Skip to main content

Recent Applications of a Land-use Change Model in Support of Sustainable Urban Development

Part of the GeoJournal Library book series (GEODES,volume 111)

Abstract

Land-use models have become an established tool to help support spatial planning. Their ability to provide ex-ante assessments of potential land-use impacts of proposed policy changes makes them useful components in the geodesign framework. This paper described three recent policy-related applications of an operational Dutch land-use model with a focus on sustainable urban development. Subsequently, it discusses their potential role in a more iterative geodesign process and possible ways to further improve land-use modelling in view of ongoing and expected changes in the societal and planning context of the Netherlands.

Keywords

  • Flood Risk
  • Sustainable Urban Development
  • Spatial Policy
  • Delta Programme
  • Urban Restructuring

These keywords were added by machine and not by the authors. This process is experimental and the keywords may be updated as the learning algorithm improves.

This is a preview of subscription content, access via your institution.

Buying options

Chapter
USD   29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-08299-8_6
  • Chapter length: 16 pages
  • Instant PDF download
  • Readable on all devices
  • Own it forever
  • Exclusive offer for individuals only
  • Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout
eBook
USD   89.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • ISBN: 978-3-319-08299-8
  • Instant PDF download
  • Readable on all devices
  • Own it forever
  • Exclusive offer for individuals only
  • Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout
Softcover Book
USD   119.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
Hardcover Book
USD   119.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
Fig. 6.1
Fig. 6.2
Fig. 6.3

References

  • Borsboom-van Beurden, J. A. M., Bakema, A., & Tijbosch, H. (2007). A land-use modelling system for environmental impact assessment; Recent applications of the LUMOS toolbox. Chapter 16. In E. Koomen, J. Stillwell, A. Bakema, & H. J. Scholten (Eds.), Modelling land-use change; progress and applications (pp. 281–296). Dordrecht: Springer.

    CrossRef  Google Scholar 

  • Bruggeman, W., Dammers, E., Van den Born, G. J., Rijken, B. C., Van Bemmel, B., Nabielek, K., Beersma, J., Van den Hurk, B., Polman, N., Lindenhof, V., Folmer, C., Huizinga, F., Hommes, S., & Te Linde, A. H. (2013). Deltascenario’s voor 2050 en 2100; Nadere uitwerking 2012–2013. Delft: Deltares/PBL/LEI/CPB.

    Google Scholar 

  • CPB, MNP, & RPB. (2006). Welvaart en Leefomgeving. Een scenariostudie voor Nederland in 2040. Centraal Planbureau. Den Haag: Milieu- en Natuurplanbureau en Ruimtelijk Planbureau.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dammers, E. (2000). Leren van de toekomst. Over de rol van scenario’s bij strategische beleidsvorming. Delft: Uitgeverij Eburon.

    Google Scholar 

  • De Moel, H., Koks, E. E., Dekkers, J. E. C., Lassche, M. R., & Bouwer, L. M. (2012). Methods for future land-use projections for Flanders. Amsterdam: Institute for Environmental Studies, VU University Amsterdam .

    Google Scholar 

  • De Ruijter, P., Stolk, S., & Alkema, H. (2011). Klaar om te wenden; handboek voor de strateeg. Schiedam: Scriptum.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dias, E. S., Linde, M., Rafiee, A., Koomen, E., & Scholten, H. J. (2013). Beauty and brains: Integrating easy spatial design and advanced urban sustainability models. Chapter 27. In S. Geertman, F. Toppen, & J. C. H Stillwell (Eds.), Planning support systems for sustainable urban development (pp. 469–484). Berlin: Springer.

    Google Scholar 

  • Elings, C., Zijlstra, R., Koomen, E., & De Groot, S. (2011). Milieueffectrapport ontwerp structuurvisie infrastructuur en ruimte in opdracht van ministerie van infrastructuur en milieu. Amsterdam/Nijmegen: Geodan/Royal Haskoning.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ervin, S. (2011). A system for geodesign. In E. Buhmann, S. Ervin, C. D. Tomlin, & M. Pietsch (Eds.), Teaching landscape architecture—Prelimenary proceedings (pp. 145–154). Bernburg: Anhalt University of Applied Sciences.

    Google Scholar 

  • Flaxman, M. (2010). Fundamentals of geodesign. In E. Buhmann., M. Pietsch, & E. Kretzler (Eds.), Digital landscape architecture 2010, digital landscape architecture 2010 (pp. 28–41). Berlin: Wichmann, VDE.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hoymann, J. (2010). Spatial allocation of future residential land use in the Elbe River Basin. Environment and Planning B: Planning and Design, 37(5), 911–928.

    CrossRef  Google Scholar 

  • I&M. (2011). Ontwerp structuurvisie infrastructuur en ruimte; Nederland concurrerend, bereikbaar, leefbaar en veilig. Den Haag: Ministerie van Infrastructuur en Milieu.

    Google Scholar 

  • Jacobs, C. G. W., Koomen, E., Bouwman, A. A., & Van der Burg, A. (2011). Lessons learned from land-use simulation in regional planning applications. Chapter 8. In E. Koomen & J. Borsboom-van Beurden (Eds.), Land-use modelling in planning practice (pp. 131–149). Heidelberg: Springer.

    CrossRef  Google Scholar 

  • Keers, G., Smeulders, E., & Teerlink, T. (2011). Onderzoek: Toekomst voor de stedelijke woningbouw? P15360. RIGO Research en Advies/Bouwfonds Ontwikkeling.

    Google Scholar 

  • Klosterman, R. E. (1999). The what if? Collaborative planning support system. Environment and Planning B: Planning and Design, 26, 393–408.

    CrossRef  Google Scholar 

  • Klijn, F., Baan, P., Bruijn, K., & Kwadijk, J. (2007). Overstromingsrisico’s in Nederland in een veranderend klimaat verwachtingen, schattingen en berekeningen voor het project nederland later. Bilthoven: Milieu- en Natuurplanbureau (MNP).

    Google Scholar 

  • Koomen, E., & Borsboom-van Beurden, J. (Eds.) (2011). Land-use modeling in planning practice. Geojournal Library (vol. 101). Heidelberg: Springer.

    Google Scholar 

  • Koomen, E., & Dekkers, J. E. C. (2013). The impact of land-use policy on urban fringe dynamics; Dutch evidence and prospects. In D. Malkinson, D. Czamanski, & I. Benenson (Eds.), Modelling of land-use and ecological dynamics (pp. 9–35). Berlin: Springer.

    Google Scholar 

  • Koomen, E., Dekkers, J., & Van Dijk, T. (2008a). Open-space preservation in the Netherlands: Planning, practice and prospects. Land Use Policy, 25(3), 361–377.

    CrossRef  Google Scholar 

  • Koomen, E., Rietveld, P., & De Nijs, T. (2008b). Modelling land-use change for spatial planning support; Editorial. Annals of regional science, 42(1), 1–10.

    CrossRef  Google Scholar 

  • Koomen, E., Koekoek, A., & Dijk, E. (2011). Simulating land-use change in a regional planning context. Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy, 4(4), 223–247.

    CrossRef  Google Scholar 

  • Koomen, E., Dekkers, J. E. C., & Broitman, D. (2015). Analysing and simulating urban density; exploring the difference between policy ambitions and actual trends in the Netherlands. In J. -C. Thill (Ed.), Spatial analysis and location modeling in urban and regional systems. Londan: Springer.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kuhlman, T., Diogo, V., & Koomen, E. (2013). Exploring the potential of reed as a bioenergy crop in the Netherlands. Biomass and Bioenergy, 55, 41–52.

    CrossRef  Google Scholar 

  • Kuijpers-Linde, M. (2011). A policy perspective of the development of Dutch land-use models. Chapter 10. In E. Koomen & J. Borsboom-van Beurden (Eds.), Land-use modelling in planning practice (pp. 177–189). Heidelberg: Springer.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kuiper, R., & Evers, D. (2011a). Ex-ante evaluatie Structuurvisie Infrastructuur en Ruimte. Den Haag: Planbureau voor de Leefomgeving.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kuiper, R., & Evers, D. (2011b). Structuurvisie Infrastructuur en Ruimte perkt nationale belangen in. ROM Magazine, 29(6), 10–13.

    Google Scholar 

  • Landis, J. D. (1994). The California urban futures model: A new generation of metropolitan simulation models. Environment and Planning B: Planning and Design, 21, 399–420.

    CrossRef  Google Scholar 

  • PBL. (2011). Nederland in 2040: een land van regio’s. Den Haag: Planbureau voor de Leefomgeving.

    Google Scholar 

  • Rijken, B., Bouwman, A., Van Hinsberg, A., Van Bemmel, B., Van den Born, G. J., Polman, N., Lindenhof, V., & Rijk, P. (2013). Regionalisering en kwantificering verhaallijnen Deltascenario’s 2012. Technisch achtergrondrapport. Den Haag: Planbureau voor de Leefomgeving & LEI Wageningen UR.

    Google Scholar 

  • Roodbol-Mekkes, P. H., Van der Valk, A. J. J., & Korthals Altes, W. K. (2012). The Netherlands spatial planning doctrine in disarray in the 21st century. Environment and Planning A, 44(2), 377–395.

    CrossRef  Google Scholar 

  • Scholten, H. J., Van de Velde, R. J., Rietveld, P., & Hilferink, M. (1999). Spatial information infrastructure for scenario planning: The development of a land use planner for Holland. In J. Stillwell, S. Geertman, & S. Openshaw (Eds.), Geographical information and planning (pp. 112–134). Berlin: Springer.

    Google Scholar 

  • Schotten, C. G. J., Goetgeluk, R. W., Hilferink, M., Rietveld, P., & Scholten, H. J. (2001). Residential construction, land use and the environment. Simulations for The Netherlands using a GIS-based land use model. Environmental Modelling and Asessment, 6(2), 133–143.

    CrossRef  Google Scholar 

  • Significance and Bureau Louter. (2007). Toepassen TIGRIS XL binnen de studie ‘Nederland Later’. Bilthoven: PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency.

    Google Scholar 

  • Steinitz, C. (2012). A framework for geosign; Changing geography by design. Redlands: ESRI Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Te Linde, A. H., Bubeck, P., Dekkers, J. E. C., De Moel, H., & Aerts, J. C. J. H. (2011). Future flood risk estimates along the river Rhine. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 11(2), 459–473.

    CrossRef  Google Scholar 

  • Turner, B. L., Kasperson, R. E., Matson, P. A., McCarthy, J. J., Corell, R. W., Christensen, L., Eckley, N., Kasperson, J. X., Luers, A., Martello, M. L., Polsky, C., Pulsipher, A., & Schiller, A. (2003). A framework for vulnerability analysis in sustainability science. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences U S A, 100(14), 8074–8079.

    CrossRef  Google Scholar 

  • Van der Hoeven, E., Aerts, J., Van der Klis, H., & Koomen, E. (2009). An integrated discussion support system for new Dutch flood risk management strategies. Chapter 8. In S. Geertman & J. C. H. Stillwell, (Eds.), Planning support systems: Best practices and new methods (pp. 159–174). Berlin: Springer.

    Google Scholar 

  • VROM, LNV, V&W, & EZ. (2004). Nota Ruimte. Ruimte voor ontwikkeling. Ministeries van Volkshuisvesting, Ruimtelijke Ordening en Milieubeheer, Landbouw, Natuur en Voedselkwaliteit, Verkeer en Waterstaat en Economische zaken. Den Haag: SDU uitgeverij.

    Google Scholar 

  • Zondag, B., & Geurs, K. (2011). Coupling a detailed land-use model and a land-use and transport interaction model. Chapter 5. In E. Koomen & J. Borsboom-van Beurden (Eds.), Land-use modeling in planning practice (pp. 79–95). Dordrecht: Springer.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

This research is funded by the research programme Urban Regions in the Delta (URD), part of the VerDuS-programme (Verbinding Duurzame Steden) of the Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research (NWO). We would like to thank PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency for providing the spatial data and initial land-use simulations that were incorporated in the analyses discussed in this chapter. The work described in Sect. 6.3.1 was performed as part of a project one of the authors carried out for the Ministry of Infrastructure and Environment in cooperation with Royal Haskoning and Alterra Wageningen University and Research Centre. The former colleagues and partners in that project are thanked for the pleasant and effective cooperation and fruitful discussions that provided the results discussed here. In addition we thank Dani Broitman for running the land use simulations discussed in Sect. 6.3.2 and Jasper Dekkers for providing valuable input to construct the Trends alternatives in that section.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Eric Koomen .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and Permissions

Copyright information

© 2014 Springer International Publishing Switzerland

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Koomen, E., Rijken, B. (2014). Recent Applications of a Land-use Change Model in Support of Sustainable Urban Development. In: Lee, D., Dias, E., Scholten, H. (eds) Geodesign by Integrating Design and Geospatial Sciences. GeoJournal Library(), vol 111. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-08299-8_6

Download citation