Skip to main content

Machine Learning Based Remaining Useful Life Estimation—Concept and Case Study

  • Chapter
  • First Online:
Reliability Engineering for Industrial Processes

Abstract

With advancements in technology and machinery, human dependencies on them are increasing. This increased reliance makes maintenance in industrial applications indispensable. Traditional methods, like Reactive Maintenance, fail to detect problems beforehand and can jeopardize resources and/or lives. Proactive Maintenance measures, especially Predictive Maintenance has gained popularity with the advent of tons of data-handling resources. Remaining Useful Life (RUL) is an integral and principal measure of Predictive Maintenance that can give a fair indication of the usefulness of the component to decide when it needs to be replaced or repaired. Accurate prediction/estimation of RUL calls for developing data-driven methods like Machine Learning algorithms. We elaborate on relevant predictive maintenance concepts and describe how ML techniques can be effectively applied to predict the remaining useful life of machine components. We also demonstrate a case study using NASA’s CMAPSS (Commercial Modular Aero-Propulsion System Simulation) dataset. The case study incorporates the successful implementation of ML algorithms and the subsequent use of Evolutionary Computing techniques like Particle Swarm Optimization for optimization.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 149.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Hardcover Book
USD 199.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  1. Lee WJ, Wu H, Yun H, Kim H, Jun MBG, Sutherland JW (2019) Predictive maintenance of machine tool systems using artificial intelligence techniques applied to machine condition data. Procedia Cirp 80:506–511

    Article  Google Scholar 

  2. Reid M (2020) The Piper Alpha disaster: a personal perspective with transferrable lessons on the long-term moral impact of safety failures. ACS Chem Heal Saf 27(2):88–95

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. Makocha IR, Ete T, Saini G (2019) Deepwater horizon oil spill: a review. Int J Tech Inno Mod Eng Sci 5:65–71

    Google Scholar 

  4. Woch M, Zieja M, Tomaszewska J, Janicki M (2019) Statistical analysis of aviation accidents and incidents caused by failure of hydraulic systems. In: MATEC Web of conferences, vol 291, p 1005

    Google Scholar 

  5. Raghavaiah NV, HariPrasad I (2019) Maintenance and reliability strategy of mechanical equipment in industry. Maint Reliab 6(6)

    Google Scholar 

  6. Dalzochio J et al (2020) Machine learning and reasoning for predictive maintenance in Industry 4.0: Current status and challenges. Comput Ind 123:103298

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Sahal R, Breslin JG, Ali MI (2020) Big data and stream processing platforms for Industry 4.0 requirements mapping for a predictive maintenance use case. J Manuf Syst 54:138–151

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Thaduri A, Galar D, Kumar U (2015) Railway assets: a potential domain for big data analytics. Procedia Comput Sci 53:457–467

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Zschech P, Bernien J, Heinrich K (2019) Towards a taxonomic benchmarking framework for predictive maintenance: the case of NASA’s Turbofan degradation

    Google Scholar 

  10. Stanton I, Munir K, Ikram A, El-Bakry M (2023) Predictive maintenance analytics and implementation for aircraft: challenges and opportunities. Syst Eng 26(2):216–237

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. Peng C, Chen Y, Gui W, Tang Z, Li C (2022) Remaining useful life prognosis of turbofan engines based on deep feature extraction and fusion. Sci Rep 12(1):6491

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. Yurek OE, Birant D (2019) Remaining useful life estimation for predictive maintenance using feature engineering. In: 2019 Innovations in intelligent systems and applications conference (ASYU), pp 1–5

    Google Scholar 

  13. Karpatne A et al (2017) Theory-guided data science: a new paradigm for scientific discovery from data. IEEE Trans Knowl Data Eng 29(10):2318–2331

    Article  Google Scholar 

  14. Klie H (2015) Physics-based and data-driven surrogates for production forecasting

    Google Scholar 

  15. Malhotra R, Singh P (2023) Recent advances in deep learning models: a systematic literature review, no 0123456789. Springer, US

    Google Scholar 

  16. Susto GA, Schirru A, Pampuri S, McLoone S, Beghi A (2014) Machine learning for predictive maintenance: a multiple classifier approach. IEEE Trans Ind Informatics 11(3):812–820

    Article  Google Scholar 

  17. Orhan S, Aktürk N, Celik V (2006) Vibration monitoring for defect diagnosis of rolling element bearings as a predictive maintenance tool: Comprehensive case studies. Ndt E Int 39(4):293–298

    Article  Google Scholar 

  18. Gulati K, Basandrai K, Tiwari S, Kamat P, Kumar S, others (2021) Predictive maintenance of bearing machinery using simulation-a bibliometric study

    Google Scholar 

  19. Kankar PK, Sharma SC, Harsha SP (2011) Fault diagnosis of ball bearings using machine learning methods. Expert Syst Appl 38(3):1876–1886

    Article  Google Scholar 

  20. Radhakrishnan VR et al (2007) Heat exchanger fouling model and preventive maintenance scheduling tool. Appl Therm Eng 27(17–18):2791–2802

