Advertisement

Uncertainty Modeling: The Computational Economists’ View on Cyberwarfare

  • Suchitra Abel
Chapter
Part of the Studies in Computational Intelligence book series (SCI, volume 563)

Abstract

The current research scenario shows considerable work on the fundamental considerations for Cybersecurity. The physical world will fuse with the digital world in the future through enhanced technologies. However, there still exists the problem of radical uncertainty, particularly in the form of information theft. In this project we provide an analysis of the critical factors affecting the security of internet-based businesses; we also present a casual model-based security system that affects and helps the central characteristics of contemporary internet-based businesses.

Keywords

Causal network modeling Computational Economics Bayesian modeling 

References

  1. 1.
    Cartwright, N.: Probabilities and experiments. J. Econom. 67, 47–59 (1995)CrossRefMATHGoogle Scholar
  2. 2.
    Cartwright, N.: Causality: independence and determinism. In: Gammerman, A. (ed.) Causal Models and Intelligent Data Management, pp. 51–63. Springer, Berlin (1999)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  3. 3.
    Fine, K.: Reasoning with Arbitrary Objects. Blackwell, New York (1985)Google Scholar
  4. 4.
    Pearl, J.: Probabilistic Reasoning in Intelligent Systems. Morgan Kaufman, San Mateo (1988)Google Scholar
  5. 5.
    Pearl, J.: Belief networks revisited. Artif. Intell. 59, 49–56 (1993)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  6. 6.
    Pearl, J.: From Bayesian networks to causal networks. In: Gammerman, A. (ed.) Bayesian Networks and Probabilistic Reasoning, pp. 1–31. Alfred Walter, London (1994)Google Scholar
  7. 7.
    United States Computer Emergency Readiness Team, Security updates available for Adobe flash player, Adobe reader, and Acrobat, http://www.us-cert.gov/ncas/current-activity?page=1. Accessed 10 Sept 2013
  8. 8.
    United States Computer Emergency Readiness Team, Microsoft releases September 2013 security bulletin, http://www.us-cert.gov/ncas/current-activity, Accessed 10 Sept 2013
  9. 9.
  10. 10.
  11. 11.
    Technical Report, HP Bristol, UK, Cloud stewardship Economics (2012)Google Scholar
  12. 12.
    Abel, S.: Application of Bayesian causal model for threat identification in the context of cloud usage by cloud Steward businesses, unpublished manuscript (2013)Google Scholar
  13. 13.
    Cox, P.A.: Mobile cloud computing, http://www.ibm.com/developerworks/cloud/library/cl-mobilecloudcomputing/,. Accessed 11 March 2011
  14. 14.
    Abel, S.: Cybersecurity using Bayesian causal modeling in the context of mobile computing, including image usage, in mobile devices—invited talk and powerpoint presentation at Nokia Research Lab, Sunnyvale, CA, 13 Aug 2013Google Scholar
  15. 15.
    Executive Order 13636: Improving critical infrastructure cybersecurity department of homeland security, integrated task force incentives study, analytic report, http://www.dhs.gov/sites/default/files/publications/dhs-eo13636-analytic-report-cybersecurity-incentives-study.pdf. Accessed 12 June 2013
  16. 16.
    von Neumann, J., Morgenstern, O.: Theory of Games and Economic Behavior. Princeton University Press, Princeton (1944)MATHGoogle Scholar
  17. 17.
    Mas-Colell, A., Whinston, M., Green, J.: Microeconomic Theory. Oxford University Press, Oxford (1995). ISBN 0-19-507340-1MATHGoogle Scholar
  18. 18.
    Gilboa, I.: Theory of Decision Under Uncertainty. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (2009)CrossRefMATHGoogle Scholar
  19. 19.
    Smith, D.R.: Variational Methods in Optimization. Dover, New York (1998)MATHGoogle Scholar
  20. 20.
    Paisley, J.: Bayesian nonparametrics and big data, talk at the Columbia University School of Engineering, 22 Feb 2013Google Scholar
  21. 21.
    Statisticat, LLC, Big data and Bayesian inference, http://www.bayesian-inference.com/softwarearticlesbigdata. Accessed 22 Feb 2014
  22. 22.
    Maurya, M., Vishwakarma, U.K., Lohia, P.: A study of statistical inference tools for uncertainty reasoning in target tracking. Int. J. Comput. Networking Wirel. Mobile Commun. 3(3), 1–10 (2013)Google Scholar
  23. 23.
    Intelligence-Driven Security: A new model using big data. Speaker: Mr. Art Coviello, Executive Vice President, EMC, Executive Chairman, RSA, In: The 3rd Annual International Cyber Security Conference, The Yuval Ne’eman Science, Technology & Security Workshop, Tel Aviv University, IsraelGoogle Scholar
  24. 24.

Copyright information

© Springer International Publishing Switzerland 2015

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Department of Computer EngineeringSanta Clara UniversitySanta ClaraUSA

Personalised recommendations