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Climate Recommender System for Wheat Cultivation in North Egyptian Sinai Peninsula

  • Mohamed Abdel Salam
  • Mahmood A. Mahmood
  • Yasser Mahmoud Awad
  • Maryam Hazman
  • Nashwa El Bendary
  • Aboul Ella Hassanien
  • Mohamed F. Tolba
  • Samir Mahmoud Saleh
Part of the Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing book series (AISC, volume 303)

Abstract

In this paper, a recommender system based on rough mereology was presented for predicting best cultivation dates for wheat in Egyptian Sinai Peninsula according to the required mean temperature for germination stage during October to December. The weather data was hourly collected from El-Arish weather station in north Sinai government from 1985 to 2013. As far as we know, this was the first study in Egypt regarding a wheat recommender expert system for predicting temperature and sowing dates in North Sinai. In current study, accurate weather forecasting information and suitable cultivation dates of wheat were obtained from the proposed recommender system. The results show that the proposed system can forecast different temperatures with minimum Mean Absolute Error (MAE). These findings may allow decision makers to take their proper decisions on managing agricultural development in new reclaimed areas like the Egyptian Sinai Peninsula.

Keywords

Climate prediction Recommender system Wheat cultivation Rough mereology Sinai Peninsula 

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Copyright information

© Springer International Publishing Switzerland 2014

Authors and Affiliations

  • Mohamed Abdel Salam
    • 1
    • 6
  • Mahmood A. Mahmood
    • 1
    • 6
  • Yasser Mahmoud Awad
    • 2
    • 6
  • Maryam Hazman
    • 6
    • 7
  • Nashwa El Bendary
    • 3
    • 6
  • Aboul Ella Hassanien
    • 4
    • 6
  • Mohamed F. Tolba
    • 5
  • Samir Mahmoud Saleh
    • 7
  1. 1.Inst. of Stat. Studies and Res. (ISSR)Cairo UniversityCairoEgypt
  2. 2.Faculty of AgricultureSuez Canal UniversityIsmailiaEgypt
  3. 3.Technology, and Maritime TransportArab Academy for ScienceCairoEgypt
  4. 4.Faculty of Computers and InformationCairo UniversityCairoEgypt
  5. 5.Faculty of Computers and InformationAin Shams UniversityCairoEgypt
  6. 6.Scientific Research Group in Egypt (SRGE)CairoEgypt
  7. 7.Central Laboratory for Agricultural ClimateAgricultural Research CenterGizaEgypt

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