Abstract
The problems in generation imbalance for wind power require multi-criteria analysis for the decision makers. In addition to the required multi-criteria analysis, there is also a problem of uncertainty inherent in future changes as a result of interdependence among these criteria. To counter this two problems, this paper describes a systematic approach of Bayesian causal maps and systematic probability generation method. Bayesian causal maps, which is built from causal maps, is used to develop a proposed framework on scenario-based assessment of energy storage technologies for wind power generation. Causal maps provides a rich representation of ideas, through the modeling of complex structures, representing the chain of arguments, as networks.
A prior version of this paper was included in the conference Proceedings of PICMET 2013.
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Suharto, Y., Daim, T.U. (2014). Technology Assessment: Energy Storage Technologies for Wind Power Generation. In: Daim, T., Neshati, R., Watt, R., Eastham, J. (eds) Technology Development. Innovation, Technology, and Knowledge Management. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-05651-7_5
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