Abstract
Both exogenous and endogenous growth theories in neoclassicaleconomics ignore the resource constraints and wavelike patterns in technology development. The logistic growth and species competition model in population dynamics provides an evolutionary framework of economic growth driven by technology wavelets in market-share competition. Learning by doing and knowledge accumulation ignores the interruptive nature of technology advancement. Creative destruction can be understood by using knowledge metabolism. Policies and institutions co-evolve during different stages of technology life cycles. Division of labor is limited by the market extent, numbers of resources, and environment fluctuations. There is a trade-off between the stability and complexity of an ecological-industrial system. Diversified patterns in development strategy are shaped by culture and environment when facing learning uncertainty. The Western mode of division of labor is characterized by labor-saving and resource-intensive technology, while the Asian and Chinese modes feature resource-saving and labor-intensive technology. Nonlinear population dynamics provides a unified evolutionary theory from Smith, Malthus, to Schumpeter in economic growth and technology development.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
Aghion P, Howitt P (1992) A model of growth through creative destruction. Econometrica 60(2):323–351
Aghion P, Howitt P (1998) Endogenous growth theory. MIT Press, Cambridge
Arthur WB (1994) Increasing returns and path dependence in the economy. University of Michigan Press, Ann Arbor, MI
Arrow KJ (1962) The economic implications of learning by doing. Rev Econ Stud 39:155
Arrow KJ, Debreu G (1954) Existence of an equilibrium for a competitive economy. Econometrica 22(3):265–290
Ayres RU (1989) Technological transformations and long waves. International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg
Barboza D, Lattman P, Rampell C (2012) How the U.S. lost out on iphone work. New York Times. Jan 21, 24
Bernal JD (1969) Science in history, 3rd edn. Penguin, Harmondsworth
Browning M, Crossley TF (2001) The life-cycle model of consumption and saving. J Econ Perspect 15(3):3–22
Chen P (1987) Origin of the division of labor and a stochastic mechanism of differentiation. Eur J Oper Res 30:246–250
Chen P (1990) Needham’s question and China’s evolution—cases of non-equilibrium social transition. In: Scott G (ed) Time, rhythms and chaos in the new dialogue with nature, chapter 11. Iowa State University Press, Ames, IA, pp 177–198
Chen P (1996) A random walk or color chaos on the stock market?—time-frequency analysis of S&P indexes. Stud Nonlinear Dyn Econ 1(2):87–103
Chen P (2002) Microfoundations of macroeconomic fluctuations and the laws of probability theory: the principle of large numbers vs. rational expectations arbitrage. J Econ Behav Organ 49:327–344
Chen P (2005) Evolutionary economic dynamics: persistent business cycles, disruptive technology, and the trade-off between stability and complexity. In: Dopfer K (ed) The evolutionary foundations of economics, chapter 15. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 472–505
Chen P (2007) Complexity of transaction costs and evolution of corporate governance. Kyoto Econ Rev 76(2):139–153
Chen P (2008) Equilibrium illusion, economic complexity, and evolutionary foundation of economic analysis. Evol Inst Econ Rev 5(1):81–127
Chen P (2010) Economic complexity and equilibrium illusion: essays on market instability and macro vitality. Routledge, London
Clark G (2007) A farewell to alms: a brief economic history of the world. Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ
Darwin C (1859) On the origin of species, by means of natural selection, or the preservation of favoured races in the struggle for life, vol 1. John Murray, London
Dasgupta D (2010) Modern growth theory. Oxford University Press, Oxford
Daly H, Farley J (2010) Ecological economics: principles and applications. Island Press, Washington, DC
David PA (1985) Clio and the economics of qwerty. Am Econ Rev Pap Proc 75:332–337
Day RH (1982) Irregular growth cycles. Am Econ Rev 72:404–414
Eliasson G (2005) The birth, the life and the death of firms. The Ratio Institute, Stockholm
Forrester JW (1961) Industrial dynamics. MIT Press, Cambridge, MA
Georgescu-Roegen N (1971) The entropy law and economic process. Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA
Goodwin RM (1967) A growth cycle. In: Feinstein CH (ed) Socialism, capitalism and economic growth. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, MA
Hendry DF (2001) Econometrics: alchemy or science? Essays in econometric methodology. Oxford University Press, Oxford
Johnson S (2009) The quiet coup. Atlantic 303(4):46–56
Keynes JM (1936) The general theory of employment, investment, and money. Macmillan, London
Kikuchi M (1981) Creativity and ways of thinking: the Japanese style. Phys Today 34:42–51
