Tracking Human Migration from Online Attention

  • Carmen Vaca-RuizEmail author
  • Daniele Quercia
  • Luca Maria Aiello
  • Piero Fraternali
Conference paper
Part of the Lecture Notes in Computer Science book series (LNCS, volume 8313)


The dynamics behind human migrations are very complex. Economists have intensely studied them because of their importance for the global economy. However, tracking migration is costly, and available data tends to be outdated. Online data can be used to extract proxies for migration flows, and these proxies would not be meant to replicate traditional measurements but are meant to complement them. We analyze a random sample of a microblogging service popular in Brazil (more than 13M posts and 22M reposts) and accurately predict the total number of migrants in 35 Brazilian cities. These results are so accurate that they have promising implications in monitoring emerging economies.


Migration Rate Penetration Rate Online Data Migration Flow Social Media Data 
These keywords were added by machine and not by the authors. This process is experimental and the keywords may be updated as the learning algorithm improves.



Carmen Vaca Ruiz’s research work has been funded by SENESCYT and ESPOL, Ecuador.


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Copyright information

© Springer International Publishing Switzerland 2014

Authors and Affiliations

  • Carmen Vaca-Ruiz
    • 1
    • 2
    Email author
  • Daniele Quercia
    • 2
  • Luca Maria Aiello
    • 2
  • Piero Fraternali
    • 1
  1. 1.Politecnico di MilanoMilanItaly
  2. 2.Yahoo ResearchBarcelonaSpain

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