spy caught with army secrets. http://zeenews.india.com/news/nation/pak-spy-caught-with-army-secrets_78832
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2015 Springer International Publishing Switzerland
About this paper
Cite this paper
Jain, A., Bhattacharya, A. (2015). Mining Wikileaks Data to Identify Sentiment Polarities in International Relationships. In: Liu, A., Ishikawa, Y., Qian, T., Nutanong, S., Cheema, M. (eds) Database Systems for Advanced Applications. DASFAA 2015. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 9052. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-22324-7_26
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-22324-7_26
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-319-22323-0
Online ISBN: 978-3-319-22324-7
eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)