Knight FH (1921) Risk, uncertainty and profit. Sentry Press, New York
Kurz HD (2012) Innovation, knowledge, and growth: Adam Smith, Schumpeter, and moderns. Routledge, London
Kuhn T (1962) The structure of scientific revolutions. University of Chicago Press, Chicago
Kydland FE (1995) Business cycle theory. E. Edgar, Brookfield, VT
Kydland FE, Prescott EC (1982) Time to build and aggregate fluctuations. Econometrica 50(6):1345–1370
Lucas RE Jr (1981) Studies in business-cycle theory. MIT Press, Cambridge
Lucas RE Jr (1988) On the mechanics of economic development. J Monet Econ 22:3–42
Maddison A (1998) Chinese economic performance in the long run. OECD, Paris
Maddison A (2007) The world economy: a millennial perspective/historical statistics. OECD Development Center Studies, Paris
Malthus TR (1798, 2008) An essay on the principle of population. Oxford University Press, Oxford
May RM (1974) Stability and complexity in model ecosystems. Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ
Meadows DH, Randers J, Meadows DL (2004) Limits to growth: the 30-year update. Chelsea Green, White River Junction, VT
Menzies G (2002/1421) The year China discovered the world. Morrow, New York
Mirowski P (1989) More heat than light. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
Modigliani F (1976) Life-cycle, individual thrift, and the wealth of nations. Am Econ Rev 76(3):297–313
Morris I (2010) Why the west rules—for now. Farrar, New York
Needham J (1954) Science and civilization in China, vol I. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
Nicolis G, Prigogine I (1977) Self-organization in nonequilibrium systems. Wiley, New York
Pianka ER (1983) Evolutionary ecology, 6th edn. Benjamin Cummings, San Francisco, CA
Piketty T (2014) Capital in the twenty-first century. Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA
Pomeranz K (2000) The great divergence: China, Europe, and the making of the modern world economy. Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ
Prigogine I (1980) From being to becoming: time and complexity in the physical sciences. Freeman, San Francisco, CA
Prigogine I (1984) Order out of Chaos. Bantam, New York
Prigogine I, Peter MA, Herman R (1977) Long term trends and the evolution of complexity. In: Laszlo E (ed) Goals in a global community: a report to the club of Rome. Pergamon Press, Oxford
Romer PM (1986) Increasing returns and long-run growth. J Polit Econ 94:1002–1038
Rostow WW (1990) The stages of economic growth, 3rd edn. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
Samuelson PA (1971) Generalized predator–prey oscillations in ecological and economic equilibrium. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 68(5):980–983
Schumpeter JA (1934) The theory of economic development. Harvard University Press, Cambridge
Schumpeter JA (1939) Business cycles, a theoretical, historical, and statistical analysis of the capitalist process. McGraw-Hill, New York
Schumpeter JA (1950) Capitalism, socialism and democracy, 3rd edn. Harper, New York
Shaw E (2012) Marketing strategy: from the origin of the concept to the development of a conceptual framework. J Hist Res Mark 4(1):30–55
Simon HA (1993) Altruism and economics. Am Econ Rev 83(2):156–161
Smith A (1776) The wealth of nations. Liberty Classics, Indianapolis
Solow RM (1957) Technical change and the aggregate production function. Rev Econ Stat 39(3):312–320
Solow RM (1994) Perspectives on growth theory. J Econ Perspect 8(1):45–54
Stigler GJ (1951) The division of labor is limited by the extent of the market. J Polit Econ59:185–193
Toffler A (1980) The third wave. William Morrow, New York
Vernon R (1966) International investment and international trade in the product cycle. Q J Econ 80(2):190–207
Wallerstein I (1974) The modern world system I, capitalist agriculture and the origin of the European world-economy in the sixteenth century. Academic, New York
Acknowledgements
The author thanks Peter Allen, Wolfgang Weidlich, Edmond Phelps, Joseph Stiglitz, James Galbraith, Ulrich Witt, Justin Lin, Wolfram Elsner, Andreas Pyka, Laura Tyson, Zhengfu Shi, Weisen Li, Yinan Tang, Huajun Li, and Vivian Chen for their stimulating discussions. We also thank two anonymous reviewers for their stimulating comments.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2015 Springer International Publishing Switzerland
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Chen, P. (2015). Metabolic Growth Theory: Market-Share Competition, Learning Uncertainty, and Technology Wavelets. In: Pyka, A., Foster, J. (eds) The Evolution of Economic and Innovation Systems. Economic Complexity and Evolution. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-13299-0_3
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-13299-0_3
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-319-13298-3
Online ISBN: 978-3-319-13299-0
eBook Packages: Business and EconomicsEconomics and Finance (R0)