Abstract
This paper begins with a brief summary of the vital changes in warfare during the last decades as seen by the author: Mass armies are no longer common tools for warfare. The “big” war has become unusual, while limited (and controlled) use of military forces for political purpose still is in use. However the ability to maneuver and fight with weapons still remains a basic military skill and modeling of combat remains important for understanding war. A formulation of a basic problem for single weapon systems is made and the effects of technology development are discussed in that context. Further comments are given on problems in information processing in modern weapons and in Command, Control, Communication and Intelligence, where the technological changes are expected to be revolutionary. A short comment is also given on transforming single weapons data to force characteristics, which is important for connecting analyses on low levels with those on high levels. The author also gives some comments on Operations Other Than War and Asymmetric War - which are new challenges for military analysts as well as officers. Finally a critique is given on the state of the art in military modeling.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Almeida Rui, Gavier Donald P. and Jacobs Patricia A. (1995): Simple Probability Models for Assessing the Value of Information in Defense Against Missile Attack; in: Bracken: Warfare Modeling John Wiley and Sons 1995, pp. 393–405.
Aspin, Les (2000): An Approach to Sizing American Conventional Forces for the Post-Soviet Era, in: Strategy and Force Planning Naval War College Newport, USA 2000, pp. 448–468.
Barr, Donald R. and Sherill, E. Todd (1996): Entropy Modeling; in: Analytic Approaches to the Study of Future Conflict The Canadian Peacekeeping Press 1996, pp. 114–139.
Black, Jeremy (2000): War - Past Present and Future St Martins Press, New York 2000.
Bracken, Jerome, Kress, Moshe and Rosenthal, Richard E. (1995): Warfare Modeling MORS and John Wiley and Sons 1995.
Carlsen, Henrik and Hamrin, Martin (2002): En litteraturstudie kring ledning och beslutsfattning (FoRMA) FOI memo 02–283.
Davis, David (1996): Introduction in Analysis for Peace Operations The Canadian Peacekeeping Press 1996.
Davis, Paul K. and Blumenthal, Donald (1991): The Base of Sand Problem - A White Paper on the State of Military Combat Modeling, RAND California 1991.
Davis, Paul K. (ed) (1994): New Challenges for Defense Planning - Rethinking How Much is Enough RAND 1994.
Davis, Paul K. (1995): An Introduction to Variable-Resolution Modeling; in: Bracken et al.: Warfare Modeling John Wiley and Sons 1995, pp. 5–35.
Dodd, Lorraine and Richardson, Sean (1996): Adaptive C3I Systems Modelling; in: Analytic Approaches to the Study of Future Conflict The Canadian Peacekeeping Press 1996, pp. 140–153.
Hillestad, Richard J. and Juncosa Mario L. (1995): Cutting some trees to see the forest: On Aggregation and Disaggregation in Combat Models; in: Bracken et al.: Warfare Modeling John Wiley and Sons 1995, pp. 39–62.
Huber, Reiner K. and Avenhaus, Rudolf (1996): Models for Security Policy in the Post-Cold War Era Nomos Verlagsgesellschaft, Baden-Baden 1996.
O’Hanlon, Michael (2000): Technological Change and the Future of Warfare Brookings Institution Press, Washington 2000.
Jaiswal, N. K. (1997): Military Operations Research: Quantitative Decision Making Kluwer 1997.
Krepinevich, Andrelw F. (2000): Cavalry to computer: The Pattern of Military Revolutions; in: Strategy and Force Planning Naval War College, Newport, USA 2000, pp. 480–496
Kuhn, Harlod W. (ed) (1997): Classics in Game Theory Princeton University Press 1997.
Military Operations Research. The Journal of Military Operations Research Society, Alexandria, VA, USA.
Moffat, J. and Witty, S. (2002): Bayesian decision making and military command and control Journal of Operations Research Society 2002, no. 7, pp. 709–718.
Myerson, Roger B. (1990): Game Theory - Analysis of Conflict Harvard University Press, Cambridge, Massachusets and London 1990.
Samuelson, D. A. and Sims, R. L. (1995): Quick-Response Assessment of Forward Air Control and Communications Using a Queuing Model and Digital Simulation; in: Bracken et al.: Warfare Modeling John Wiley and Sons 1995, pp. 407–415.
Söderqvist, Olof and Isacson, Tore (2001): FORMA uppsummering 2001 FOI Memo 02–349.
Toombs Parsons, Karen (1996): Predicting where the next OOTW will occur; in: Analytic Approaches to the Study of Future Conflict The Canadian Peacekeeping Press 1996, pp. 14–28.
Woodcock, Ted (2001): Political and military leaders must understand societal dynamics Journal of Swedish Royal Academy of War Science 2001:4, pp. 21–63.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2003 Springer Basel AG
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Löfstedt, H. (2003). Duels of Systems and Forces. In: Booß-Bavnbek, B., Høyrup, J. (eds) Mathematics and War. Birkhäuser, Basel. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-0348-8093-0_12
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-0348-8093-0_12
Publisher Name: Birkhäuser, Basel
Print ISBN: 978-3-7643-1634-1
Online ISBN: 978-3-0348-8093-0
eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive