The Forgotten Effects Model on Selection Policies to Climate Change Adaptation

  • Anna Maria Gil-Lafuente
  • Jaime Alexander López-Guauque
Part of the Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems book series (LNE, volume 675)


The impacts of climate change have become a growing question for the various players in the field. Adapting to such impacts is seen as an uncertain and complex phenomenon the more one gets involved in each of the key processes. Therefore, the degree of involvement or impact will have a larger or lesser effect, on an uncertain scale, in a given a period of time, and under homogenous conditions. Several elements of success in the decision-making are analyzed and discussed. Such elements, with different weightings, are implicit in the decision-making processes. From the forgotten effects theory, we can establish the accumulated effects of first and second generation in order to determine multiplier or enhancer effects—where our efforts will be focused. This will allow a longer scope for decisions to be made and strategies to be formulated as well as for the valuation of various groups and scales in which adaptations will be evaluated.


Climate change Adaptation Forgotten effects model Decision making 


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Copyright information

© Springer International Publishing Switzerland 2015

Authors and Affiliations

  • Anna Maria Gil-Lafuente
    • 1
  • Jaime Alexander López-Guauque
    • 2
  1. 1.Faculty of Economics and BusinessUniversity of BarcelonaBarcelonaSpain
  2. 2.Faculty of Economics and BusinessUniversity of BarcelonaBarcelonaSpain

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