    Article  Google Scholar 

  21. Sarker IH (2021) Machine learning: algorithms, real-world applications and research directions. SN Comput Sci 2(3):160

    Article  Google Scholar 

  22. Carvalho TP, Soares FA, Vita R, da P. Francisco R, Basto JP, Alcalá SGS (2019) A systematic literature review of machine learning methods applied to predictive maintenance. Comput Ind Eng 137:106024

    Google Scholar 

  23. Eker OF, Camci F, Jennions IK (2012) Major challenges in prognostics: study on benchmarking prognostics datasets. In: PHM society European conference, vol 1, no 1

    Google Scholar 

  24. Stetco A et al (2019) Machine learning methods for wind turbine condition monitoring: a review. Renew energy 133:620–635

    Article  Google Scholar 

  25. Marugán AP, Márquez FPG, Perez JMP, Ruiz-Hernández D (2018) A survey of artificial neural network in wind energy systems. Appl Energy 228:1822–1836

    Article  Google Scholar 

  26. Turnbull A, Carroll J, Koukoura S, McDonald A (2019) Prediction of wind turbine generator bearing failure through analysis of high-frequency vibration data and the application of support vector machine algorithms. J Eng 2019(18):4965–4969

    Google Scholar 

  27. Dong S, Xiao J, Hu X, Fang N, Liu L, Yao J (2022) Deep transfer learning based on Bi-LSTM and attention for remaining useful life prediction of rolling bearing. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 230:108914. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2022.108914

  28. Li Y, Stroe D-I, Cheng Y, Sheng H, Sui X, Teodorescu R (2021) On the feature selection for battery state of health estimation based on charging–discharging profiles. J Energy Storage 33:102122

    Article  Google Scholar 

  29. Hinchi AZ, Tkiouat M (2018) Rolling element bearing remaining useful life estimation based on a convolutional long-short-term memory network. Procedia Comput Sci 127:123–132

    Article  Google Scholar 

  30. Kundu P, Darpe AK, Kulkarni MS (2019) Weibull accelerated failure time regression model for remaining useful life prediction of bearing working under multiple operating conditions. Mech Syst Signal Process 134:106302

    Article  Google Scholar 

  31. Li Y, Chen Y, Hu Z, Zhang H (2023) Remaining useful life prediction of aero-engine enabled by fusing knowledge and deep learning models. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 229:108869. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2022.108869

  32. Amruthnath N, Gupta T (2018) A research study on unsupervised machine learning algorithms for early fault detection in predictive maintenance. In: 2018 5th international conference on industrial engineering and applications (ICIEA), pp 355–361

    Google Scholar 

  33. Abdi H, Williams LJ (2010) Principal component analysis. Wiley Interdiscip Rev Comput Stat 2(4):433–459

    Article  Google Scholar 

  34. Maalouf M (2011) Logistic regression in data analysis: an overview. Int J Data Anal Tech Strateg 3(3):281–299

    Article  Google Scholar 

  35. Ran Y, Zhou X, Lin P, Wen Y, Deng R (2019) A survey of predictive maintenance: Systems, purposes and approaches. arXiv Prepr. arXiv1912.07383

    Google Scholar 

  36. Yamada H, Matsumoto Y (2003) Statistical dependency analysis with support vector machines. In: Proceedings of the eighth international conference on parsing technologies, pp 195–206

    Google Scholar 

  37. Ding F et al (2008) Application of support vector machine for equipment reliability forecasting. In: 2008 6th IEEE international conference on industrial informatics, pp 526–530

    Google Scholar 

  38. Kizito R, Scruggs P, Li X, Kress R, Devinney M, Berg T (2018) The Application of random forest to predictive maintenance. In: IIE annual conference. Proceedings, pp 354–359

    Google Scholar 

  39. Li Y, Han T, Xia T, Chen Z, Pan E (2023) A CM&CP framework with a GIACC method and an ensemble model for remaining useful life prediction. Comput Ind 144:103794. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compind.2022.103794

  40. Krenek J, Kuca K, Blazek P, Krejcar O, Jun D (2016) Application of artificial neural networks in condition based predictive maintenance. Recent Dev Intell Inf Database Syst, 75–86

    Google Scholar 

  41. Zhang C, Shao H, Li Y (2000) Particle swarm optimisation for evolving artificial neural network. In: SMC 2000 conference proceedings. 2000 ieee international conference on systems, man and cybernetics.’cybernetics evolving to systems, humans, organizations, and their complex interactions’ (cat. no. 0), vol 4, pp 2487–2490

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Rajesh S. Prabhu Gaonkar .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2024 The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG

About this chapter

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this chapter

Mehta, S., Bam, R.V.P., Gaonkar, R.S.P. (2024). Machine Learning Based Remaining Useful Life Estimation—Concept and Case Study. In: Kapur, P.K., Pham, H., Singh, G., Kumar, V. (eds) Reliability Engineering for Industrial Processes. Springer Series in Reliability Engineering. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-55048-5_11

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-55048-5_11

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-031-55047-8

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-031-55048-5

  • eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics