Abstract
In this study, we investigated a relationship between integrated water vapor (IWV) and standardized precipitation index (SPI), focusing on historical drought events over the northern part of Africa from 1850 to 2014. Here, monthly data was obtained from two climate models of CMCC-ESM2 and CESM2, representative models in coupled model intercomparison project phase 6 (CMIP6). The IWV was standardized with the gamma distribution for various time intervals from 2 to 12 months, and the standardized IWV (IWVs) was compared with two established drought indicators, namely SPI-6 and SPI-12. We considered Pearson correlation coefficients for evaluating their relationship. As results of correlation analysis with SPI-6, Pearson correlation coefficients were larger than 0.74 from 2 to 4 months and lower than 0.41 from 9 to 12 months. However, the coefficients for SPI-12 with the time interval of 12 months were 0.82 and 0.71 for CMCC-ESM2 and CESM2, respectively, while showing negligible relationships with lower values than 0.21 from 2 to 4 months. It shows there are intra-seasonal and annual patterns in the relationship between IWV and SPIs. Further analysis of temporal patterns in IWV may lead to the potential for improved drought prediction.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
Alexander, D. (2006). Globalization of disaster: Trends, problems and dilemmas. Journal of International Affairs, 1–22.
Allen, C. D., Macalady, A. K., Chenchouni, H., Bachelet, D., McDowell, N., Vennetier, M., Kitzberger, T., Rigling, A., Breshears, D., Hogg, E. H., Gonzalez, P., Fensham, R., Zhang, Z., Castro, J., Demidova, N., Lim, J., Allard, G., Running, S., Semerci, A., & Cobb, N. (2010). A global overview of drought and heat-induced tree mortality reveals emerging climate change risks for forests. Forest ecology and management, 259(4), 660–684.
Ayugi, B., Eresanya, E. O., Onyango, A. O., Ogou, F. K., Okoro, E. C., Okoye, C. O., Anoruo, C. M., Dike, V. N., Ashiru, O. R., Daramola, M. T., Mumo, R., & Ongoma, V. (2022). Review of meteorological drought in Africa: Historical trends, impacts, mitigation measures, and prospects. Pure and Applied Geophysics, 1–22.
Bezzalla, A., Boudjabi, S., & Chenchouni, H. (2018). Seedlings of Argan (Argania spinosa) from different geographical provenances reveal variable morphological growth responses to progressive drought stress under nursery conditions. Agroforestry Systems, 92(5), 1201–1211.
Bretherton, C. S., Peters, M. E., & Back, L. E. (2004). Relationships between water vapor path and precipitation over the tropical oceans. Journal of Climate, 17(7), 1517–1528.
Chenchouni, H., & Neffar, S. (2022). Soil organic carbon stock in arid and semi-arid steppe rangelands of North Africa. CATENA, 212(1), 106004.
Dettinger, M. D. (2013). Atmospheric rivers as drought busters on the US West Coast. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 14(6), 1721–1732.
Guttman, N. B. (1999). Accepting the standardized precipitation index: A calculation algorithm 1. JAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 35(2), 311–322.
Jacob, C. (1988). Statistical power analysis for the behavioral sciences. American Statistical Association.
Kim, J., Waliser, D. E., Neiman, P. J., Guan, B., Ryoo, J. M., & Wick, G. A. (2013). Effects of atmospheric river landfalls on the cold season precipitation in California. Climate Dynamics, 40(1), 465–474.
Negm, A., Bouderbala, A., Chenchouni, H., & Barcelo, D. (2020). Water resources in Algeria—Part I: Assessment of surface and groundwater. Springer.
Patel, N. R., Chopra, P., & Dadhwal, V. K. (2007). Analyzing spatial patterns of meteorological drought using standardized precipitation index. Meteorological Applications: A Journal of Forecasting, Practical Applications, Training Techniques and Modelling, 14(4), 329–336.
Zhu, Y., & Newell, R. E. (1998). A proposed algorithm for moisture fluxes from atmospheric rivers. Monthly Weather Review, 126(3), 725–735.
Acknowledgement
This research was supported by Korea Environment Industry and Technology Institute (KEITI) through Water Management Innovation Program for Drought (No. 2022003610001) funded by Korea Ministry of Environment and this work was supported by the National Research Foundation of Korea(NRF) grant funded by the Korea government (MSIT) (No. NRF-2022R1A4A3032838).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2024 The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG
About this paper
Cite this paper
Cha, H. et al. (2024). Investigating the Relationship Between Water Vapor and Precipitation in Northern Africa. In: Chenchouni, H., et al. Recent Advancements from Aquifers to Skies in Hydrogeology, Geoecology, and Atmospheric Sciences. MedGU 2022. Advances in Science, Technology & Innovation. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-47079-0_57
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-47079-0_57
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-031-47078-3
Online ISBN: 978-3-031-47079-0
eBook Packages: Earth and Environmental ScienceEarth and Environmental Science (R0)