Skip to main content

Part of the book series: Proceedings in Adaptation, Learning and Optimization ((PALO,volume 1))

  • 2012 Accesses

Abstract

Why, what and how real behavior(s) should be incorporated into ABM (Agent-Based Modeling), and is it appropriate and effective to use ABM with HS-CA collaboration and micro-macro link features for complex economy/finance analysis? Through deepening behavioral analysis and using computational experimental methods incorporating HS (Human Subject) into CA (Computational Agent), which is extended ABM, based on the theory of behavioral finance and complexity science as well, we constructed a micro-macro integrated model with the key behavioral characteristics of investors as an experimental platform to cognize the conduction mechanism of complex capital market and typical phenomena in this paper, and illustrated briefly applied cases including the internal relations between impulsive behavior and the fluctuation of stock’s, the asymmetric cognitive bias and volatility cluster, deflective peak and fat-tail of China stock market.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 169.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 219.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 219.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  1. Arthur, B.: Economic Agents that Behave like Human Agents. Journal of Evolutionary Economics 2000(3), 1–22 (1993); Reprinted in The Legacy of Joseph A. Schumpeter, H. Hanusch (ed.) Edward Elgar Publishers (2000)

    Google Scholar 

  2. Camerer, C.F., Ho, T., Chong, J.K.: A cognitive hierarchy model of games. Quarterly Journal of Economics 119(3), 861–898 (2004)

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  3. Duffy, J.: Agent-based models and human subject experiments. In: Tesfatsion, L., Judd, K.L. (eds.) Handbook of Computational Economics, vol. 2, pp. 949–1011. Elsevier, North-Holland (2006)

    Google Scholar 

  4. Farmer, J.D., Foley, D.: The economy needs agent-based modeling. Nature 460, 685–686 (2009)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. De Grauwe, P.: Top-Down versus Bottom-Up Macroeconomics. CESifo Economic Studies 56, 465–497 (2010)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Hommes, C.H.: Heterogeneous agent models in economics and finance. In: Tesfatsion, L., Judd, K.L. (eds.) Handbook of Computational Economics. Agent-based computational economics, vol. 2. Holland/Elsevier, Amsterdam (2006)

    Google Scholar 

  7. LeBaron, B.: Agent-based computational finance. In: Tesfatsion, L., Judd, K.L. (eds.) Handbook of Computational Economics, pp. 1187–1233. Elsevier (2006)

    Google Scholar 

  8. LeBaron, B.: Heterogeneous gain learning and the dynamics of asset prices. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization 83, 424–445 (2012)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Lengnick, M., Wohltmann, H.W.: Agent-based financial markets and New Keynesian macroeconomics: a synthesis. Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination 8(1), 1–32 (2013)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. Levin, D.: Is Behavioral Economics Doomed? The Ordinary versus the Extraordinary. Openbook Publishers, UK (2012)

    Book  Google Scholar 

  11. Lux, T.: Stochastic Behavioral Asset-Pricing Models and the Stylized Facts. In: Hens, T., Schenk-Hoppé, K.R. (eds.) Handbook of Financial Markets: Dynamics and Evolution, ch. 3, pp. 161–215 (2009); De Grauwe, P.: Top-Down versus Bottom-Up Macroeconomics. CESifo Economic Studies 56, 465–497 (2010)

    Google Scholar 

  12. Miller John, H., Scott, E., Page: Complex Adaptive Systems: An introduction to computational models of social life. Princeton University Press, NJ (2007)

    Google Scholar 

  13. Scheffknecht, L., Geiger, F.: A behavioral macroeconomic model with endogenous boom-bust cycles and leverage dynamcis. FZID Discussion Papers 37-2011, University of Hohenheim, Center for Research on Innovation and Services (2011)

    Google Scholar 

  14. Schweitzer, F., et al.: Economic Networks: The New Challenges. Science 325(5939), 422–425 (2009)

    MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  15. Shao, P.: Bounded rationality, cognitive hierarchy and investment game. The Journal of Quantitative & Technical Economics 10, 145–155 (2010)

    Google Scholar 

  16. Wang, G.: Exploring complex economy to develop quantitative economics from Micro-behavior perspective. Journal of Quantitative Economics 2(1), 102–120 (2011)

    Google Scholar 

  17. Wang, G.: The evolvement and beyond of rationalism in modern economics. Social Sciences in China (7), 66–82 (2012)

    Google Scholar 

  18. Wang, G.: Deepening micro-behavioral analysis and exploring the complexity of macro-economy. Jiangsu Social Sciences (3), 20–28 (2013)

    Google Scholar 

  19. Wang, G.: Behavioral Macro-Financial Modeling from Investor’s Bias with Applications — Based on the Experiment of Incorporating HS and CA. Journal of Management Science & Statistical Decision 11(1), 24–40 (2014)

    Google Scholar 

  20. Wang, G., Long, Y.: Study on Emergence of Capital Market with Cognitive Hierarchy and Extensive Agent-Based Modeling— An Application of e-Science in Social Sciences. E-Science Technology & Application 5(1), 83–92 (2014)

    MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  21. Zhang, W., Zhang, Y.J., Xiong, X.: Agent-based Computational Finance. Science Press, Beijing (2010)

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Guo-cheng Wang .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2015 Springer International Publishing Switzerland

About this paper

Cite this paper

Wang, Gc. (2015). Cognitive Bias, ABM and Emergence of China Stock Market. In: Handa, H., Ishibuchi, H., Ong, YS., Tan, K. (eds) Proceedings of the 18th Asia Pacific Symposium on Intelligent and Evolutionary Systems, Volume 1. Proceedings in Adaptation, Learning and Optimization, vol 1. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-13359-1_2

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-13359-1_2

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-319-13358-4

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-319-13359-1

  • eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics