Abstract
Comprehensive data analysis of atmospheric and cyclonic activity based on worldwide meteorological and oceanology data as well as the comparison with tilts and strains precise measurements by far distanced instruments have been performed. The earlier proposed model of earthquakes triggering due to atmosphere, ocean and lithosphere interaction was confirmed. The interaction develops as successively arising hurricanes (typhoons) activity in form of spatial-temporal swings of the lower pressure areas over the tectonic plates. The process started 1–2 months before the 2023 Mw 7.8 Turkey earthquake and after some cyclones reduction, it resumed. It was at this time that a major seismic shock occurred. This study considers the cyclones interaction in the Indian Ocean, North Atlantic Ocean and Mediterranean Sea during December 2022–January 2023. Excitations of Indo-Australian, African, Eurasian and Arabian tectonic plates progressed as NW-SE spatial and temporal swings over seismogenic area and were accompanied by tilt-baric and strain-baric disturbances detected by instruments installed in Central and East Europe and Far East regions. Tilt-baric effects of 1.2 mas/hPa and strain-baric events were observed for the most intensive cyclones 2–7 weeks before the earthquake.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
Morozova, L.I.: Typhoons and seismicity. Dokl. Earth Sci. 410, 1132–1135 (2006)
Yaroshevich, M.I.: Intra-annual dynamics of seismic activity in the cyclonic zone of the northwestern part of the Pacific Ocean. Doklady Earth Sci. 431(1), 409–412. Springer International Publishing AG. (2010)
Liu, C., Linde, A., Sacks, I.: Slow earthquakes triggered by typhoons. Nature 459, 833–836 (2009). https://doi.org/10.1038/nature08042
Dubrov, M.N., Golovachev, S.P.: Earthquake and Hurricane Remote Monitoring by Ground-Based Interferometry. In: ISPRS Technical Commission VIII Symposium, 9–12 August 2010, Kyoto, Japan, WG-VIII/1 TS-23, Abstract Paper N064015, ISPRS Archives, vol. 38, no. 8, pp. 254–255 (2010). http://www.isprs.org/proceedings/XXXVIII/part8/
Wdowinski, I., Tsukanov, S.: Disaster triggers disaster: Earthquake triggering by tropical cyclones. AGU Fall Meeting Abstracts, American Geophysical Union, Fall Meeting, San Francisco, California, 5–9 December 2011, abstract id. U53E-06 (2011). http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2011agufm.u53e..06w
Volkov, V.A., Dubrov, M.N.: Geodynamical observations using spatially distributed gravimeters, tiltmeters, and laser strainmeters. Bulletin d’Information des Marees Terrestres 148, 11971–11986 (2014). ISSN 0542–6766
Dubrov, M.N., Alyoshin, V.A.: Laser strainmeters: new developments and earthquake prediction applications. Tectonophys. 202, 209–213 (1992)
Petrova, L., Volkov, V.: Dynamic features of seismo-gravitational oscillations of the Earth. Trans. (Doklady) Russ. Acad. Sci./Earth Sci. Sect. 351A, 1477–1480. Pleiades Publishing, Inc. (1996)
Aleksandrov, D.V., Dubrov, M.N., Larionov, I.A., Marapulets, Y.V. Shevtsov B. M.: Earth strain and acoustic monitoring of geodynamic processes in seismic and aseismic zones using highly sensitive, spatially separated instruments. J. Volcanol. Seismol. 13(3), 193–200 (2019)
Volkov, V., Mrlina, J., Dubrov, M., Smirnov, V., Golovachev, S., Polak, V.: Atmosphere, ocean and lithosphere interaction as a possible drive of earthquake triggering. Geodesy Geodyn. 11(6), 442–454 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geog.2020.07.001
Kost’ak, B., Mrlina, J., Stemberk, J., Chan, B.: Tectonic movements monitored in the bohemian massif. J. Geodyn. 52, 34–44 (2011). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jog.2010.11.007
Rikitake, T.: Earthquake Prediction. Elsevier Scientific Pub. Co., Amsterdam, New York (1976)
Knapp, K.R., et al.: International Best Track Archive for Climate Stewardship (IBTrACS). NOAA Centers for Environmental Information, NOAA (2023) https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/international-best-track-archive
Tropical Cyclones - Tropical Weather Outlook: Archive. Regional Specialized Meteorological Centre (RSMC), New Delhi, India (2023). https://rsmcnewdelhi.imd.gov.in/archive.php
Bath, M.: Tropical Cyclone Track Maps for Australia and the Southern Hemisphere. Australian Severe Weather (2023). https://australiasevereweather.com/cyclones/index.html
Gencic, D., et al.: The first medicane of the 2023 season formed on 21 January over the Adriatic. European Organization for the Exploitation of Meteorological Satellites (EUMETSAT), 30 January 2023. https://www.eumetsat.int/medicane-northern-adriatic
Acknowledgements
The work was carried out within the framework of the state tasks FMWU-2022-0012 (IPE RAS), 075-01110-23-01 (IRE RAS) and AAAA-A17-117080110043-4 (IKIR FEB RAS). Some work on recording and processing data in Czech observatory was supported by the CzechGeo/EPOS projects (No.LM-2010008 and LM-2015079).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2023 The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG
About this paper
Cite this paper
Volkov, V. et al. (2023). Atmosphere and Lithosphere Interaction Could Triggered the 2023 Mw 7.8 Turkey Earthquake. In: Dmitriev, A., Lichtenberger, J., Mandrikova, O., Nahayo, E. (eds) Solar-Terrestrial Relations and Physics of Earthquake Precursors. STRPEP 2023. Springer Proceedings in Earth and Environmental Sciences. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-50248-4_13
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-50248-4_13
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-031-50247-7
Online ISBN: 978-3-031-50248-4
eBook Packages: Physics and AstronomyPhysics and Astronomy (R0)