Mathematical modeling of epidemics
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Epidemics have ever been a great concern of human kind and we are still moved by the dramatic descriptions that arrive to us from the past, as in Lucretius's sixth book of “De Rerum Natura” or as in other more recent descriptions that we find in the literature. The “Black Death”, the plague that spread across Europe from 1347 to 1352 and made 25 millions of victims, seems to be far from our lives, but more recent events, such as the outbreak of the HIV-AIDS syndrome, remind us that epidemics are an actual problem for health institutions that are continuously facing emerging and reemerging diseases.
KeywordsInfected Individual Reproduction Number Contact Rate Endemic Equilibrium Basic Reproduction Number
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