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The Cybernetic Revolution, COVID-19 and the E-state

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Cybernetic Revolution and Global Aging

Part of the book series: World-Systems Evolution and Global Futures ((WSEGF))

Abstract

Grinin et al. show the impact of the pandemic on the course and the pace of the Cybernetic Revolution and make forecasts about very large changes not only in technology, but also in the socio-political sphere. Anti-COVID measures have had a number of side negative effects, which Grinin et al. discuss in detail. However, the growth of the role of medicine due to COVID strongly confirms Grinin et al.’s ideas of the integrating role of medical technologies in the MANBRIC-convergence and has made significantly clearer the mechanisms that can provide such a breakthrough in medicine and related technologies. COVID-19 has become a powerful impetus in further changing socio-administrative relations. The authors pay great attention to the role of a special type of self-managing systems, by means of which it is possible to regulate our behavior without human participation just by means of AI. The authors are talking about socio-technical self-managing systems (SSSs). SSSs with the help of AI will regulate various social and administrative relations (i.e., control, verification, security, checking, identification, issue of documents, etc.). Grinin et al. forecast that the development of SSSs pushes society towards the formation of an electronic state (e-state) with its positive and strongly negative sides.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    E.g., Atkeson, 2020; Baker et al., 2020; Bortoló et al., 2023; Cruz-Cárdenas et al., 2021; Chumakov & Yurchenko, 2021; Damaševičius & Zailskaitė-Jakštė 2023; Efremov & Arkhangelsky, 2023; Fabris 2022; Grinin, 2020; Grinin et al., 2022; Grix et al., 2021; Hantrais et al., 2021; Hussain, 2021; Irshad 2020; Jackson et al., 2022; Jasiński and Bąkowska 2020; Kakkar, 2021; Kumar et al., 2021a, 2021b; Mahagamage & Marasinghe 2023; McKeown et al. 2022; Sarfraz et al., 2021; Seifabadi & Dolatabadi, 2022; Walby 2022; Widdowson, 2021;Wood 2022; Xie et al., 2022; Zimmerling & Chen, 2021; see also further references below.

  2. 2.

    One of the exception is Schwab and Malleret 2020, though, of course, their point of view is a very controversial.

  3. 3.

    Let us recollect that MANBRIC is an acronym for a complex of technologies: Medical–Additive–Nano–Bio–Robotics–Information and Cognitive technologies.

  4. 4.

    Grinin et al. 2017a, 2017b, 2020, 2021a, 2021b; see also Grinin and Grinin, 2015; 2016; Grinin and Korotayev 2015; Grinin et al. 2016; Goldstone 2015; Goldstone et al., 2015.

  5. 5.

    It is worth bearing in mind that before the COVID-19 more than a hundred different vaccines were already being developed by dozens of companies in the world (Corey et al., 2020; Jeyanathan et al., 2020; Remmel 2021).

  6. 6.

    The term alienation is borrowed from terminology of Karl Marx (see about types of alienation in Chap. 7).

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Acknowledgements

This chapter is an output of a research project implemented as part of the Basic Research Program at HSE University in 2024 with support from the Russian Science Foundation (Project No. 23-18-00535).

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  1. HSE University, Moscow, Russia

    Leonid Grinin, Anton Grinin & Andrey Korotayev

  2. Moscow State University, Moscow, Russia

    Anton Grinin & Andrey Korotayev

  3. Institute of Oriental Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia

    Leonid Grinin & Andrey Korotayev

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Grinin, L., Grinin, A., Korotayev, A. (2024). The Cybernetic Revolution, COVID-19 and the E-state. In: Cybernetic Revolution and Global Aging. World-Systems Evolution and Global Futures. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-56764-3_14

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