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The Impact of Energy Crisis and the Military Conflict in Ukraine on the Economy in the Eurozone and in the Republic of North Macedonia

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Economic Recovery, Consolidation, and Sustainable Growth (ISCBE 2023)

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Abstract

The current economic crisis is specific in many respects. Its beginnings are related to the COVID-19 pandemic emergence and the measures taken to mitigate its consequences, both for people’s health and for companies’ survival. Acknowledging the first signs and considerations that the uncertainty could last, global monetary authorities, relatively uniformly, launched expansionary monetary policy measures to support the economies. From the end of 2021 and 2022, these measures became restrictive, given the increasingly persistent inflation. The paper focuses on explaining the causes and consequences of the economic and energy crisis, as well as on presenting the current situation and the prospects for further development of the economies in the Eurozone and in the Republic of North Macedonia. Notwithstanding the various structural specifics of individual economies, they are all affected by the crisis to a different extent; however, there are still certain common characteristics and movements of the basic macroeconomic parameters.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    The program initial amount was EUR 750 billion, which was increased twice: once for EUR 600 billion and later for additional EUR 500 billion. The total amount of net purchased securities reached EUR 1718 billion, which amounts to 93% realization of the program total amount.

  2. 2.

    Targeted Longer-Term Refinancing Operations.

  3. 3.

    Million British Thermal Units.

  4. 4.

    The three ECB’s core interest rates increased by 5% since 22.03.2023: the Main Refinancing Operations-MRO interest rate to 3.5%; the Marginal Lending Facility-MLF interest rate to 3.75% and the deposit facility interest rate to 3% per year.

Reference

  • Claeys, G. (2020). The European central bank in the COVID-19 crisis: Whatever it takes, within its mandate, Policy Contribution 09/2020, Bruegel.

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Correspondence to Biljana Hadzi-Velkova .

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Hadzi-Velkova, B. (2023). The Impact of Energy Crisis and the Military Conflict in Ukraine on the Economy in the Eurozone and in the Republic of North Macedonia. In: Bexheti, A., Abazi-Alili, H., Dana, LP., Ramadani, V., Caputo, A. (eds) Economic Recovery, Consolidation, and Sustainable Growth. ISCBE 2023. Springer Proceedings in Business and Economics. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-42511-0_8

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